Articles | Volume 22, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?
Louise Arnal
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6AB, UK
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield Park, Reading, RG6 9AX, UK
Hannah L. Cloke
Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6AB, UK
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6BB, UK
Department of Earth Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, 752 36, Sweden
Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science, CNDS, Uppsala, 752 36, Sweden
Elisabeth Stephens
Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6AB, UK
Fredrik Wetterhall
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield Park, Reading, RG6 9AX, UK
Christel Prudhomme
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield Park, Reading, RG6 9AX, UK
Department of Geography, Loughborough University, Loughborough, LE11 3TU, UK
NERC Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, OX10 8BB, UK
Jessica Neumann
Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6AB, UK
Blazej Krzeminski
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield Park, Reading, RG6 9AX, UK
Florian Pappenberger
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield Park, Reading, RG6 9AX, UK
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Short summary
This paper presents a new operational forecasting system (driven by atmospheric forecasts), predicting river flow in European rivers for the next 7 months. For the first month only, these river flow forecasts are, on average, better than predictions that do not make use of atmospheric forecasts. Overall, this forecasting system can predict whether abnormally high or low river flows will occur in the next 7 months in many parts of Europe, and could be valuable for various applications.
This paper presents a new operational forecasting system (driven by atmospheric forecasts),...
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