Ecosystem adaptation to climate change: the sensitivity of hydrological predictions to time-dynamic model parameters
Laurène J. E. Bouaziz,Emma E. Aalbers,Albrecht H. Weerts,Mark Hegnauer,Hendrik Buiteveld,Rita Lammersen,Jasper Stam,Eric Sprokkereef,Hubert H. G. Savenije,and Markus Hrachowitz
Department of Water Management, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft University of Technology, P.O. Box 5048, 2600 GA Delft, the Netherlands
Department Catchment and Urban Hydrology, Deltares, Boussinesqweg 1, 2629 HV Delft, the Netherlands
Emma E. Aalbers
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), P.O. Box 201, 3730 AE De Bilt, the Netherlands
Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, 1081 HV, the Netherlands
Department of Water Management, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft University of Technology, P.O. Box 5048, 2600 GA Delft, the Netherlands
Department of Water Management, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft University of Technology, P.O. Box 5048, 2600 GA Delft, the Netherlands
Viewed
Total article views: 7,242 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML
PDF
XML
Total
Supplement
BibTeX
EndNote
5,705
1,392
145
7,242
358
97
112
HTML: 5,705
PDF: 1,392
XML: 145
Total: 7,242
Supplement: 358
BibTeX: 97
EndNote: 112
Views and downloads (calculated since 20 Apr 2021)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 20 Apr 2021)
Total article views: 5,885 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML
PDF
XML
Total
Supplement
BibTeX
EndNote
4,885
873
127
5,885
181
87
102
HTML: 4,885
PDF: 873
XML: 127
Total: 5,885
Supplement: 181
BibTeX: 87
EndNote: 102
Views and downloads (calculated since 09 Mar 2022)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 09 Mar 2022)
Total article views: 1,357 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML
PDF
XML
Total
Supplement
BibTeX
EndNote
820
519
18
1,357
177
10
10
HTML: 820
PDF: 519
XML: 18
Total: 1,357
Supplement: 177
BibTeX: 10
EndNote: 10
Views and downloads (calculated since 20 Apr 2021)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 20 Apr 2021)
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 7,242 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 6,698 with geography defined
and 544 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 5,885 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 5,429 with geography defined
and 456 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 1,357 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 1,269 with geography defined
and 88 with unknown origin.
Assuming stationarity of hydrological systems is no longer appropriate when considering land use and climate change. We tested the sensitivity of hydrological predictions to changes in model parameters that reflect ecosystem adaptation to climate and potential land use change. We estimated a 34 % increase in the root zone storage parameter under +2 K global warming, resulting in up to 15 % less streamflow in autumn, due to 14 % higher summer evaporation, compared to a stationary system.
Assuming stationarity of hydrological systems is no longer appropriate when considering land use...
