Articles | Volume 25, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1347-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1347-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
19 Mar 2021
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 19 Mar 2021
| 19 Mar 2021
Do small and large floods have the same drivers of change? A regional attribution analysis in Europe
Miriam Bertola
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Vienna University of Technology, Karlsplatz 13, 1040 Vienna, Austria
Alberto Viglione
Department of Environment, Land and Infrastructure Engineering (DIATI), Polytechnic University of Turin, Corso Duca degli Abruzzi 24, 10129 Turin, Italy
Sergiy Vorogushyn
GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Hydrology section, Telegrafenberg, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
David Lun
Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Vienna University of Technology, Karlsplatz 13, 1040 Vienna, Austria
Bruno Merz
GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Hydrology section, Telegrafenberg, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Institute for Environmental Sciences and Geography, University of Potsdam, Karl-Liebknecht-Straße 24–25, 14476 Potsdam, Germany
Günter Blöschl
Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Vienna University of Technology, Karlsplatz 13, 1040 Vienna, Austria
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- Accessing Insurance Flood Losses Using a Catastrophe Model and Climate Change Scenarios L. Palán et al. 10.3390/cli10050067
- Bayesian Networks for Preprocessing Water Management Data R. Ropero et al. 10.3390/math10101777
- Three hypotheses on changing river flood hazards G. Blöschl 10.5194/hess-26-5015-2022
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- Characterising the coincidence of soil moisture – precipitation extremes as a possible precursor to European floods A. Manoj J et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129445
- Understanding Heavy Tails of Flood Peak Distributions B. Merz et al. 10.1029/2021WR030506
- Reservoir operation affects propagation from meteorological to hydrological extremes in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin X. Yun et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.165297
- The Timing of Global Floods and Its Association With Climate and Topography P. Torre Zaffaroni et al. 10.1029/2022WR032968
- HOchwasserRisikozonierung Austria 3.0 (HORA 3.0) G. Blöschl et al. 10.1007/s00506-022-00848-7
- An Overview of Flood Concepts, Challenges, and Future Directions A. Mishra et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0002164
- Delineation of Flood Susceptibility Zone Using Analytical Hierarchy Process and Frequency Ratio Methods: A Case Study of Dakshin Dinajpur District, India D. Sarkar et al. 10.1007/s12524-023-01777-y
- Processing of nationwide topographic data for ensuring consistent river network representation M. Wimmer et al. 10.1016/j.hydroa.2021.100106
- Diverging projections for flood and rainfall frequency curves C. Wasko et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129403
- Atmospheric conditions favouring extreme precipitation and flash floods in temperate regions of Europe J. Meyer et al. 10.5194/hess-26-6163-2022
- Comprehensive Flood Risk Assessment: State of the Practice N. Grigg 10.3390/hydrology10020046
- Changes in Mediterranean flood processes and seasonality Y. Tramblay et al. 10.5194/hess-27-2973-2023
- Unraveling hydroclimatic forces controlling the runoff coefficient trends in central Italy’s Upper Tiber Basin A. Rahi et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2023.101579
- River flooding mechanisms and their changes in Europe revealed by explainable machine learning S. Jiang et al. 10.5194/hess-26-6339-2022
- On the relation between antecedent basin conditions and runoff coefficient for European floods C. Massari et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130012
- Influence of low-frequency variability on high and low groundwater levels: example of aquifers in the Paris Basin L. Baulon et al. 10.5194/hess-26-2829-2022
- The relative importance of antecedent soil moisture and precipitation in flood generation in the middle and lower Yangtze River basin Q. Ran et al. 10.5194/hess-26-4919-2022
- Flood hazard potential reveals global floodplain settlement patterns L. Devitt et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-38297-9
- Understanding the impacts of predecessor rain events on flood hazard in a changing climate A. Khatun et al. 10.1002/hyp.14500
- Shifts in flood generation processes exacerbate regional flood anomalies in Europe L. Tarasova et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00714-8
- Classification of flood-generating processes in Africa Y. Tramblay et al. 10.1038/s41598-022-23725-5
- Shifting in the global flood timing G. Fang et al. 10.1038/s41598-022-23748-y
- Controls on Flood Trends Across the United States M. Kemter et al. 10.1029/2021WR031673
- Nonstationary stochastic paired watershed approach: Investigating forest harvesting effects on floods in two large, nested, and snow-dominated watersheds in British Columbia, Canada R. Johnson & Y. Alila 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129970
- Correlation between climate and flood indices in Northwestern Italy at different temporal scales M. Pesce et al. 10.2478/johh-2022-0009
- Nonstationary weather and water extremes: a review of methods for their detection, attribution, and management L. Slater et al. 10.5194/hess-25-3897-2021
- Simulation experiments comparing nonstationary design-flood adjustments based on observed annual peak flows in the conterminous United States J. Hecht et al. 10.1016/j.hydroa.2021.100115
- Floods and Heavy Precipitation at the Global Scale: 100‐Year Analysis and 180‐Year Reconstruction B. Renard et al. 10.1029/2022JD037908
- Is there a consistency in basin morphometry and hydrodynamic modelling results in terms of the flood generation potential of basins? A case study from the Ulus River Basin (Türkiye) H. Ozdemir & A. Akbas 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129926
- Evidence of shorter more extreme rainfalls and increased flood variability under climate change C. Wasko et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126994
Latest update: 04 Dec 2023
Short summary
We estimate the contribution of extreme precipitation, antecedent soil moisture and snowmelt to changes in small and large floods across Europe.
In northwestern and eastern Europe, changes in small and large floods are driven mainly by one single driver (i.e. extreme precipitation and snowmelt, respectively). In southern Europe both antecedent soil moisture and extreme precipitation significantly contribute to flood changes, and their relative importance depends on flood magnitude.
We estimate the contribution of extreme precipitation, antecedent soil moisture and snowmelt to...
