Articles | Volume 27, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1945-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1945-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Statistical post-processing of precipitation forecasts using circulation classifications and spatiotemporal deep neural networks
Tuantuan Zhang
College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing
210098, China
Zhongmin Liang
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing
210098, China
Wentao Li
College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing
210098, China
CMA-HHU Joint Laboratory for HydroMeteorological Studies, Nanjing,
Jiangsu, China
Jun Wang
College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing
210098, China
Yiming Hu
College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing
210098, China
Binquan Li
College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing
210098, China
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- SSPP: a Novel Flood Probabilistic Forecasting Model Based on Synergistic Seq2Seq Framework and Peak-Enhanced Loss Function C. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-025-04478-y
- A deep learning network for improving predictions of maximum and minimum temperatures over complex terrain L. Xu et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-024-04901-1
- Time-independent bias correction methods compared with gauge adjustment methods in improving radar-based precipitation estimates K. Yousefi et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2023.2248108
- Filling Data Gaps: Comparing Regression-based Models and Machine Learning Methods for Rainfall Time Series Reconstruction A. de Oliveira Pinheiro et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01317-x
- Impact of deep learning-driven precipitation corrected data using near real-time satellite-based observations and model forecast in an integrated hydrological model K. Patakchi Yousefi et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2024.1439906
- Moisture Source–Receptor Relationships for Post-Processing Medium-Range Precipitation Forecasts M. Dantanarayana & S. Kanae https://doi.org/10.1007/s44393-026-00025-z
- Deep-learning-based sub-seasonal precipitation and streamflow ensemble forecasting over the source region of the Yangtze River N. Dong et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-2023-2025
- The applicability of statistical post-processing techniques for quantitative precipitation forecast in the Huaihe River Basin S. Xu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102988
- Enhanced sequential soil moisture estimation using an ensemble deep learning filter without linear-Gaussian constraints T. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134810
- Multi-layer grid-scale soil moisture estimation using spatiotemporal deep learning methods with physical constraints T. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133086
- A national-scale hybrid model for enhanced streamflow estimation – consolidating a physically based hydrological model with long short-term memory (LSTM) networks J. Liu et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2871-2024
- Improving ensemble forecast quality for heavy-to-extreme precipitation for the Meteorological Ensemble Forecast Processor via conditional bias-penalized regression S. Kim et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132363
- Data assimilation enhanced WRF simulation of the 2018 Kerala flood: sensitivity to initial conditions, parameterization schemes and extreme rainfall prediction skill F. Rasla et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-026-06325-5
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Forecasting bathing water quality in the UK: A critical review K. Krupska et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1718
- SSPP: a Novel Flood Probabilistic Forecasting Model Based on Synergistic Seq2Seq Framework and Peak-Enhanced Loss Function C. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-025-04478-y
- A deep learning network for improving predictions of maximum and minimum temperatures over complex terrain L. Xu et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-024-04901-1
- Time-independent bias correction methods compared with gauge adjustment methods in improving radar-based precipitation estimates K. Yousefi et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2023.2248108
- Filling Data Gaps: Comparing Regression-based Models and Machine Learning Methods for Rainfall Time Series Reconstruction A. de Oliveira Pinheiro et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-026-01317-x
- Impact of deep learning-driven precipitation corrected data using near real-time satellite-based observations and model forecast in an integrated hydrological model K. Patakchi Yousefi et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2024.1439906
- Moisture Source–Receptor Relationships for Post-Processing Medium-Range Precipitation Forecasts M. Dantanarayana & S. Kanae https://doi.org/10.1007/s44393-026-00025-z
- Deep-learning-based sub-seasonal precipitation and streamflow ensemble forecasting over the source region of the Yangtze River N. Dong et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-2023-2025
- The applicability of statistical post-processing techniques for quantitative precipitation forecast in the Huaihe River Basin S. Xu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102988
- Enhanced sequential soil moisture estimation using an ensemble deep learning filter without linear-Gaussian constraints T. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134810
- Multi-layer grid-scale soil moisture estimation using spatiotemporal deep learning methods with physical constraints T. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133086
- A national-scale hybrid model for enhanced streamflow estimation – consolidating a physically based hydrological model with long short-term memory (LSTM) networks J. Liu et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2871-2024
- Improving ensemble forecast quality for heavy-to-extreme precipitation for the Meteorological Ensemble Forecast Processor via conditional bias-penalized regression S. Kim et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132363
- Data assimilation enhanced WRF simulation of the 2018 Kerala flood: sensitivity to initial conditions, parameterization schemes and extreme rainfall prediction skill F. Rasla et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-026-06325-5
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 11 Aug 2026
Short summary
We use circulation classifications and spatiotemporal deep neural networks to correct raw daily forecast precipitation by combining large-scale circulation patterns with local spatiotemporal information. We find that the method not only captures the westward and northward movement of the western Pacific subtropical high but also shows substantially higher bias-correction capabilities than existing standard methods in terms of spatial scale, timescale, and intensity.
We use circulation classifications and spatiotemporal deep neural networks to correct raw daily...