Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 22, issue 4
Articles | Volume 22, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2511-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2511-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 22, issue 4
Research article
 | 
24 Apr 2018
Research article |  | 24 Apr 2018

Managing uncertainty in flood protection planning with climate projections

Beatrice Dittes, Olga Špačková, Lukas Schoppa, and Daniel Straub

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Latest update: 23 Nov 2024
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Short summary
There is large uncertainty in the future development of flood patterns, e.g., due to climate change. We quantify relevant uncertainties and show how they can be used for flood protection planning. We find that one ought to include an estimate of uncertainty that cannot be quantified from available data (hidden uncertainty), since projections and data at hand often cover only a limited range of the uncertainty spectrum. Furthermore, dependencies between climate projections must be accounted for.
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