Articles | Volume 28, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4331-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4331-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
A hybrid data-driven approach to analyze the drivers of lake level dynamics
Márk Somogyvári
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Integrative Research Institute on Transformations of Human-Environment Systems (IRI THESys), Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin 12489, Germany
Geography Department, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin 10099, Germany
Dieter Scherer
Chair of Climatology, Institute of Ecology, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin 12165, Germany
Frederik Bart
Chair of Climatology, Institute of Ecology, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin 12165, Germany
Ute Fehrenbach
Chair of Climatology, Institute of Ecology, Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin 12165, Germany
Akpona Okujeni
Integrative Research Institute on Transformations of Human-Environment Systems (IRI THESys), Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin 12489, Germany
Geography Department, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin 10099, Germany
Earth Observation Lab, Geography Department, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, 12489, Germany
Tobias Krueger
Integrative Research Institute on Transformations of Human-Environment Systems (IRI THESys), Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin 12489, Germany
Geography Department, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin 10099, Germany
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Cited
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Brief communication: What do we need to know? Ten questions about climate and water challenges in Berlin-Brandenburg P. Alencar et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4043-2025
- Monitoring changes in the landscape water balance: validation of satellite- and model-based evapotranspiration data in Lusatia, Germany J. Kröcher et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-026-15120-8
- Groundwater recharge in Brandenburg is declining – but why? T. Francke & M. Heistermann https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2783-2025
- Application of a coupled mechanistic and data-driven model for water level prediction considering the temporal and spatial effects of runoff evolution in cascade hydropower stations Y. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.135057
- The 2018–2023 drought in Berlin: impacts and analysis of the perspective of water resources management I. Pohle et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1293-2025
- Drought propagation and ecosystem resilience in a peri-urban catchment of Berlin-Brandenburg P. Franke et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3617-2026
- Regional-scale groundwater analysis with dimensionality reduction M. Somogyvári et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4613-2025
- A Data-Driven Approach to Close the Water Balance of a Cascaded Multiple Reservoir–Lake System M. Chappon et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13070191
- Shrinking lakes, growing concerns: exploring perceptions of lake level decline as a prism for understanding socionatural hazards T. Vogelpohl et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4731-2025
- Explaining Great Lakes water level variability through interpretable ensemble machine learning R. Barzegar et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.181302
- Sedimentology and evolution of a modern barrier spit, Lake Machattie, central Australia R. Singleton et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2026.110533
- Flood risk assessment of cultural heritage sites near lakes via advanced hydrodynamic modeling and digital technologies M. Alexopoulos et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2025.107977
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Brief communication: What do we need to know? Ten questions about climate and water challenges in Berlin-Brandenburg P. Alencar et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4043-2025
- Monitoring changes in the landscape water balance: validation of satellite- and model-based evapotranspiration data in Lusatia, Germany J. Kröcher et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-026-15120-8
- Groundwater recharge in Brandenburg is declining – but why? T. Francke & M. Heistermann https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2783-2025
- Application of a coupled mechanistic and data-driven model for water level prediction considering the temporal and spatial effects of runoff evolution in cascade hydropower stations Y. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.135057
- The 2018–2023 drought in Berlin: impacts and analysis of the perspective of water resources management I. Pohle et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1293-2025
- Drought propagation and ecosystem resilience in a peri-urban catchment of Berlin-Brandenburg P. Franke et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3617-2026
- Regional-scale groundwater analysis with dimensionality reduction M. Somogyvári et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4613-2025
- A Data-Driven Approach to Close the Water Balance of a Cascaded Multiple Reservoir–Lake System M. Chappon et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13070191
- Shrinking lakes, growing concerns: exploring perceptions of lake level decline as a prism for understanding socionatural hazards T. Vogelpohl et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4731-2025
- Explaining Great Lakes water level variability through interpretable ensemble machine learning R. Barzegar et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.181302
- Sedimentology and evolution of a modern barrier spit, Lake Machattie, central Australia R. Singleton et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2026.110533
- Flood risk assessment of cultural heritage sites near lakes via advanced hydrodynamic modeling and digital technologies M. Alexopoulos et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rineng.2025.107977
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 14 Nov 2026
Short summary
We study the drivers behind the changes in lake levels, creating a series of models from least to most complex. In this study, we have shown that the decreasing levels of Groß Glienicker Lake in Germany are not simply the result of changes in climate but are affected by other processes. In our example, reduced inflow from a growing forest, regionally sinking groundwater levels and the modifications in the local rainwater infrastructure together resulted in an increasing lake level loss.
We study the drivers behind the changes in lake levels, creating a series of models from least...
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