Articles | Volume 23, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-1833-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-1833-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
03 Apr 2019
Research article |
| 03 Apr 2019
| 03 Apr 2019
Future evolution and uncertainty of river flow regime change in a deglaciating river basin
School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK
British Geological Survey, Environmental Science Centre, Keyworth, Nottingham, NG12 5GG, UK
Nicholas E. Barrand
School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK
David M. Hannah
School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK
Stefan Krause
School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK
Christopher R. Jackson
British Geological Survey, Environmental Science Centre, Keyworth, Nottingham, NG12 5GG, UK
Jez Everest
British Geological Survey, Lyell Centre, Research Avenue South, Edinburgh, EH14 4AS, UK
Guðfinna Aðalgeirsdóttir
Institute of Earth Sciences, University of Iceland, 101 Reykjavík, Iceland
Andrew R. Black
Geography and Environmental Science, University of Dundee, Dundee, DD1 4HN, UK
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Cited
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Glacial drainage development controls temporal and spatial fluctuations of sediment flux in Mont Blanc’s North face H. Guillon et al. 10.5802/crgeos.139
- Climate and rivers G. McGregor 10.1002/rra.3508
- Quantifying uncertainty sources in extreme flow projections for three watersheds with different climate features in China L. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105331
- Glacier loss and vegetation expansion alter organic and inorganic carbon dynamics in high-mountain streams A. Robison et al. 10.5194/bg-20-2301-2023
- Unravelling the sources of uncertainty in glacier runoff projections in the Patagonian Andes (40–56° S) R. Aguayo et al. 10.5194/tc-18-5383-2024
- Hydrological time series forecasting using simple combinations: Big data testing and investigations on one-year ahead river flow predictability G. Papacharalampous & H. Tyralis 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125205
- Macroscale composite principal-monotonicity distributed projection of climate-induced hydrologic changes: Tempo-spatial variabilities, and variation decompositions G. Cheng et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130246
- Projected Impacts of Climate Change on Drought Patterns Over East Africa G. Haile et al. 10.1029/2020EF001502
- Glacial runoff buffers droughts through the 21st century L. Ultee et al. 10.5194/esd-13-935-2022
- Predicting Hydrological Change in an Alpine Glacierized Basin and Its Sensitivity to Landscape Evolution and Meteorological Forcings C. Aubry‐Wake & J. Pomeroy 10.1029/2022WR033363
- Replication of ecologically relevant hydrological indicators following a modified covariance approach to hydrological model parameterization A. Visser-Quinn et al. 10.5194/hess-23-3279-2019
- A meta-analysis based review of quantifying the contributions of runoff components to streamflow in glacierized basins Z. He et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126890
- Understanding hydrological processes of glacierized catchments in the western Himalayas by a multi‐year tracer‐based hydrograph separation analysis T. Dar et al. 10.1002/hyp.15083
- Proglacial groundwater storage dynamics under climate change and glacier retreat J. Mackay et al. 10.1002/hyp.13961
- Glacio‐hydrological model calibration and evaluation M. van Tiel et al. 10.1002/wat2.1483
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Glacial drainage development controls temporal and spatial fluctuations of sediment flux in Mont Blanc’s North face H. Guillon et al. 10.5802/crgeos.139
- Climate and rivers G. McGregor 10.1002/rra.3508
- Quantifying uncertainty sources in extreme flow projections for three watersheds with different climate features in China L. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105331
- Glacier loss and vegetation expansion alter organic and inorganic carbon dynamics in high-mountain streams A. Robison et al. 10.5194/bg-20-2301-2023
- Unravelling the sources of uncertainty in glacier runoff projections in the Patagonian Andes (40–56° S) R. Aguayo et al. 10.5194/tc-18-5383-2024
- Hydrological time series forecasting using simple combinations: Big data testing and investigations on one-year ahead river flow predictability G. Papacharalampous & H. Tyralis 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125205
- Macroscale composite principal-monotonicity distributed projection of climate-induced hydrologic changes: Tempo-spatial variabilities, and variation decompositions G. Cheng et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130246
- Projected Impacts of Climate Change on Drought Patterns Over East Africa G. Haile et al. 10.1029/2020EF001502
- Glacial runoff buffers droughts through the 21st century L. Ultee et al. 10.5194/esd-13-935-2022
- Predicting Hydrological Change in an Alpine Glacierized Basin and Its Sensitivity to Landscape Evolution and Meteorological Forcings C. Aubry‐Wake & J. Pomeroy 10.1029/2022WR033363
- Replication of ecologically relevant hydrological indicators following a modified covariance approach to hydrological model parameterization A. Visser-Quinn et al. 10.5194/hess-23-3279-2019
- A meta-analysis based review of quantifying the contributions of runoff components to streamflow in glacierized basins Z. He et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126890
- Understanding hydrological processes of glacierized catchments in the western Himalayas by a multi‐year tracer‐based hydrograph separation analysis T. Dar et al. 10.1002/hyp.15083
- Proglacial groundwater storage dynamics under climate change and glacier retreat J. Mackay et al. 10.1002/hyp.13961
- Glacio‐hydrological model calibration and evaluation M. van Tiel et al. 10.1002/wat2.1483
Latest update: 30 May 2025
Short summary
We project 21st century change and uncertainty in 25 river flow regime metrics (signatures) for a deglaciating river basin. The results show that glacier-fed river flow magnitude, timing and variability are sensitive to climate change and that projection uncertainty stems from incomplete understanding of future climate and glacier-hydrology processes. These findings indicate how impact studies can be better designed to provide more robust projections of river flow regime in glaciated basins.
We project 21st century change and uncertainty in 25 river flow regime metrics (signatures) for...
