Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 26, issue 8
Articles | Volume 26, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-2181-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-2181-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 26, issue 8
Research article
 | 
29 Apr 2022
Research article |  | 29 Apr 2022

Detecting hydrological connectivity using causal inference from time series: synthetic and real karstic case studies

Damien Delforge, Olivier de Viron, Marnik Vanclooster, Michel Van Camp, and Arnaud Watlet

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Latest update: 21 Jan 2025
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Short summary
Causal inference methods (CIMs) aim at identifying causal links from temporal dependencies found in time-series data. Using both synthetic data and real-time series from a karst system, we study and discuss the potential of four CIMs to reveal hydrological connections between variables in hydrological systems. Despite the ever-present risk of spurious hydrological connections, our results highlight that the nonlinear and multivariate CIM has a substantially lower false-positive rate.
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