the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Identifying the dynamic evolution and feedback process of water resources nexus system considering socioeconomic development, ecological protection, and food security: A practical tool for sustainable water use
Yaogeng Tan
Zengchuan Dong
Sandra M. Guzman
Xinkui Wang
Wei Yan
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- Final revised paper (published on 21 Dec 2021)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 23 Feb 2021)
- Supplement to the preprint
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
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RC1: 'Comment on hess-2021-68', Anonymous Referee #1, 20 Apr 2021
Title: Modeling the integrated framework of water resources system considering socioeconomic development, ecological protection, and food production: A practical tool for sustainable water uses
Authors: Yaogeng Tan et al
Overall recommendation for this paper: reconsider after moderate revision
General:
This paper gives the dynamic evolution and feedback process of the water resources nexus system considering three parts: socio-economic development, ecological protection, and food safety, and applied it in a real case study in Guijiang River Basin. The results have demonstrated the feedback linkages and coevolution process dynamically and give a strong reference for water resources management communities. Although the method and idea are reasonable and the result is abundant, there are still some points that should be put emphasis to improve the quality of the paper.
Specific:
1. There is a little bit of a poor connection between the first two paragraphs. The first paragraph discloses the background of the paper while the second paragraph outlines the main methods to solve the problem of water resources systems. From the perspective of the entire content of both paragraphs, the first paragraph implies the complexity of the water resources system that is reflected by multiple water uses while the second paragraph implies how to solve this problem. But the first sentence of the second paragraph (L48-50) is a little bit confusing and should tell the readers why "optimal algorithms", "decision support system", "MCDA" (or SAA) are suitable for tackling "water resource problems facing multiple water users". The general sentence that describes the characteristics of the water resources system (e.g. multiple water uses) is needed at the beginning of the second paragraph to connect the logic and then "SAA" is used to solve the problem. The details are marked in the preprint that is uploaded in the supplement.
2. One or two sentences that further describes the optimal approach should be added in Line 59 to better connect the former (complexity of water resources system) and latter (disadvantages of optimal approach) information. I do know the optimal approach is the most effective approach to deal with the water management problems, but from the perspective of English language expression and rhetoric, the combination of optimal approach and water resources system should be added in Line 59 because the title includes "water resources system". Actually, as the author rightly mentioned in Line 40-41, water resources system "is susceptible to the influence of external conditions". From the system perspective, external conditions are influencing the status and performance of a certain system and is able to stimulate both the entire system and its each agent to adjust and strengthen themselves to better adapt to the external changes, which can be explained by "complex adaptive system" theory (See Holland, 1995). Optimal approach can describe and quantify such an adaptive process.
3. L67: There is lack of characteristics of nexus system, and should be described in two or three sentences. For example, its classification, their components, and feedback mechanism, etc. See Zhang et al.
4. The novelty and characteristics are not purely extracted and the relevant language should be more concisely. For example, in line 100-104, the authors should describe the effects and advantages of the method that couples SD and optimal model, instead of just saying "identify the coevolution process and dynamic interactions". Actually, optimal model can give a water allocation scheme in an optimal way but cannot simulate the dynamic process precisely. If coupling it with SD, accurate coordination among different water users can be realized under the dynamic interactions of water resource nexus system, and further improves its reliability.
5. Section 2.1 is the crucial part of the entire paper and should tell the readers why coupling SD and optimal models are applicable. It is necessary to start from the expression of the interaction of external changes on the nexus system and the advantages (see point 4) of both models to describe the reason why coupling SD and optimal models are needed.
6. In section 2.2.4, Line 220-223 and 229-232, it is not clear what the meaning of the symbol "+" and "-" is. I guess it represents increase and decrease. But in the following figures (Figs. 3 and 4) the "+" and "-" denotes the positive and negative feedback linkage. Are increase/decrease and positive/negative the same thing? If not, please note the meaning of "+" and "-" in lines 220-223 and 229-232, otherwise, it is confusing.
7. Fig 1 outlines the coupling framework of the SD and optimal model, but the internal relationship is not so clear from this figure. That is, the optimal model should be based on the certain interaction simulated by SD model. I guess it is the negative feedback loop that drives the optimal model (as the authors mentioned in Line 625-626), but it still needs to make clear in the Methodology section. Also, consider add it in the abstract if necessary. (Because for readers, they may read the abstract and methodology instead of results & discussion)
8. In conclusion, some expressions of the English language are not so precise, and please see my marked versions in the supplement.
Technical comments:
1. Unify the terms of the entire paper. For example "nexus system", "complex system" (L735, L739). Are they the same thing? If yes, please unify them. Another case "food safety" and "food security"; "crop yield", "crop production", "food production". Different terms make the paper ambiguous, also they are (or exactly are) representing the same thing. (See my comment in Line 20)
2. Title: This paper is about the dynamic process and feedback linkage of a nexus system. I suggest the title should include that. See the marked version in the supplement.
3. Fig. 11: The x-axis should be from 2021 to 2045?
4. Samely Table 5: Why the year in this table is 2016, 2020, 2030, 2040? Typing error or what? It is not consistent with other figures or tables.
5: Line 500: should be sections 5.2 and 5.3?
6. Other technical comments are list in the supplement.
References:
Holland J.H. Complex Adaptive System[M]. Reading Addison Wesley, 1995.
Holland J. H. Hidden Order: How adaptation builds complexity[M]. Perseus Books, 1995.
Zhang C., Chen C., Li Y., Ding W., Fu G.: Water-energy-food nexus: Concepts, questions and methodologies. J Clean Prod. 195: 625-639, 2018.
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AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Zengchuan Dong, 23 Jul 2021
We are greatly impressed by the reviewer’s decent tracks to our paper and give an opportunity to revise the paper. Below please find the point-to-point responses to your comments and help us to improve the quality of the paper.
1. There is a little bit of a poor connection between the first two paragraphs. The first paragraph discloses the background of the paper while the second paragraph outlines the main methods to solve the problem of water resources systems. From the perspective of the entire content of both paragraphs, the first paragraph implies the complexity of the water resources system that is reflected by multiple water uses while the second paragraph implies how to solve this problem. But the first sentence of the second paragraph (L48-50) is a little bit confusing and should tell the readers why "optimal algorithms", "decision support system", "MCDA" (or SAA) are suitable for tackling "water resource problems facing multiple water users". The general sentence that describes the characteristics of the water resources system (e.g. multiple water uses) is needed at the beginning of the second paragraph to connect the logic and then "SAA" is used to solve the problem. The details are marked in the preprint that is uploaded in the supplement.
Response: I totally agree with your opinion about your suggestions for the first two paragraphs. As the referee mentioned, the first paragraph disclosed the research background and research question, and the following paragraph should be the main methods that overcome this research question. The systematic analysis approach is exactly the main method to solve the systematic problem, exactly for water resources systems facing multiple objectives with high dimensions. In the revised paper, we will enhance the logical connection between the first two paragraphs based on your tracked supplement.
2. One or two sentences that further describes the optimal approach should be added in Line 59 to better connect the former (complexity of water resources system) and latter (disadvantages of optimal approach) information. I do know the optimal approach is the most effective approach to deal with the water management problems, but from the perspective of English language expression and rhetoric, the combination of optimal approach and water resources system should be added in Line 59 because the title includes "water resources system". Actually, as the author rightly mentioned in Line 40-41, water resources system "is susceptible to the influence of external conditions". From the system perspective, external conditions are influencing the status and performance of a certain system and is able to stimulate both the entire system and its each agent to adjust and strengthen themselves to better adapt to the external changes, which can be explained by "complex adaptive system" theory (See Holland, 1995). Optimal approach can describe and quantify such an adaptive process.
Response: We agree with your suggestion, and will add the relative sentences that describe the characteristics of the optimal approach. I have also read the reference you mentioned (Holland, 1995) and optimal approach is essentially the adaptive adjustment of a certain system that can be summarized as a “complex adaptive system”. In the revised paper, we will add the following sentence in line 59:
“In addition, the optimal approach is essentially the adaptive adjustment of a certain system that can be summarized as “complex adaptive system” (Holland, 1995), because the status of a certain system is susceptible to external conditions. As for water resources system, external conditions are able to stimulate both the entire system and its agents (i.e., water users) to adjust and strengthen themselves to better adapt to the external changes”.3. L67: There is lack of characteristics of nexus system, and should be described in two or three sentences. For example, its classification, their components, and feedback mechanism, etc. See Zhang et al.
Response: We have thoroughly read the reference from Zheng et al. Actually, the definition of nexus thinking can be classified into two categories: First, the nexus is interpreted as the interactions among different subsystems (or sectors) within the nexus system. Second, it is presented as an analytical approach to quantify the links between the nexus nodes.
The feedback mechanism not only includes the inner features of the coupled system by capturing the interactions between different sectors but also the external forces or actors that drive nexus system dynamics.
This will be added in the introduction section in Line 67.4. The novelty and characteristics are not purely extracted and the relevant language should be more concisely. For example, in line 100-104, the authors should describe the effects and advantages of the method that couples SD and optimal model, instead of just saying "identify the coevolution process and dynamic interactions". Actually, optimal model can give a water allocation scheme in an optimal way but cannot simulate the dynamic process precisely. If coupling it with SD, accurate coordination among different water users can be realized under the dynamic interactions of water resource nexus system, and further improves its reliability.
Response: Thank you. It is the key point. We agree with your opinion and will add such opinions in my paper (at the end of the Introduction section).
5. Section 2.1 is the crucial part of the entire paper and should tell the readers why coupling SD and optimal models are applicable. It is necessary to start from the expression of the interaction of external changes on the nexus system and the advantages (see point 4) of both models to describe the reason why coupling SD and optimal models are needed.
Response: This is exactly the most crucial part of this paper. As our paper mentioned, the external drivers can be summarized by the pendulum model. The water resources system is exposed to external drivers and will influence the status of the system. The system dynamic model is exactly the powerful tool to simulate the dynamic interaction of the water resources system and its components. However, according to the theory of “complex adaptive system” (CAS), the external drivers not only influence the system’s status but also starts the self-adjust process of both the whole system and its components to attain the adaptive status. Such a process can be characterized by the optimal model that can consider the coordination process among multiple agents, but it is unable to simulate the dynamic interactive process in a precise way. That’s the reason why the SD and optimal model should be coupled.
6. In section 2.2.4, Line 220-223 and 229-232, it is not clear what the meaning of the symbol "+" and "-" is. I guess it represents increase and decrease. But in the following figures (Figs. 3 and 4) the "+" and "-" denotes the positive and negative feedback linkage. Are increase/decrease and positive/negative the same thing? If not, please note the meaning of "+" and "-" in lines 220-223 and 229-232, otherwise, it is confusing.
Response: Thank you for your suggestion, In Figs. 3 and 4 the symbol “+” and “-” is exactly the positive and negative feedback loop. But in Line 220-223 and 229-232, We want to express the increase and decrease of a certain variable. We will modify the “+” and “-” to “↑” and ”↓” to express them precisely and make it clear.
7. Fig 1 outlines the coupling framework of the SD and optimal model, but the internal relationship is not so clear from this figure. That is, the optimal model should be based on the certain interaction simulated by SD model. I guess it is the negative feedback loop that drives the optimal model (as the authors mentioned in Line 625-626), but it still needs to make clear in the Methodology section. Also, consider adding it in the abstract if necessary. (Because for readers, they may read the abstract and methodology instead of results & discussion)
Response: Thanks for the decent suggestion. Yes, it is the negative feedback loop that drives the optimal model. I will make clear it also in the Abstract and Methodology section.
8. In conclusion, some expressions of the English language are not so precise, and please see my marked versions in the supplement.
Response: Thanks. I will revise it based on your tracked changes.
Technical comments:
1. Unify the terms of the entire paper. For example "nexus system", "complex system" (L735, L739). Are they the same thing? If yes, please unify them. Another case "food safety" and "food security"; "crop yield", "crop production", "food production". Different terms make the paper ambiguous, also they are (or exactly are) representing the same thing. (See my comment in Line 20)
Response: Yes. Thank you for your suggestion! We will check them to unify the terms.
2. Title: This paper is about the dynamic process and feedback linkage of a nexus system. I suggest the title should include that. See the marked version in the supplement.
Response: Good point! We will make changes.
3. Fig. 11: The x-axis should be from 2021 to 2045?
Response: I will make changes in the revised paper.
4. Samely Table 5: Why the year in this table is 2016, 2020, 2030, 2040? Typing error or what? It is not consistent with other figures or tables.
Response: It should be 2021, 2025, 2035, 2045. Sorry, typing errors.
5: Line 500: should be sections 5.2 and 5.3?
Response: I will make changes in the revised paper.
6. Other technical comments are list in the supplement.
Response: Many thanks for your decent suggestions and tracks to our paper! We will thoroughly revise the paper to greatly improve the quality!
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-68-AC1
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AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Zengchuan Dong, 23 Jul 2021
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RC2: 'A big improvement compared with previous version but still need to be improved before it can be considered for publication', Anonymous Referee #2, 12 Jun 2021
The research topic is greatly related to the academic frontier of hydrology & water resources and the significant requirements of socio-economy and ecological protection, which has theoretical and practical implications. I have reviewed the previous version of this paper (hess-2020-461) and glad to see the changes based on my previous comment. The first reviewer also pointed out some concerns about this paper and gave the details about the paper (see the marked supplements), and I quite agree with them. I believe they are helpful for the authors to fully revise the paper. In my view, before the paper can be published, the authors should consider not only the concerns and remarks from the first reviewer but also the following three points:
First, in section 2.1, the authors should add one or two sentences to explain the connections (or relationships) between external drivers (as authors stated as "pendulum model") and core methods (SD and optimal model). In other words, what are the mechanism and methodological bases of nexus changes driven by external changes? Please explain it in the revised paper, or it will be confusing.
Second, as the authors stated in L88-90, "those methods are used to simulate the dynamic status and feedbacks just in an objective way but no optimal function inherently, which limits the goal of sustainable water uses to some extent". But in the following sections, I didn't see any qualitative or quantitative analysis and proofs about the advantages of the methods used in this paper compared with the current methods. Does it improve the model's reliability, or, achieve the coordination more accurately among different agents under external changes? Or either of the two models cannot achieve the desired effect? Or other better effects? Such analysis should be implemented in the Discussion section to better enhance the contribution of the paper and better answer the research question.
Third, some comparisons should be made between other studies. For example, I saw the relative research from Tan et al., (2019) which deals with a similar area using similar optimal approaches but, some results and conclusions are not consistent. For example, in that paper, the authors state that the socio-economic agent is more sensitive. But in this paper, they claim that river ecological agent is more likely to influence the model's robustness. Why do the different results happen? Please explain it. By the way, I didn't read the entire paper (Tan et al., 2019, Water, 11, 4) in-depth and just see its conclusion section. But I believe every reader will have this question if only read the conclusion part of both papers. They may not read the entire paper but the abstract and conclusion.
For the third point, I'm not meaning the results of either of the paper is wrong, I mean the necessary discussion compared with other researches should be made for deeper discussion to improve the paper's quality. The original intention of each research paper itself is to explore the unknown field of a certain subject or topic, instead of justifying if the results are absolutely right or wrong. Various assumptions and different methodologies are encouraged in any research activities.
If those concerns are fully considered in the revised paper, I believe that it will be a good research paper and will be ready for publication.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-68-RC2 -
AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Zengchuan Dong, 24 Jul 2021
Thank you very much for your positive feedback on our paper and the comments posted last time (hess-2020-461). I have thoroughly revised the paper based on the last comments. And I believe the current comment can greatly help improve the quality of the paper. Here are the responses to your comments:
First, in section 2.1, the authors should add one or two sentences to explain the connections (or relationships) between external drivers (as authors stated as "pendulum model") and core methods (SD and optimal model). In other words, what are the mechanism and methodological bases of nexus changes driven by external changes? Please explain it in the revised paper, or it will be confusing.
Response: Thank you for this point. Actually, referee #1 also pointed out this issue, in point 5. The water resources system is exposed to external drivers and will influence the status of the system. The system dynamic model is exactly the powerful tool to simulate the dynamic interaction of the water resources system and its components. However, according to the theory of “complex adaptive system” (CAS), the external drivers not only influence the system’s status but also starts the self-adjust process of both the whole system and its components to attain the adaptive status. Such a process can be characterized by the optimal model that can consider the coordination process among multiple agents, but it is unable to simulate the dynamic interactive process in a precise way. That’s the reason why the SD and optimal model should be coupled. In the revised paper, we will make it clear.
Second, as the authors stated in L88-90, "those methods are used to simulate the dynamic status and feedbacks just in an objective way but no optimal function inherently, which limits the goal of sustainable water uses to some extent". But in the following sections, I didn't see any qualitative or quantitative analysis and proof about the advantages of the methods used in this paper compared with the current methods. Does it improve the model's reliability, or, achieve the coordination more accurately among different agents under external changes? Or either of the two models cannot achieve the desired effect? Or other better effects? Such analysis should be implemented in the Discussion section to better enhance the contribution of the paper and better answer the research question.
Response: Thank you for your suggestion. In fact, SD model is used to simulate the dynamic status of a large system, and it can also reveal the dynamic interactions among the components under external drivers. However, only SD model is unable to ensure the coordination among each agent. That is, it does not ensure its best status, just a tool for simulating the dynamic changes. Then the optimal model is used to attain the coordination status based on CAS theory. We will try to make a quantitive analysis to verify this assumption in the discussion section. For example, comparing the value of some variable(s) (e.g. SDD, optimal function, etc.) under different conditions (SD only, SD and optimal model).
Third, some comparisons should be made between other studies. For example, I saw the relative research from Tan et al., (2019) which deals with a similar area using similar optimal approaches but, some results and conclusions are not consistent. For example, in that paper, the authors state that the socio-economic agent is more sensitive. But in this paper, they claim that river ecological agent is more likely to influence the model's robustness. Why do the different results happen? Please explain it. By the way, I didn't read the entire paper (Tan et al., 2019, Water, 11, 4) in-depth and just see its conclusion section. But I believe every reader will have this question if only read the conclusion part of both papers. They may not read the entire paper but the abstract and conclusion.
Response: A very good question. In fact, they are different methods of robustness analysis. In this paper, the robust analysis is based on the changes of the weighting factors. Many previous studies also used this method. For example, Feng (2019) established the integrated framework of the water resources system and applied it in Danjiangkou Reservoir by introducing many parameters. The robust analysis is conducted based on the changes of these parameters, and the model performance (revealed by certain variables) under the different values of these parameters are analyzed. In our study, the parameters are the weighting factors of the entire optimal model. But in that study (Tan et al., 2019), the robust analysis is conducted by changing the reservoir’s streamflow and comparing the value of the objective functions of both in-stream and off-stream water users. The increasing streamflow results in decreasing water supply of off-stream, which leads to the higher increasing rate of the off-stream objective function. In fact, they are like apples and oranges due to the quite different methods. Therefore, there are lots of ways for robustness and their core content is quite different, which leads to different results. In terms of robust analysis, both two studies just attempt to make the initial analysis, and in our further research activities, we can find more advanced methods of robust analysis along with a more extensive literature review.
Reference: Feng, M., Liu, P., Guo, S., David, J. Y., Cheng, L., Yang, G., & Xie, A.: Adapting reservoir operations to the nexus across water supply, power generation, and environment systems: An explanatory tool for policymakers. J Hydrol, 574, 257-275, 2019.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-68-AC2
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AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Zengchuan Dong, 24 Jul 2021
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CC1: 'a little question', Miaomiao Zhong, 13 Jun 2021
It is noted the population growth rate of the study area (as part of Gulin city) stated in the manuscript is quite high for the next three decades, which is a little surprising. In fact, the Guilin government has very recently projected its population growth rate to be around 0.6% per year (2020-2030), in contrast to 1.23% (2021-2025) and 3.41% (2026-2035) presented in this study, see https://www.guilin.gov.cn/zfxxgk/fdzdgknr/jcxxgk/ghjh/202007/t20200713_1846545.shtml (in Chinese). It would be of interest to readers if the modelling results of the study area could remain solid under a different external condition.
Also, Venkatesan et al. (2011) is missing in the reference section.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-68-CC1 -
AC3: 'Reply on CC1', Zengchuan Dong, 28 Jul 2021
Thank you for your remarks. In fact, the growth rate presented in this study is based on the earlier version of the urban comprehensive planning, and planning of the Lingui-Suqiao Economic Development Zone. Both plannings showed that there will be a huge growth rate of population and GDP in Lingui and Yongfu County (Suqiao belongs to Yongfu). To be honest, I have been working for the water resources management of Guilin city for almost three years and the comprehensive plannings were still the old version. There was no such new planning document three years ago (Since the date of this new planning is Jun 2020). We will try to use this newest planning in our future research. Thank you for your question!
Meanwhile, we will recheck all the references in our revised version of this paper. Thank you for your reminder.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-68-AC3
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AC3: 'Reply on CC1', Zengchuan Dong, 28 Jul 2021
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RC3: 'Review comments on hess-2021-68', Anonymous Referee #3, 16 Jun 2021
This paper presented a very interesting study on the nexus system of water resources and applied it in the case study of UGRB. It comprises a relatively detailed mechanism of dynamic interaction and feedback loops across socio-economy, ecological protection, and food safety by incorporating the SD model and optimal model. The paper also makes the initial analysis of the model's uncertainty and robustness which helps improve the reliability of the nexus system.
I greatly agree with another two referees that this is a well-written, solid manuscript and keeps pace with the state-of-the-art approaches of the scientific problems of hydrology & water resources, and also well fit the scope of HESS communities. I recommend the editor accept this paper after some minor revisions, as noted below:
1. The naming scheme of the "SEF" nexus, which also noted socioeconomy, ecology, and food, has no core basis. After all, our subject (or academic discipline) is hydrology & water resources. I do know water resources is one of the key support of these three items but, from the perspective of "nexus" naming, water should be included in the nexus terminology (or jargon), that is, water-socioeconomy-ecology-food nexus (WSEF nexus). Or it will be confusing.
2. Section 2.4 (start with L399): evaluation index system seems to be widely used in other studies and not specific. I don't know the difference when the same evaluation system is used in other studies because it's also suitable in other studies. So, how can the indicator evaluation system represent the sustainable development of a nexus system? (I don't know if my understanding is right, just my personal view.)
3. The paper lacks the calibration and validation part. Conceptual models should be calibrated and validated before using and simulating in a real case study. Please add such analysis (even the result).
4. The nexus system used in this paper is a case study of the humid region of south China but lacks universality analysis, that is, is the model only suitable for the humid region or all-region? Are dry regions also suitable?
5. Results: Section 4.2.3: socioeconomy-food response linkage. It seems that carrying population/GDP is in direct proportion to crop yield from this paper. But in real cases, the relationship between crop production and carrying population is not as simple as a linear relation. Their relations are really complex and cannot simply be analyzed from a quantified trend. See Lyu et al., 2020.
For points 4 and 5, they are the main research limitations of this study. And such limitations should be acknowledged if this paper is finally accepted. But generally, this paper is good with an interesting topic.
Technical:
L32: agricultural water uses have nothing to do with rainfall, it should be a "process of agricultural water demand". As authors rightly said in Section 2.2.3, food production is greatly related to Wp (Crop water demand, see Eq.9), which substantially related to ET0, instead of rainfall.L43: Add "However," before "the dynamic interactions......" to connect the logic. These two sentences have an adversative relation.
References:
Lyu H, Dong Z, Pande S. Interlinkages between human agency, water use efficiency and sustainable food production. Journal of Hydrology, 2020, 582: 124524.Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-68-RC3 -
AC4: 'Reply on RC3', Zengchuan Dong, 28 Jul 2021
Thank you for your positive remarks on our paper. We will thoroughly revise the paper based on your comments. Below please find out the responses to your comments:
1. The naming scheme of the "SEF" nexus, which also noted socioeconomy, ecology, and food, has no core basis. After all, our subject (or academic discipline) is hydrology & water resources. I do know water resources is one of the key support of these three items but, from the perspective of "nexus" naming, water should be included in the nexus terminology (or jargon), that is, water-socioeconomy-ecology-food nexus (WSEF nexus). Or it will be confusing.
A decent point. We will make changes in the revised paper.
2. Section 2.4 (start with L399): evaluation index system seems to be widely used in other studies and not specific. I don't know the difference when the same evaluation system is used in other studies because it's also suitable in other studies. So, how can the indicator evaluation system represent the sustainable development of a nexus system? (I don't know if my understanding is right, just my personal view.)
Thank you for this question. The core content is to evaluate the sustainable water uses of the nexus system. So there should be a quantitive evaluation of how sustainable water use is like. Only qualitative estimation cannot reveal the coordinative degree (or how the best/good/worst status could be defined), so the evaluation system that evaluates the sustainable water uses of a system were adopted in this study. This is just a tool to evaluate how sustainable status is like.
3. The paper lacks the calibration and validation part. Conceptual models should be calibrated and validated before using and simulating in a real case study. Please add such analysis (even the result).
Yes. Model calibration and validation can not be omitted. We will add this part.
4. The nexus system used in this paper is a case study of the humid region of south China but lacks universality analysis, that is, is the model only suitable for the humid region or all-region? Are dry regions also suitable?
A good question. This study is exactly a case study of Southern China in order to verify the reliability and availability of the nexus framework. About the availability of other regions, we will try to do it in our future research. This is the main limitation of this study and we acknowledge it.
5. Results: Section 4.2.3: socioeconomy-food response linkage. It seems that carrying population/GDP is in direct proportion to crop yield from this paper. But in real cases, the relationship between crop production and carrying population is not as simple as a linear relation. Their relations are really complex and cannot simply be analyzed from a quantified trend. See Lyu et al., 2020.
Thank you for this point. This paper mainly focuses on the dynamic interaction and feedback linkages of the water resources system. But in most cases, crop production is roughly in proportion to population sizes, because crop production supports people’s survival. The socioeconomy-food linkage is presented based on this assumption. However, if this point is deeply explored, crop production and population size (or GDP) are not as simple as a linear relationship, which can be another good research field and is beyond the scope of this paper. This point can also be the main limitation of this paper.
6. L32: agricultural water uses have nothing to do with rainfall, it should be a "process of agricultural water demand". As authors rightly said in Section 2.2.3, food production is greatly related to Wp (Crop water demand, see Eq.9), which is substantially related to ET0, instead of rainfall.
We will make changes.
7. L43: Add "However," before "the dynamic interactions......" to connect the logic. These two sentences have an adversative relation.
We will make changes to the revised paper.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-68-AC4
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AC4: 'Reply on RC3', Zengchuan Dong, 28 Jul 2021