Articles | Volume 22, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2163-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2163-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
09 Apr 2018
Research article |
| 09 Apr 2018
Are we using the right fuel to drive hydrological models? A climate impact study in the Upper Blue Nile
Stefan Liersch
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Telegraphenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Julia Tecklenburg
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Telegraphenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Henning Rust
Free University of Berlin (FUB), Institute of Meteorology, Carl-Heinrich-Becker-Weg 6–10, 12165 Berlin, Germany
Andreas Dobler
Free University of Berlin (FUB), Institute of Meteorology, Carl-Heinrich-Becker-Weg 6–10, 12165 Berlin, Germany
Madlen Fischer
Free University of Berlin (FUB), Institute of Meteorology, Carl-Heinrich-Becker-Weg 6–10, 12165 Berlin, Germany
Tim Kruschke
GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Wischhofstr. 1–3, 24148 Kiel, Germany
Hagen Koch
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Telegraphenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
Fred Fokko Hattermann
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Telegraphenberg A31, 14473 Potsdam, Germany
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Cited
33 citations as recorded by crossref.
- One simulation, different conclusions—the baseline period makes the difference! S. Liersch et al.
- High-resolution climate datasets in hydrological impact studies: Assessing their value in alpine and pre-alpine catchments in southeastern Austria S. Peßenteiner et al.
- Impacts of Climate Change on the Hydrometeorological Characteristics of the Soan River Basin, Pakistan M. Usman et al.
- Climate-induced hydrological alterations in the Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia B. Tikuye et al.
- A novel procedure for monitoring temperature characteristics using multiple climate projections R. Khalil & Z. Ali
- Groundwater recharge evaluation due to climate change using WetSpass-M distributed hydrological model in Bilate river basin of Ethiopia A. Nannawo et al.
- High-resolution CMIP6 climate projections for Ethiopia using the gridded statistical downscaling method F. Rettie et al.
- Attributing synergies and trade-offs in water resources planning and management in the Volta River basin under climate change S. Liersch et al.
- Responses of water balance component to land use/land cover and climate change using geospatial and hydrologic modeling in the Gidabo watershed, Ethiopia H. Aragaw et al.
- Application of CORDEX-AFRICA and NEX-GDDP datasets for hydrologic projections under climate change in Lake Ziway sub-basin, Ethiopia M. Musie et al.
- Performance evaluation of global hydrological models in six large Pan-Arctic watersheds A. Gädeke et al.
- A review of hydroclimate variability and changes in the Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia O. Wedajo et al.
- Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on the Hydroclimatic Response in Burundi Based on CMIP6 ESMs J. Kim et al.
- Impact of Climate Change on Hydrological Extremes (Floods and Droughts) in the Upper Blue Nile Basin D. Amin et al.
- Catchment response to climate and land use changes in the Upper Blue Nile sub-basins, Ethiopia T. Woldesenbet et al.
- Envisaging the actual evapotranspiration and elucidating its effects under climate change scenarios on agrarian lands of bilate river basin in Ethiopia A. Nannawo et al.
- Effects of model calibration on hydrological and water resources management simulations under climate change in a semi-arid watershed H. Koch et al.
- Linking solar and wind power in eastern Africa with operation of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam S. Sterl et al.
- Future climate change and impacts on water resources in the Upper Blue Nile basin G. Takele et al.
- Evaluation of Surface Water Resource Availability under the Impact of Climate Change in the Dhidhessa Sub-Basin, Ethiopia D. Merga et al.
- Assessing Groundwater Recharge in the Wabe River Catchment, Central Ethiopia, through a GIS-Based Distributed Water Balance Model G. Tadesse & M. Jothimani
- Central Asian rivers under climate change: Impacts assessment in eight representative catchments I. Didovets et al.
- Review of bias correction methods for climate model outputs in hydrology A. Menapace et al.
- Individual and combined impacts of future land-use and climate conditions on extreme hydrological events in a representative basin of the Yangtze River Delta, China Q. Wang et al.
- Assessing the impact of climate change on the hydrology of Gidabo river sub-basin, Ethiopian Rift Valley Lakes Basin H. Aragaw et al.
- Examining the impacts of climate variabilities and land use change on hydrological responses of Awash River basin, Ethiopia A. Mitiku et al.
- A Hydrological Modeling Approach for Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on Runoff Regimes in Slovakia P. Sleziak et al.
- Hydrological modeling in the Upper Blue Nile basin using soil and water analysis tool (SWAT) G. Takele et al.
- Impact of Climate Change on Hydrology and Hydrologic Extremes of Upper Blue Nile River Basin T. Tariku et al.
- Accounting for Weather Variability in Farm Management Resource Allocation in Northern Ghana: An Integrated Modeling Approach O. Adelesi et al.
- Water resources planning in the Upper Niger River basin: Are there gaps between water demand and supply? S. Liersch et al.
- Modeling the impact of climate change on hydrological responses in the Lake Tana basin, Ethiopia A. Teklay et al.
- A novel probabilistic and metaheuristic approach for evaluation of CMIP6 models and bias corrected multimodel ensemble for future projection of temperature characteristics R. Khalil & Z. Ali
33 citations as recorded by crossref.
- One simulation, different conclusions—the baseline period makes the difference! S. Liersch et al.
- High-resolution climate datasets in hydrological impact studies: Assessing their value in alpine and pre-alpine catchments in southeastern Austria S. Peßenteiner et al.
- Impacts of Climate Change on the Hydrometeorological Characteristics of the Soan River Basin, Pakistan M. Usman et al.
- Climate-induced hydrological alterations in the Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia B. Tikuye et al.
- A novel procedure for monitoring temperature characteristics using multiple climate projections R. Khalil & Z. Ali
- Groundwater recharge evaluation due to climate change using WetSpass-M distributed hydrological model in Bilate river basin of Ethiopia A. Nannawo et al.
- High-resolution CMIP6 climate projections for Ethiopia using the gridded statistical downscaling method F. Rettie et al.
- Attributing synergies and trade-offs in water resources planning and management in the Volta River basin under climate change S. Liersch et al.
- Responses of water balance component to land use/land cover and climate change using geospatial and hydrologic modeling in the Gidabo watershed, Ethiopia H. Aragaw et al.
- Application of CORDEX-AFRICA and NEX-GDDP datasets for hydrologic projections under climate change in Lake Ziway sub-basin, Ethiopia M. Musie et al.
- Performance evaluation of global hydrological models in six large Pan-Arctic watersheds A. Gädeke et al.
- A review of hydroclimate variability and changes in the Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia O. Wedajo et al.
- Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on the Hydroclimatic Response in Burundi Based on CMIP6 ESMs J. Kim et al.
- Impact of Climate Change on Hydrological Extremes (Floods and Droughts) in the Upper Blue Nile Basin D. Amin et al.
- Catchment response to climate and land use changes in the Upper Blue Nile sub-basins, Ethiopia T. Woldesenbet et al.
- Envisaging the actual evapotranspiration and elucidating its effects under climate change scenarios on agrarian lands of bilate river basin in Ethiopia A. Nannawo et al.
- Effects of model calibration on hydrological and water resources management simulations under climate change in a semi-arid watershed H. Koch et al.
- Linking solar and wind power in eastern Africa with operation of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam S. Sterl et al.
- Future climate change and impacts on water resources in the Upper Blue Nile basin G. Takele et al.
- Evaluation of Surface Water Resource Availability under the Impact of Climate Change in the Dhidhessa Sub-Basin, Ethiopia D. Merga et al.
- Assessing Groundwater Recharge in the Wabe River Catchment, Central Ethiopia, through a GIS-Based Distributed Water Balance Model G. Tadesse & M. Jothimani
- Central Asian rivers under climate change: Impacts assessment in eight representative catchments I. Didovets et al.
- Review of bias correction methods for climate model outputs in hydrology A. Menapace et al.
- Individual and combined impacts of future land-use and climate conditions on extreme hydrological events in a representative basin of the Yangtze River Delta, China Q. Wang et al.
- Assessing the impact of climate change on the hydrology of Gidabo river sub-basin, Ethiopian Rift Valley Lakes Basin H. Aragaw et al.
- Examining the impacts of climate variabilities and land use change on hydrological responses of Awash River basin, Ethiopia A. Mitiku et al.
- A Hydrological Modeling Approach for Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on Runoff Regimes in Slovakia P. Sleziak et al.
- Hydrological modeling in the Upper Blue Nile basin using soil and water analysis tool (SWAT) G. Takele et al.
- Impact of Climate Change on Hydrology and Hydrologic Extremes of Upper Blue Nile River Basin T. Tariku et al.
- Accounting for Weather Variability in Farm Management Resource Allocation in Northern Ghana: An Integrated Modeling Approach O. Adelesi et al.
- Water resources planning in the Upper Niger River basin: Are there gaps between water demand and supply? S. Liersch et al.
- Modeling the impact of climate change on hydrological responses in the Lake Tana basin, Ethiopia A. Teklay et al.
- A novel probabilistic and metaheuristic approach for evaluation of CMIP6 models and bias corrected multimodel ensemble for future projection of temperature characteristics R. Khalil & Z. Ali
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 18 May 2026
Short summary
Application-oriented regional impact studies require accurate simulations of future climate variables and water availability. We analyse the quality of global and regional climate projections and discuss potentials of correction methods that partly overcome this quality issue. The model ensemble used in this study projects increasing average annual discharges and a shift in seasonal patterns, with decreasing discharges in June and July and increasing discharges from August to November.
Application-oriented regional impact studies require accurate simulations of future climate...
