Articles | Volume 22, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2391-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2391-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Analyzing the future climate change of Upper Blue Nile River basin using statistical downscaling techniques
Dagnenet Fenta Mekonnen
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Chair of Hydrology and River Basin Management, Faculty of Civil,
Geo and Environmental Engineering, Technische Universität München, Arcisstrasse 21, 80333 Munich, Germany
Amhara National Regional State Water, Irrigation and Energy Development Bureau, Bahirdar, Ethiopia
Markus Disse
Chair of Hydrology and River Basin Management, Faculty of Civil,
Geo and Environmental Engineering, Technische Universität München, Arcisstrasse 21, 80333 Munich, Germany
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- Investigation into the Effects of Climate Change on Reference Evapotranspiration Using the HadCM3 and LARS-WG M. Bayatvarkeshi et al. 10.3390/w12030666
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- The Modeling of Future Precipitation Changes, under Climate Change in the Southern Coasts of Caspian Sea. ّ. Jafarzadeh et al. 10.29252/geores.33.3.106
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81 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Climate Change Induced Precipitation and Temperature Effects on Water Resources: the Case of Borkena Watershed in the Highlands of Wollo, Central Ethiopia F. Abera et al. 10.1007/s41101-020-00084-8
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- Projected temperature and precipitation changes using the LARS‐WG statistical downscaling model in the Shire River Basin, Malawi S. Kavwenje et al. 10.1002/joc.7250
- Monitoring climate extremes using standardized evapotranspiration index and future projection of rainfall and temperature in the wettest parts of southwest Ethiopia D. Gemeda et al. 10.1016/j.envc.2022.100517
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- Catchment response to climate and land use changes in the Upper Blue Nile sub-basins, Ethiopia T. Woldesenbet et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.06.198
- Developing an efficient climate forecasting model for the spatiotemporal climate dynamics estimation and the prediction that fits the variable topography feature of the upper Blue Nile basin, Ethiopia M. Wondie et al. 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e22870
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- Evident response of future hydropower generation to climate change J. Li et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125385
- Hydro-Climate Variability and Trend Analysis in the Jemma Sub-Basin, Upper Blue Nile River, Ethiopia K. Gonfa et al. 10.3390/hydrology9120209
- Climate change projection using the statistical downscaling model in Modjo watershed, upper Awash River Basin, Ethiopia M. Gurara et al. 10.1007/s13762-021-03752-x
- Examining the Accuracy of Using a Single Short-Term Historical Flow Period to Assess the Nile’s Downstream Water Deficit from GERD Filling: A Technical Note E. Heggy et al. 10.1007/s41748-023-00355-z
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- Potential climate change impact assessment on the hydrology of the Lake Tana Basin, Upper Blue Nile River Basin, Ethiopia B. Getachew & B. Manjunatha 10.1016/j.pce.2022.103162
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- Individual and combined impacts of future land-use and climate conditions on extreme hydrological events in a representative basin of the Yangtze River Delta, China Q. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.104805
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- Trend analysis of temperature data using innovative polygon trend analysis and modeling by gene expression programming A. Yenice & M. Yaqub 10.1007/s10661-022-10156-y
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- Modeling the impact of climate change on hydrological responses in the Lake Tana basin, Ethiopia A. Teklay et al. 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2021.101278
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- Spatiotemporal climate and vegetation greenness changes and their nexus for Dhidhessa River Basin, Ethiopia G. Wedajo et al. 10.1186/s40068-019-0159-8
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- Future climate projections using the LARS-WG6 downscaling model over Upper Indus Basin, Pakistan S. Khan & U. Naeem 10.1007/s10661-023-11419-y
- Artificial intelligence models for prediction of monthly rainfall without climatic data for meteorological stations in Ethiopia W. Abebe & D. Endalie 10.1186/s40537-022-00683-3
- Predicting future changes in temperature and precipitation using hadcm2 model (case study): Golpayegan Shoor Wetland, Iran M. Foroughi et al. 10.1007/s12517-021-06883-0
- Doğu Karadeniz Havzası Lokal Meteorolojik Değişkenleri İçin Bir Ölçek İndirgeme Uygulaması ve Senaryo Esaslı Öngörüler S. NACAR et al. 10.18400/tekderg.895112
- Analysis of the spatial and temporal variability of direct rainfall in Lake Tana, Ethiopia G. Eshete et al. 10.1007/s13201-022-01749-6
- Predicting runoff and sediment responses to climate-resilient land use and management scenarios M. Berihun et al. 10.1007/s11356-023-27452-w
- Analysis of combined and isolated effects of land-use and land-cover changes and climate change on the upper Blue Nile River basin's streamflow D. Mekonnen et al. 10.5194/hess-22-6187-2018
- Trends in temperature and precipitation extremes in historical (1961–1990) and projected (2061–2090) periods in a data scarce mountain basin, northern Pakistan N. Saddique et al. 10.1007/s00477-020-01829-6
- Copula based post-processing for improving the NMME precipitation forecasts F. Yazdandoost et al. 10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e07877
- Assessment of climate change impact on drought disaster in Sampean Baru watershed, East Java, Indonesia based on IPCC-AR5 G. Halik et al. 10.1007/s11069-022-05245-7
- Assessment of the land use/land cover and climate change impact on the hydrological regime of the Kulsi River catchment, Northeast India K. Chowdhury et al. 10.1007/s40899-024-01039-w
- Assessment of Climate Change Impacts for Balancing Transboundary Water Resources Development in the Blue Nile Basin M. Tedla et al. 10.3390/su142215438
- Extreme Temperature and Rainfall Events and Future Climate Change Projections in the Coastal Savannah Agroecological Zone of Ghana J. Ankrah et al. 10.3390/atmos14020386
- Impact of Climate Change on the Hydrology of the Upper Awash River Basin, Ethiopia N. Emiru et al. 10.3390/hydrology9010003
- Evaluation of General Circulation Models CMIP6 Performance and Future Climate Change over the Omo River Basin, Ethiopia T. Feyissa et al. 10.3390/su15086507
- Climate Change Impact on Water Resources in the Awash Basin, Ethiopia M. Taye et al. 10.3390/w10111560
- Spatiotemporal analysis of droughts characteristics and drivers in the Omo-Gibe River basin, Ethiopia F. Anose et al. 10.1186/s40068-022-00246-8
- Climate change multi-model projections in CMIP6 scenarios in Central Hokkaido, Japan S. Peng et al. 10.1038/s41598-022-27357-7
- Evaluation and projection of the annual maximum streamflow in response to anthropogenic and climatic effects under nonstationary conditions in the Hanjiang River Basin, China W. Hao et al. 10.2166/wcc.2022.376
- Integrating the InVEST and SDSM Model for Estimating Water Provision Services in Response to Future Climate Change in Monsoon Basins of South China D. Yang et al. 10.3390/w12113199
- Comparison of Trend Preserving Statistical Downscaling Algorithms Toward an Improved Precipitation Extremes Projection in the Headwaters of Blue Nile River in Ethiopia G. Tegegne & A. Melesse 10.1007/s40710-020-00474-z
- Possible Scenarios of Winter Wheat Yield Reduction of Dryland Qazvin Province, Iran, Based on Prediction of Temperature and Precipitation Till the End of the Century B. Mirgol & M. Nazari 10.3390/cli6040078
- Hydrology and Droughts in the Nile: A Review of Key Findings and Implications M. Melesse & Y. Demissie 10.3390/w16172521
- Statistical downscaling and projection of future temperature change for Tabriz city, Iran. A. Baghanam et al. 10.1088/1755-1315/491/1/012009
- Change in Stream Flow of Gumara Watershed, upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia under Representative Concentration Pathway Climate Change Scenarios G. Chakilu et al. 10.3390/w12113046
- Future hydrology of the Upper Blue Nile River basin and its impact on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam water resource system: a review K. Shitu Mulat & A. Hymiro Tegegne 10.1080/02626667.2023.2179878
- Future Predictions of Rainfall and Temperature Using GCM and ANN for Arid Regions: A Case Study for the Qassim Region, Saudi Arabia K. Alotaibi et al. 10.3390/w10091260
- Future Climate Projections Using SDSM and LARS-WG Downscaling Methods for CMIP5 GCMs over the Transboundary Jhelum River Basin of the Himalayas Region S. Munawar et al. 10.3390/atmos13060898
- A proposed modelling towards the potential impacts of climate change on a semi-arid, small-scaled aquifer: a case study of Iran H. Nassery et al. 10.1007/s10661-021-08955-w
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- Projections of future rainfall and temperature using statistical downscaling techniques in Tana Basin, Ethiopia H. Birara et al. 10.1007/s40899-020-00436-1
- Statistical bias correction of regional climate model simulations for climate change projection in the Jemma sub-basin, upper Blue Nile Basin of Ethiopia G. Worku et al. 10.1007/s00704-019-03053-x
- Hydrological response to climate change in Baro basin, Ethiopia, using representative concentration pathway scenarios T. Ebissa et al. 10.1186/s40068-024-00370-7
Latest update: 19 Nov 2024
Short summary
In this study we used multimodel GCMs (because of recognized intervariable biases in host GCMs) and two widely used statistical downscaling techniques (LARS-WG and SDSM) to see comparative performances in the Upper Blue Nile River basin, where there is high climate variability. The result from the two downscaling models suggested that both SDSM and LARS-WG approximate the observed climate data reasonably well and project an increasing trend for precipitation and maximum and minimum temperature.
In this study we used multimodel GCMs (because of recognized intervariable biases in host GCMs)...