Articles | Volume 25, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1347-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1347-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Do small and large floods have the same drivers of change? A regional attribution analysis in Europe
Miriam Bertola
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Vienna University of Technology, Karlsplatz 13, 1040 Vienna, Austria
Alberto Viglione
Department of Environment, Land and Infrastructure Engineering (DIATI), Polytechnic University of Turin, Corso Duca degli Abruzzi 24, 10129 Turin, Italy
Sergiy Vorogushyn
GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Hydrology section, Telegrafenberg, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
David Lun
Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Vienna University of Technology, Karlsplatz 13, 1040 Vienna, Austria
Bruno Merz
GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Hydrology section, Telegrafenberg, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Institute for Environmental Sciences and Geography, University of Potsdam, Karl-Liebknecht-Straße 24–25, 14476 Potsdam, Germany
Günter Blöschl
Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Vienna University of Technology, Karlsplatz 13, 1040 Vienna, Austria
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- The Timing of Global Floods and Its Association With Climate and Topography P. Torre Zaffaroni et al. 10.1029/2022WR032968
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- Influence of low-frequency variability on high and low groundwater levels: example of aquifers in the Paris Basin L. Baulon et al. 10.5194/hess-26-2829-2022
- Temporal changes in the frequency of flood types and their impact on flood statistics S. Fischer & A. Schumann 10.1016/j.hydroa.2024.100171
- Flood hazard potential reveals global floodplain settlement patterns L. Devitt et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-38297-9
- Increasing risk of synchronous floods in the Yangtze River basin from the shift in flood timing Y. Xu et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171167
- Classification of flood-generating processes in Africa Y. Tramblay et al. 10.1038/s41598-022-23725-5
- Shifting in the global flood timing G. Fang et al. 10.1038/s41598-022-23748-y
- Controls on Flood Trends Across the United States M. Kemter et al. 10.1029/2021WR031673
- Frequency of Italian Record-Breaking Floods over the Last Century (1911–2020) A. Castellarin et al. 10.3390/atmos15070865
- Nonstationary weather and water extremes: a review of methods for their detection, attribution, and management L. Slater et al. 10.5194/hess-25-3897-2021
- Simulation experiments comparing nonstationary design-flood adjustments based on observed annual peak flows in the conterminous United States J. Hecht et al. 10.1016/j.hydroa.2021.100115
- Floods and Heavy Precipitation at the Global Scale: 100‐Year Analysis and 180‐Year Reconstruction B. Renard et al. 10.1029/2022JD037908
- Baseflow significantly contributes to river floods in Peninsular India S. Sharma & P. Mujumdar 10.1038/s41598-024-51850-w
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- Applying a Holistic Approach to Environmental Flow Assessment in the Yen River Basin T. Tong et al. 10.3390/w16081174
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- Diverging projections for flood and rainfall frequency curves C. Wasko et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129403
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- Evaluation of key flood risk drivers under climate change using a bottom-up approach D. O’Shea et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131694
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Latest update: 23 Nov 2024
Short summary
We estimate the contribution of extreme precipitation, antecedent soil moisture and snowmelt to changes in small and large floods across Europe.
In northwestern and eastern Europe, changes in small and large floods are driven mainly by one single driver (i.e. extreme precipitation and snowmelt, respectively). In southern Europe both antecedent soil moisture and extreme precipitation significantly contribute to flood changes, and their relative importance depends on flood magnitude.
We estimate the contribution of extreme precipitation, antecedent soil moisture and snowmelt to...