Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 26, issue 14
Articles | Volume 26, issue 14
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3863-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3863-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 26, issue 14
Research article
 | 
25 Jul 2022
Research article |  | 25 Jul 2022

Analysis of high streamflow extremes in climate change studies: how do we calibrate hydrological models?

Bruno Majone, Diego Avesani, Patrick Zulian, Aldo Fiori, and Alberto Bellin

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Short summary
In this work, we introduce a methodology for devising reliable future high streamflow scenarios from climate change simulations. The calibration of a hydrological model is carried out to maximize the probability that the modeled and observed high flow extremes belong to the same statistical population. Application to the Adige River catchment (southeastern Alps, Italy) showed that this procedure produces reliable quantiles of the annual maximum streamflow for use in assessment studies.
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