Articles | Volume 24, issue 7
Research article
 | Highlight paper
13 Jul 2020
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 13 Jul 2020

Why does a conceptual hydrological model fail to correctly predict discharge changes in response to climate change?

Doris Duethmann, Günter Blöschl, and Juraj Parajka


Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (further review by editor) (08 Apr 2020) by Matjaz Mikos
AR by Doris Duethmann on behalf of the Authors (30 Apr 2020)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (23 May 2020) by Matjaz Mikos
AR by Doris Duethmann on behalf of the Authors (12 Jun 2020)  Author's response    Manuscript
Short summary
We investigate why a conceptual hydrological model failed to correctly predict observed discharge changes in response to increasing precipitation and air temperature in 156 Austrian catchments. Simulations indicate that poor model performance is related to two problems, namely a model structure that neglects changes in vegetation dynamics and inhomogeneities in precipitation data caused by changes in stations density with time. Other hypotheses did not improve simulated discharge changes.