Articles | Volume 22, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6297-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6297-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
06 Dec 2018
Research article |
| 06 Dec 2018
Climate change vs. socio-economic development: understanding the future South Asian water gap
René Reijer Wijngaard
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
FutureWater, Costerweg 1V, 6702 AA, Wageningen, the Netherlands
Utrecht University, Department of Physical Geography, P.O. Box 80115,
3508 TC, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Hester Biemans
Water and Food research group, Wageningen University & Research,
P.O.
Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, the Netherlands
Arthur Friedrich Lutz
FutureWater, Costerweg 1V, 6702 AA, Wageningen, the Netherlands
Arun Bhakta Shrestha
International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development, G.P.O. Box
3226, Khumaltar, Kathmandu, Nepal
Philippus Wester
International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development, G.P.O. Box
3226, Khumaltar, Kathmandu, Nepal
Walter Willem Immerzeel
FutureWater, Costerweg 1V, 6702 AA, Wageningen, the Netherlands
Utrecht University, Department of Physical Geography, P.O. Box 80115,
3508 TC, Utrecht, the Netherlands
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- Quantitative assessment of adaptive measures on optimal water resources allocation by using reliability, resilience, vulnerability indicators H. Zou et al. 10.1007/s00477-019-01753-4
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- Economic losses from reduced freshwater under future climate scenarios: An example from the Urumqi River, Tianshan Mountains X. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s40333-022-0053-5
- The Impacts of Climate Variability on Crop Yields and Irrigation Water Demand in South Asia Q. Ahmad et al. 10.3390/w13010050
- From narratives to numbers: Spatial downscaling and quantification of future water, food & energy security requirements in the Indus basin W. Smolenaars et al. 10.1016/j.futures.2021.102831
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- Long-term total water storage change from a Satellite Water Cycle reconstruction over large southern Asian basins V. Pellet et al. 10.5194/hess-24-3033-2020
- Importance of snow and glacier meltwater for agriculture on the Indo-Gangetic Plain H. Biemans et al. 10.1038/s41893-019-0305-3
- Future upstream water consumption and its impact on downstream water availability in the transboundary Indus Basin W. Smolenaars et al. 10.5194/hess-26-861-2022
- Climate projections for glacier change modelling over the Himalayas M. Jury et al. 10.1002/joc.6298
- Glacial change and hydrological implications in the Himalaya and Karakoram Y. Nie et al. 10.1038/s43017-020-00124-w
- Towards a comprehensive and consistent global aquatic land cover characterization framework addressing multiple user needs P. Xu et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2020.112034
- Importance and vulnerability of the world’s water towers W. Immerzeel et al. 10.1038/s41586-019-1822-y
- A framework for assessing freshwater vulnerability along China's Belt and Road Initiative: An exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity approach A. Battamo et al. 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.03.001
- Virtual Tracers to Detect Sources of Water and Track Water Reuse across a River Basin G. Simons et al. 10.3390/w12082315
- Multi-scale analysis of the water-energy-food nexus in the Gulf region C. Siderius et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab8a86
- State of Himalayan cryosphere and implications for water security A. Kulkarni et al. 10.1016/j.wasec.2021.100101
27 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Quantitative assessment of adaptive measures on optimal water resources allocation by using reliability, resilience, vulnerability indicators H. Zou et al. 10.1007/s00477-019-01753-4
- Climatization of environmental degradation: a widespread challenge to the integrity of earth science M. Wine 10.1080/02626667.2020.1720024
- Modeling the Response of the Langtang Glacier and the Hintereisferner to a Changing Climate Since the Little Ice Age R. Wijngaard et al. 10.3389/feart.2019.00143
- Twentieth century global glacier mass change: an ensemble-based model reconstruction J. Malles & B. Marzeion 10.5194/tc-15-3135-2021
- Runoff reconstruction for the Bailong River from tree rings back to AD 1601, reveals changing hydrological signals of China north–south transition zone Z. Gao et al. 10.1002/hyp.14417
- Using large ensemble modelling to derive future changes in mountain specific climate indicators in a 2 and 3°C warmer world in High Mountain Asia P. Bonekamp et al. 10.1002/joc.6742
- Advances in global hydrology–crop modelling to support the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals in South Asia H. Biemans & C. Siderius 10.1016/j.cosust.2019.10.005
- Climate change and hydrological regime of the high-altitude Indus basin under extreme climate scenarios Z. Dahri et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.144467
- The NExus Solutions Tool (NEST) v1.0: an open platform for optimizing multi-scale energy–water–land system transformations A. Vinca et al. 10.5194/gmd-13-1095-2020
- The causative factors of environmental degradation in South Asia N. Sultana et al. 10.1016/j.asieco.2022.101452
- Economic losses from reduced freshwater under future climate scenarios: An example from the Urumqi River, Tianshan Mountains X. Zhang et al. 10.1007/s40333-022-0053-5
- The Impacts of Climate Variability on Crop Yields and Irrigation Water Demand in South Asia Q. Ahmad et al. 10.3390/w13010050
- From narratives to numbers: Spatial downscaling and quantification of future water, food & energy security requirements in the Indus basin W. Smolenaars et al. 10.1016/j.futures.2021.102831
- A systematic framework for the assessment of sustainable hydropower potential in a river basin – The case of the upper Indus S. Dhaubanjar et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.147142
- Current Practice and Recommendations for Modelling Global Change Impacts on Water Resource in the Himalayas A. Momblanch et al. 10.3390/w11061303
- Climate-driven changes in hydrological and hydrodynamic responses in the Yarlung Tsangpo River Y. Wu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126267
- Long-term total water storage change from a Satellite Water Cycle reconstruction over large southern Asian basins V. Pellet et al. 10.5194/hess-24-3033-2020
- Importance of snow and glacier meltwater for agriculture on the Indo-Gangetic Plain H. Biemans et al. 10.1038/s41893-019-0305-3
- Future upstream water consumption and its impact on downstream water availability in the transboundary Indus Basin W. Smolenaars et al. 10.5194/hess-26-861-2022
- Climate projections for glacier change modelling over the Himalayas M. Jury et al. 10.1002/joc.6298
- Glacial change and hydrological implications in the Himalaya and Karakoram Y. Nie et al. 10.1038/s43017-020-00124-w
- Towards a comprehensive and consistent global aquatic land cover characterization framework addressing multiple user needs P. Xu et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2020.112034
- Importance and vulnerability of the world’s water towers W. Immerzeel et al. 10.1038/s41586-019-1822-y
- A framework for assessing freshwater vulnerability along China's Belt and Road Initiative: An exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity approach A. Battamo et al. 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.03.001
- Virtual Tracers to Detect Sources of Water and Track Water Reuse across a River Basin G. Simons et al. 10.3390/w12082315
- Multi-scale analysis of the water-energy-food nexus in the Gulf region C. Siderius et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab8a86
- State of Himalayan cryosphere and implications for water security A. Kulkarni et al. 10.1016/j.wasec.2021.100101
Discussed (final revised paper)
Discussed (preprint)
Latest update: 07 Jun 2023
Short summary
This study assesses the combined impacts of climate change and socio-economic developments on the future water gap for the Indus, Ganges, and Brahmaputra river basins until the end of the 21st century. The results show that despite projected increases in surface water availability, the strong socio-economic development and associated increase in water demand will likely lead to an increase in the water gap, indicating that socio-economic changes will be the key driver in the evolving water gap.
This study assesses the combined impacts of climate change and socio-economic developments on...
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