Articles | Volume 25, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-565-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-565-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
08 Feb 2021
Research article |
| 08 Feb 2021
| 08 Feb 2021
Flash drought onset over the contiguous United States: sensitivity of inventories and trends to quantitative definitions
Mahmoud Osman
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
Benjamin F. Zaitchik
Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
Hamada S. Badr
Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
Jordan I. Christian
School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK, USA
Tsegaye Tadesse
National Drought Mitigation Center, University of Nebraska–Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, USA
Jason A. Otkin
Space Science and Engineering Center, Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI, USA
Martha C. Anderson
Hydrology and Remote Sensing Laboratory, Agricultural Research Service, USDA, Beltsville, MD, USA
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Cited
47 citations as recorded by crossref.
- A global transition to flash droughts under climate change X. Yuan et al. 10.1126/science.abn6301
- The prevalent life cycle of agricultural flash droughts M. Lovino et al. 10.1038/s41612-024-00618-0
- Flash drought identification from satellite-based land surface water index J. Christian et al. 10.1016/j.rsase.2022.100770
- On the role of antecedent meteorological conditions on flash drought initialization in Europe J. Shah et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acd8d3
- Projection of Flash Droughts in the Headstream Area of Tarim River Basin Under Climate Change Through Bayesian Uncertainty Analysis X. Yu et al. 10.1029/2022JD037634
- A spatiotemporal deconstruction-based approach for identifying flash drought expansion: Normalized Area-Time Accumulation curve R. Chen et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129509
- Diagnostic Classification of Flash Drought Events Reveals Distinct Classes of Forcings and Impacts M. Osman et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0134.1
- The diagnosis about spatio-temporal characteristics and driving factors of flash drought and its prediction over typical humid and semi-arid basins in China Q. Zhu & Y. Wang 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0062.1
- A reversal in global occurrences of flash drought around 2000 identified by rapid changes in the standardized evaporative stress ratio S. Deng et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157427
- How do we identify flash droughts? A case study in Central European Croplands P. Alencar & E. Paton 10.2166/nh.2022.003
- Flash droughts in Central Europe and their circulation drivers J. Řehoř et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-06964-8
- Flash drought early warning based on the trajectory of solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence K. Mohammadi et al. 10.1073/pnas.2202767119
- Flash Drought: Review of Concept, Prediction and the Potential for Machine Learning, Deep Learning Methods S. Tyagi et al. 10.1029/2022EF002723
- Identification and analysis of evolution characteristics of flash drought based on three-dimensional perspective: A case study in the Jialing River basin C. Meng et al. 10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101803
- Probabilistic analysis on the influences of heatwaves during the onset of flash droughts over China X. Zhang et al. 10.2166/nh.2023.022
- Flash drought as a new climate threat: drought indices, insights from a study in India and implications for future research S. Rakkasagi et al. 10.2166/wcc.2023.347
- A New Evapotranspiration-Based Drought Index for Flash Drought Identification and Monitoring P. Li et al. 10.3390/rs16050780
- Flash drought: A state of the science review J. Christian et al. 10.1002/wat2.1714
- Evaluating a new temperature-vegetation-shortwave infrared reflectance dryness index (TVSDI) in the continental United States M. Xu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127785
- Comparing Agriculture‐Related Characteristics of Flash and Normal Drought Reveals Heterogeneous Crop Response S. Ho et al. 10.1029/2023WR034994
- Drought Monitoring in Terms of Evapotranspiration Based on Satellite Data from Meteosat in Areas of Strong Land–Atmosphere Coupling J. Stoyanova et al. 10.3390/land12010240
- Analysis of the critical components of flash drought using the standardized evaporative stress ratio S. Edris et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109288
- Improved Understanding of Flash Drought from a Comparative Analysis of Drought with Different Intensification Rates J. Han et al. 10.3390/rs15082049
- A review on the identification methods of flash drought and its spatial dynamic propagation Y. Pang et al. 10.1051/e3sconf/202343801005
- Development of a Flash Drought Intensity Index J. Otkin et al. 10.3390/atmos12060741
- Trends, Variability, and Drivers of Flash Droughts in the Contiguous United States K. Lesinger & D. Tian 10.1029/2022WR032186
- Flash drought fades away under the effect of accumulated water deficits: the persistence and transition to conventional drought Y. Liu et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acfccb
- Future global concurrent droughts and their effects on maize yield D. Muthuvel et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158860
- Quantifying Agricultural Drought Severity for Spring Wheat Based on Response of Leaf Photosynthetic Features to Progressive Soil Drying K. Zhang et al. 10.3390/atmos13040531
- Flash Drought and Its Characteristics in Northeastern South America during 2004–2022 Using Satellite-Based Products H. Barbosa 10.3390/atmos14111629
- Increased risk of flash droughts with raised concurrent hot and dry extremes under global warming Z. Zeng et al. 10.1038/s41612-023-00468-2
- Global projections of flash drought show increased risk in a warming climate J. Christian et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00826-1
- Identification and risk assessment of flash drought in the Pearl River basin based on the Standardized Evaporative Stress Ratio L. Zhong et al. 10.1007/s00704-022-04228-9
- Development of a novel daily-scale compound dry and hot index and its application across seven climatic regions of China H. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106700
- Probabilistic Forecast and Risk Assessment of Flash Droughts Based on Numeric Weather Forecast: A Case Study in Zhejiang, China J. Wen et al. 10.3390/su15043865
- Analysis of flash droughts in China using machine learning L. Zhang et al. 10.5194/hess-26-3241-2022
- Application of an improved spatio-temporal identification method of flash droughts Q. Gou et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127224
- Identification and evaluation of soil moisture flash drought by a nonstationary framework considering climate and land cover changes X. Zha et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158953
- Characteristics of flash droughts and their association with compound meteorological extremes in China: Observations and model simulations Y. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170133
- Accelerating flash droughts induced by the joint influence of soil moisture depletion and atmospheric aridity Y. Qing et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-28752-4
- Identification of the Meteorological Variables Influencing Evapotranspiration Variability Over Florida M. Valipour & S. Guzmán 10.1007/s10666-022-09828-3
- Global Change in Agricultural Flash Drought over the 21st Century E. Black 10.1007/s00376-023-2366-5
- A standardized index for assessing sub-monthly compound dry and hot conditions with application in China J. Li et al. 10.5194/hess-25-1587-2021
- Spatiotemporal Variation in Water Deficit- and Heatwave-Driven Flash Droughts in Songnen Plain and Its Ecological Impact J. Sun et al. 10.3390/rs16081408
- Flash Drought Response to Precipitation and Atmospheric Evaporative Demand in Spain I. Noguera et al. 10.3390/atmos12020165
- Global Flash Drought Monitoring Using Surface Soil Moisture V. Sehgal et al. 10.1029/2021WR029901
- Global Flash Drought Analysis: Uncertainties From Indicators and Datasets S. Mukherjee & A. Mishra 10.1029/2022EF002660
44 citations as recorded by crossref.
- A global transition to flash droughts under climate change X. Yuan et al. 10.1126/science.abn6301
- The prevalent life cycle of agricultural flash droughts M. Lovino et al. 10.1038/s41612-024-00618-0
- Flash drought identification from satellite-based land surface water index J. Christian et al. 10.1016/j.rsase.2022.100770
- On the role of antecedent meteorological conditions on flash drought initialization in Europe J. Shah et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acd8d3
- Projection of Flash Droughts in the Headstream Area of Tarim River Basin Under Climate Change Through Bayesian Uncertainty Analysis X. Yu et al. 10.1029/2022JD037634
- A spatiotemporal deconstruction-based approach for identifying flash drought expansion: Normalized Area-Time Accumulation curve R. Chen et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129509
- Diagnostic Classification of Flash Drought Events Reveals Distinct Classes of Forcings and Impacts M. Osman et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0134.1
- The diagnosis about spatio-temporal characteristics and driving factors of flash drought and its prediction over typical humid and semi-arid basins in China Q. Zhu & Y. Wang 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0062.1
- A reversal in global occurrences of flash drought around 2000 identified by rapid changes in the standardized evaporative stress ratio S. Deng et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157427
- How do we identify flash droughts? A case study in Central European Croplands P. Alencar & E. Paton 10.2166/nh.2022.003
- Flash droughts in Central Europe and their circulation drivers J. Řehoř et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-06964-8
- Flash drought early warning based on the trajectory of solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence K. Mohammadi et al. 10.1073/pnas.2202767119
- Flash Drought: Review of Concept, Prediction and the Potential for Machine Learning, Deep Learning Methods S. Tyagi et al. 10.1029/2022EF002723
- Identification and analysis of evolution characteristics of flash drought based on three-dimensional perspective: A case study in the Jialing River basin C. Meng et al. 10.1016/j.uclim.2023.101803
- Probabilistic analysis on the influences of heatwaves during the onset of flash droughts over China X. Zhang et al. 10.2166/nh.2023.022
- Flash drought as a new climate threat: drought indices, insights from a study in India and implications for future research S. Rakkasagi et al. 10.2166/wcc.2023.347
- A New Evapotranspiration-Based Drought Index for Flash Drought Identification and Monitoring P. Li et al. 10.3390/rs16050780
- Flash drought: A state of the science review J. Christian et al. 10.1002/wat2.1714
- Evaluating a new temperature-vegetation-shortwave infrared reflectance dryness index (TVSDI) in the continental United States M. Xu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127785
- Comparing Agriculture‐Related Characteristics of Flash and Normal Drought Reveals Heterogeneous Crop Response S. Ho et al. 10.1029/2023WR034994
- Drought Monitoring in Terms of Evapotranspiration Based on Satellite Data from Meteosat in Areas of Strong Land–Atmosphere Coupling J. Stoyanova et al. 10.3390/land12010240
- Analysis of the critical components of flash drought using the standardized evaporative stress ratio S. Edris et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109288
- Improved Understanding of Flash Drought from a Comparative Analysis of Drought with Different Intensification Rates J. Han et al. 10.3390/rs15082049
- A review on the identification methods of flash drought and its spatial dynamic propagation Y. Pang et al. 10.1051/e3sconf/202343801005
- Development of a Flash Drought Intensity Index J. Otkin et al. 10.3390/atmos12060741
- Trends, Variability, and Drivers of Flash Droughts in the Contiguous United States K. Lesinger & D. Tian 10.1029/2022WR032186
- Flash drought fades away under the effect of accumulated water deficits: the persistence and transition to conventional drought Y. Liu et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acfccb
- Future global concurrent droughts and their effects on maize yield D. Muthuvel et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158860
- Quantifying Agricultural Drought Severity for Spring Wheat Based on Response of Leaf Photosynthetic Features to Progressive Soil Drying K. Zhang et al. 10.3390/atmos13040531
- Flash Drought and Its Characteristics in Northeastern South America during 2004–2022 Using Satellite-Based Products H. Barbosa 10.3390/atmos14111629
- Increased risk of flash droughts with raised concurrent hot and dry extremes under global warming Z. Zeng et al. 10.1038/s41612-023-00468-2
- Global projections of flash drought show increased risk in a warming climate J. Christian et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00826-1
- Identification and risk assessment of flash drought in the Pearl River basin based on the Standardized Evaporative Stress Ratio L. Zhong et al. 10.1007/s00704-022-04228-9
- Development of a novel daily-scale compound dry and hot index and its application across seven climatic regions of China H. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106700
- Probabilistic Forecast and Risk Assessment of Flash Droughts Based on Numeric Weather Forecast: A Case Study in Zhejiang, China J. Wen et al. 10.3390/su15043865
- Analysis of flash droughts in China using machine learning L. Zhang et al. 10.5194/hess-26-3241-2022
- Application of an improved spatio-temporal identification method of flash droughts Q. Gou et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.127224
- Identification and evaluation of soil moisture flash drought by a nonstationary framework considering climate and land cover changes X. Zha et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158953
- Characteristics of flash droughts and their association with compound meteorological extremes in China: Observations and model simulations Y. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170133
- Accelerating flash droughts induced by the joint influence of soil moisture depletion and atmospheric aridity Y. Qing et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-28752-4
- Identification of the Meteorological Variables Influencing Evapotranspiration Variability Over Florida M. Valipour & S. Guzmán 10.1007/s10666-022-09828-3
- Global Change in Agricultural Flash Drought over the 21st Century E. Black 10.1007/s00376-023-2366-5
- A standardized index for assessing sub-monthly compound dry and hot conditions with application in China J. Li et al. 10.5194/hess-25-1587-2021
- Spatiotemporal Variation in Water Deficit- and Heatwave-Driven Flash Droughts in Songnen Plain and Its Ecological Impact J. Sun et al. 10.3390/rs16081408
3 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Flash Drought Response to Precipitation and Atmospheric Evaporative Demand in Spain I. Noguera et al. 10.3390/atmos12020165
- Global Flash Drought Monitoring Using Surface Soil Moisture V. Sehgal et al. 10.1029/2021WR029901
- Global Flash Drought Analysis: Uncertainties From Indicators and Datasets S. Mukherjee & A. Mishra 10.1029/2022EF002660
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 24 Apr 2024
Short summary
Our study of flash droughts' definitions over the United States shows that published definitions yield markedly different inventories of flash drought geography and frequency. Results suggest there are several pathways that can lead to events that are characterized as flash droughts. Lack of consensus across definitions helps to explain apparent contradictions in the literature on trends and indicates the selection of a definition is important for accurate monitoring of different mechanisms.
Our study of flash droughts' definitions over the United States shows that published definitions...
