Articles | Volume 26, issue 1
Research article
12 Jan 2022
Research article |  | 12 Jan 2022

A space–time Bayesian hierarchical modeling framework for projection of seasonal maximum streamflow

Álvaro Ossandón, Manuela I. Brunner, Balaji Rajagopalan, and William Kleiber

Data sets

Projection of Seasonal Streamflow Extremes for UCRB Dataset Alvaro Ossandon


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Short summary
Timely projections of seasonal streamflow extremes on a river network can be useful for flood risk mitigation, but this is challenging, particularly under space–time nonstationarity. We develop a space–time Bayesian hierarchical model (BHM) using temporal climate covariates and copulas to project seasonal streamflow extremes and the attendant uncertainties. We demonstrate this on the Upper Colorado River basin to project spring flow extremes using the preceding winter’s climate teleconnections.