Articles | Volume 28, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1935-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1935-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
06 May 2024
Research article |
| 06 May 2024
| 06 May 2024
A high-resolution perspective of extreme rainfall and river flow under extreme climate change in Southeast Asia
Mugni Hadi Hariadi
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Meteorology and Air Quality, Wageningen University and Research (WUR), Wageningen, the Netherlands
Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG), Jakarta, Indonesia
Gerard van der Schrier
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Gert-Jan Steeneveld
Meteorology and Air Quality, Wageningen University and Research (WUR), Wageningen, the Netherlands
Samuel J. Sutanto
Earth Systems and Global Change, Wageningen University and Research (WUR), Wageningen, the Netherlands
Edwin Sutanudjaja
Delta Climate Center, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Dian Nur Ratri
Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG), Jakarta, Indonesia
Ardhasena Sopaheluwakan
Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics (BMKG), Jakarta, Indonesia
Albert Klein Tank
Delta Climate Center, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
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Cited
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The joint variation of temperature and precipitation across Indonesia: A seasonal and regional analysis Y. Yulizar & C. Asdak https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-025-05872-7
- FUTURE PROJECTION OF FLOOD INUNDATION IN SANGGAI BASIN BASED ON COUPLED LAND COVER CHANGE AND BIAS-CORRECTED GLOBAL CLIMATE MODELS . I Gede Putu Indra ADITYA et al. https://doi.org/10.2208/journalofjscesp.25-16129
- Extreme climate and hydroclimatic modelling of water stress: Implications for livelihoods in Rajshahi, Bangladesh M. Ullah et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clwat.2026.100255
- Study on the evolution of ecological flow in river and its guarantee degree during different hydrological periods X. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2025.144761
- Flow behaviour in an alluvial river due to extreme rainfall I. Tunas et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1593/1/012035
- SPATIAL ESTIMATION OF EXTREME RAINFALL AND EXTREME DISCHARGE AND QUANTITATIVE ASSESSMENT OF FLOOD RISK ACROSS JAPAN T. MATSUURA et al. https://doi.org/10.2208/jscejj.25-16102
- Evaluation and Bias Correction of CORDEX-SEA Precipitation for Future Rainfall Projection in the Sutami Reservoir Catchment, Indonesia D. Anggraini et al. https://doi.org/10.29303/jppipa.v12i5.15055
- Rising temperature and its effect on rainfall intensity in urban area of Surabaya S. Rachma et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1593/1/012020
- Climate Change Impacts on Soil Erosion in a Tropical Watershed: Insights from SINGV Regional Climate Modelling and RUSLE M. Djuraini et al. https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.179419.1
- Unravelling the impact of changing rainy seasons on rice production in Southeast Asia: a climate change high-resolution perspective M. Hariadi et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-026-04136-1
- Quantifying the internal and external drivers of Southeast Asian rainfall extremes on decadal timescales S. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07412-x
- The changing magnitude and timing of riverine floods in India S. Kuntla et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-025-00099-y
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The joint variation of temperature and precipitation across Indonesia: A seasonal and regional analysis Y. Yulizar & C. Asdak https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-025-05872-7
- FUTURE PROJECTION OF FLOOD INUNDATION IN SANGGAI BASIN BASED ON COUPLED LAND COVER CHANGE AND BIAS-CORRECTED GLOBAL CLIMATE MODELS . I Gede Putu Indra ADITYA et al. https://doi.org/10.2208/journalofjscesp.25-16129
- Extreme climate and hydroclimatic modelling of water stress: Implications for livelihoods in Rajshahi, Bangladesh M. Ullah et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clwat.2026.100255
- Study on the evolution of ecological flow in river and its guarantee degree during different hydrological periods X. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2025.144761
- Flow behaviour in an alluvial river due to extreme rainfall I. Tunas et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1593/1/012035
- SPATIAL ESTIMATION OF EXTREME RAINFALL AND EXTREME DISCHARGE AND QUANTITATIVE ASSESSMENT OF FLOOD RISK ACROSS JAPAN T. MATSUURA et al. https://doi.org/10.2208/jscejj.25-16102
- Evaluation and Bias Correction of CORDEX-SEA Precipitation for Future Rainfall Projection in the Sutami Reservoir Catchment, Indonesia D. Anggraini et al. https://doi.org/10.29303/jppipa.v12i5.15055
- Rising temperature and its effect on rainfall intensity in urban area of Surabaya S. Rachma et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1593/1/012020
- Climate Change Impacts on Soil Erosion in a Tropical Watershed: Insights from SINGV Regional Climate Modelling and RUSLE M. Djuraini et al. https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.179419.1
- Unravelling the impact of changing rainy seasons on rice production in Southeast Asia: a climate change high-resolution perspective M. Hariadi et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-026-04136-1
- Quantifying the internal and external drivers of Southeast Asian rainfall extremes on decadal timescales S. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07412-x
- The changing magnitude and timing of riverine floods in India S. Kuntla et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44304-025-00099-y
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 11 Jun 2026
Short summary
We utilize the high-resolution CMIP6 for extreme rainfall and streamflow projection over Southeast Asia. This region will experience an increase in both dry and wet extremes in the near future. We found a more extreme low flow and high flow, along with an increasing probability of low-flow and high-flow events. We reveal that the changes in low-flow events and their probabilities are not only influenced by extremely dry climates but also by the catchment characteristics.
We utilize the high-resolution CMIP6 for extreme rainfall and streamflow projection over...
