Articles | Volume 27, issue 20
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-3823-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-3823-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
27 Oct 2023
Research article |
| 27 Oct 2023
| 27 Oct 2023
Forecasting estuarine salt intrusion in the Rhine–Meuse delta using an LSTM model
Bas J. M. Wullems
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Hydrology and Environmental Hydraulics Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, the Netherlands
Department of Operational Water Management & Early Warning, Unit of Inland Water Systems, Deltares, Delft, the Netherlands
Claudia C. Brauer
Hydrology and Environmental Hydraulics Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, the Netherlands
Fedor Baart
Department of Operational Water Management & Early Warning, Unit of Inland Water Systems, Deltares, Delft, the Netherlands
Department of Hydraulic Engineering, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft University of Technology, Delft, the Netherlands
Albrecht H. Weerts
Hydrology and Environmental Hydraulics Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, the Netherlands
Department of Operational Water Management & Early Warning, Unit of Inland Water Systems, Deltares, Delft, the Netherlands
Viewed
Total article views: 3,253 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 01 Mar 2023)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,463 | 696 | 94 | 3,253 | 115 | 116 |
- HTML: 2,463
- PDF: 696
- XML: 94
- Total: 3,253
- BibTeX: 115
- EndNote: 116
Total article views: 2,710 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 27 Oct 2023)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,119 | 525 | 66 | 2,710 | 96 | 94 |
- HTML: 2,119
- PDF: 525
- XML: 66
- Total: 2,710
- BibTeX: 96
- EndNote: 94
Total article views: 543 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 01 Mar 2023)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 344 | 171 | 28 | 543 | 19 | 22 |
- HTML: 344
- PDF: 171
- XML: 28
- Total: 543
- BibTeX: 19
- EndNote: 22
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 3,253 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 3,196 with geography defined
and 57 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 2,710 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 2,657 with geography defined
and 53 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 543 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 539 with geography defined
and 4 with unknown origin.
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
17 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Episodic Salinity Management to Counter Climate Change Effects on Tidal Brackish and Fresh Wetlands N. Johns et al.
- Integrated approaches for managing soil salinization: Detection, mitigation, and sustainability Y. Chen et al.
- A generalized cell-based model framework for contaminant dispersion in marine environments Y. Ma et al.
- A patch-ProbSparse-huber enhanced iTransformer for short-term coastal salinity forecasting W. Jia & S. Guan
- Global increases of salt intrusion in estuaries under future environmental conditions J. Lee et al.
- Mechanisms of saltwater intrusion and its sensitivity to river discharge in a medium-sized estuary: Insights from the Minjiang Estuary, China J. Huang et al.
- Attribution analysis and forecast of salinity intrusion in the Modaomen estuary of the Pearl River Delta Q. Tian et al.
- An integrated view on the uncertainties of sea-level rise, hazards and impacts, and adaptation T. Hermans et al.
- Seasonal Runoff Variability as a Driver of Salt Wedge Propagation and Water Quality Dynamics in an Estuarine River System H. Allafta et al.
- Predicting salinity levels in the Mekong delta (Viet Nam): analysis of machine learning and deep learning models P. Duc et al.
- Long-term daily prediction of saltwater intrusion based on the long memory-double autoregressive model K. Lin et al.
- Regional-scale precision mapping of cotton suitability using UAV and satellite data in arid environments J. He et al.
- Dynamics of salt intrusion in complex estuarine networks: an idealised model applied to the Rhine–Meuse Delta B. Biemond et al.
- Comparison and application of machine learning, deep learning, and statistical analysis methods in estuarine saltwater intrusion forecasting F. Yang et al.
- Predicting saltwater intrusion in Modaomen waterway based on an integrated deep learning model W. Chen et al.
- Prediction of the risk level of saltwater intrusion in the Modaomen waterway of the Pearl River Estuary based on the deep temporal clustering model Q. Tian et al.
- Long-term Prediction of Saltwater Intrusion Based on Sequence Learning Framework T. Li et al.
17 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Episodic Salinity Management to Counter Climate Change Effects on Tidal Brackish and Fresh Wetlands N. Johns et al.
- Integrated approaches for managing soil salinization: Detection, mitigation, and sustainability Y. Chen et al.
- A generalized cell-based model framework for contaminant dispersion in marine environments Y. Ma et al.
- A patch-ProbSparse-huber enhanced iTransformer for short-term coastal salinity forecasting W. Jia & S. Guan
- Global increases of salt intrusion in estuaries under future environmental conditions J. Lee et al.
- Mechanisms of saltwater intrusion and its sensitivity to river discharge in a medium-sized estuary: Insights from the Minjiang Estuary, China J. Huang et al.
- Attribution analysis and forecast of salinity intrusion in the Modaomen estuary of the Pearl River Delta Q. Tian et al.
- An integrated view on the uncertainties of sea-level rise, hazards and impacts, and adaptation T. Hermans et al.
- Seasonal Runoff Variability as a Driver of Salt Wedge Propagation and Water Quality Dynamics in an Estuarine River System H. Allafta et al.
- Predicting salinity levels in the Mekong delta (Viet Nam): analysis of machine learning and deep learning models P. Duc et al.
- Long-term daily prediction of saltwater intrusion based on the long memory-double autoregressive model K. Lin et al.
- Regional-scale precision mapping of cotton suitability using UAV and satellite data in arid environments J. He et al.
- Dynamics of salt intrusion in complex estuarine networks: an idealised model applied to the Rhine–Meuse Delta B. Biemond et al.
- Comparison and application of machine learning, deep learning, and statistical analysis methods in estuarine saltwater intrusion forecasting F. Yang et al.
- Predicting saltwater intrusion in Modaomen waterway based on an integrated deep learning model W. Chen et al.
- Prediction of the risk level of saltwater intrusion in the Modaomen waterway of the Pearl River Estuary based on the deep temporal clustering model Q. Tian et al.
- Long-term Prediction of Saltwater Intrusion Based on Sequence Learning Framework T. Li et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 30 Apr 2026
Short summary
In deltas, saltwater sometimes intrudes far inland and causes problems with freshwater availability. We created a model to forecast salt concentrations at a critical location in the Rhine–Meuse delta in the Netherlands. It requires a rather small number of data to make a prediction and runs fast. It predicts the occurrence of salt concentration peaks well but underestimates the highest peaks. Its speed gives water managers more time to reduce the problems caused by salt intrusion.
In deltas, saltwater sometimes intrudes far inland and causes problems with freshwater...
