Articles | Volume 24, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3493-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3493-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
13 Jul 2020
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 13 Jul 2020
| 13 Jul 2020
Why does a conceptual hydrological model fail to correctly predict discharge changes in response to climate change?
Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Technische Universität Wien, Karlsplatz 13/223, 1040 Vienna, Austria
IGB Leibniz-Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries,
Müggelseedamm 310, 12587 Berlin, Germany
Günter Blöschl
Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Technische Universität Wien, Karlsplatz 13/223, 1040 Vienna, Austria
Juraj Parajka
Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Technische Universität Wien, Karlsplatz 13/223, 1040 Vienna, Austria
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Latest update: 18 May 2025
Short summary
We investigate why a conceptual hydrological model failed to correctly predict observed discharge changes in response to increasing precipitation and air temperature in 156 Austrian catchments. Simulations indicate that poor model performance is related to two problems, namely a model structure that neglects changes in vegetation dynamics and inhomogeneities in precipitation data caused by changes in stations density with time. Other hypotheses did not improve simulated discharge changes.
We investigate why a conceptual hydrological model failed to correctly predict observed...
