Articles | Volume 29, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-2167-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-2167-2025
Research article
 | 
08 May 2025
Research article |  | 08 May 2025

Interdecadal cycles in Australian annual rainfall

Tobias F. Selkirk, Andrew W. Western, and J. Angus Webb

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3149', Anonymous Referee #1, 08 Dec 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Tobias Selkirk, 25 Jan 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3149', Anonymous Referee #2, 03 Jan 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Tobias Selkirk, 25 Jan 2025

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (further review by editor) (06 Feb 2025) by Nadia Ursino
AR by Tobias Selkirk on behalf of the Authors (13 Feb 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (21 Feb 2025) by Nadia Ursino
AR by Tobias Selkirk on behalf of the Authors (26 Feb 2025)
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Short summary
This study investigated rainfall in eastern Australia to search for patterns that may aid in predicting flood and drought. The current popular consensus is that such cycles do not exist. We analysed 130 years of rainfall using a very modern technique for identifying cycles in complex signals. The results showed strong evidence of three clear cycles of 12.9, 20.4 and 29.1 years with a confidence of 99.99 %. When combined, they showed an 80 % alignment with years of extremely high and low rainfall.
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