Research article
12 Mar 2018
Research article
| 12 Mar 2018
Mapping (dis)agreement in hydrologic projections
Lieke A. Melsen et al.
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Cited
43 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Analysis of the occurrence, robustness and characteristics of abrupt changes in streamflow time series under future climate change T. Vu et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2019.100198
- Evaporation from a large lowland reservoir – (dis)agreement between evaporation models from hourly to decadal timescales F. Jansen & A. Teuling 10.5194/hess-24-1055-2020
- When does a parsimonious model fail to simulate floods? Learning from the seasonality of model bias P. Astagneau et al. 10.1080/02626667.2021.1923720
- Technical note: PMR – a proxy metric to assess hydrological model robustness in a changing climate P. Royer-Gaspard et al. 10.5194/hess-25-5703-2021
- Dependence of rainfall-runoff model transferability on climate conditions in Iran A. Jahanshahi et al. 10.1080/02626667.2022.2030867
- Behind the scenes of streamflow model performance L. Bouaziz et al. 10.5194/hess-25-1069-2021
- Modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an Iranian Wadi system N. Mahmoodi et al. 10.2166/wcc.2020.098
- Climate change impacts model parameter sensitivity – implications for calibration strategy and model diagnostic evaluation L. Melsen & B. Guse 10.5194/hess-25-1307-2021
- It Takes a Village to Run a Model—The Social Practices of Hydrological Modeling L. Melsen 10.1029/2021WR030600
- Numerical daemons of hydrological models are summoned by extreme precipitation P. La Follette et al. 10.5194/hess-25-5425-2021
- Future streamflow regime changes in the United States: assessment using functional classification M. Brunner et al. 10.5194/hess-24-3951-2020
- Replication of ecologically relevant hydrological indicators following a modified covariance approach to hydrological model parameterization A. Visser-Quinn et al. 10.5194/hess-23-3279-2019
- Flood spatial coherence, triggers, and performance in hydrological simulations: large-sample evaluation of four streamflow-calibrated models M. Brunner et al. 10.5194/hess-25-105-2021
- Legacy, Rather Than Adequacy, Drives the Selection of Hydrological Models N. Addor & L. Melsen 10.1029/2018WR022958
- A Brief Analysis of Conceptual Model Structure Uncertainty Using 36 Models and 559 Catchments W. Knoben et al. 10.1029/2019WR025975
- Climate model variability leads to uncertain predictions of the future abundance of stream macroinvertebrates K. Kakouei et al. 10.1038/s41598-020-59107-y
- Climate change impacts on ecologically relevant hydrological indicators in three catchments in three European ecoregions J. Kiesel et al. 10.1016/j.ecoleng.2018.12.019
- The impact of hydrological model structure on the simulation of extreme runoff events G. van Kempen et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-961-2021
- Widespread and Accelerated Decrease of Observed Mean and Extreme Snow Depth Over Europe A. Fontrodona Bach et al. 10.1029/2018GL079799
- Many Commonly Used Rainfall‐Runoff Models Lack Long, Slow Dynamics: Implications for Runoff Projections K. Fowler et al. 10.1029/2019WR025286
- Mimicry of a Conceptual Hydrological Model (HBV): What's in a Name? K. Jansen et al. 10.1029/2020WR029143
- Robustness of Process-Based versus Data-Driven Modeling in Changing Climatic Conditions S. O et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-20-0072.1
- Estimating Regionalized Hydrological Impacts of Climate Change Over Europe by Performance-Based Weighting of CORDEX Projections F. Sperna Weiland et al. 10.3389/frwa.2021.713537
- Seasonal discharge response to temperature-driven changes in evaporation and snow processes in the Rhine Basin J. Buitink et al. 10.5194/esd-12-387-2021
- On the selection of precipitation products for the regionalisation of hydrological model parameters O. Baez-Villanueva et al. 10.5194/hess-25-5805-2021
- Overall uncertainty of climate change impacts on watershed hydrology in China S. Zhang et al. 10.1002/joc.7257
- Mountain Lake Evaporation: A Comparative Study between Hourly Estimations Models and In Situ Measurements A. Pérez et al. 10.3390/w12092648
- Hydrologic impacts of changing land use and climate in the Veneto lowlands of Italy A. Pijl et al. 10.1016/j.ancene.2018.04.001
- From Flood to Drip Irrigation Under Climate Change: Impacts on Evapotranspiration and Groundwater Recharge in the Mediterranean Region of Valencia (Spain) S. Pool et al. 10.1029/2020EF001859
- Large-sample hydrology: recent progress, guidelines for new datasets and grand challenges N. Addor et al. 10.1080/02626667.2019.1683182
- Assessing the performance and robustness of two conceptual rainfall-runoff models on a worldwide sample of watersheds T. Mathevet et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124698
- Effects of 21st century climate change on seasonal flow regimes and hydrologic extremes over the Midwest and Great Lakes region of the US K. Byun et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.063
- A bootstrap-based differential split-sample test to assess the transferability of conceptual rainfall-runoff models under past and future climate variability H. Dakhlaoui et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.05.056
- The CAMELS-CL dataset: catchment attributes and meteorology for large sample studies – Chile dataset C. Alvarez-Garreton et al. 10.5194/hess-22-5817-2018
- Climate change, reforestation/afforestation, and urbanization impacts on evapotranspiration and streamflow in Europe A. Teuling et al. 10.5194/hess-23-3631-2019
- The social construction and consequences of groundwater modelling: insight from the Mancha Oriental aquifer, Spain D. Sanz et al. 10.1080/07900627.2018.1495619
- Benchmarking the predictive capability of hydrological models for river flow and flood peak predictions across over 1000 catchments in Great Britain R. Lane et al. 10.5194/hess-23-4011-2019
- Streamflow-based evaluation of climate model sub-selection methods J. Kiesel et al. 10.1007/s10584-020-02854-8
- Increased flood risk in Indian sub-continent under the warming climate H. Ali et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2019.100212
- Evaluation of methods for selecting climate models to simulate future hydrological change A. Ross & R. Najjar 10.1007/s10584-019-02512-8
- Hydrological Drought Simulations: How Climate and Model Structure Control Parameter Sensitivity L. Melsen & B. Guse 10.1029/2019WR025230
- A multi‐objective approach to select hydrological models and constrain structural uncertainties for climate impact assessments D. Saavedra et al. 10.1002/hyp.14446
- How Do Modeling Decisions Affect the Spread Among Hydrologic Climate Change Projections? Exploring a Large Ensemble of Simulations Across a Diversity of Hydroclimates O. Chegwidden et al. 10.1029/2018EF001047
42 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Analysis of the occurrence, robustness and characteristics of abrupt changes in streamflow time series under future climate change T. Vu et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2019.100198
- Evaporation from a large lowland reservoir – (dis)agreement between evaporation models from hourly to decadal timescales F. Jansen & A. Teuling 10.5194/hess-24-1055-2020
- When does a parsimonious model fail to simulate floods? Learning from the seasonality of model bias P. Astagneau et al. 10.1080/02626667.2021.1923720
- Technical note: PMR – a proxy metric to assess hydrological model robustness in a changing climate P. Royer-Gaspard et al. 10.5194/hess-25-5703-2021
- Dependence of rainfall-runoff model transferability on climate conditions in Iran A. Jahanshahi et al. 10.1080/02626667.2022.2030867
- Behind the scenes of streamflow model performance L. Bouaziz et al. 10.5194/hess-25-1069-2021
- Modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow and major hydrological components of an Iranian Wadi system N. Mahmoodi et al. 10.2166/wcc.2020.098
- Climate change impacts model parameter sensitivity – implications for calibration strategy and model diagnostic evaluation L. Melsen & B. Guse 10.5194/hess-25-1307-2021
- It Takes a Village to Run a Model—The Social Practices of Hydrological Modeling L. Melsen 10.1029/2021WR030600
- Numerical daemons of hydrological models are summoned by extreme precipitation P. La Follette et al. 10.5194/hess-25-5425-2021
- Future streamflow regime changes in the United States: assessment using functional classification M. Brunner et al. 10.5194/hess-24-3951-2020
- Replication of ecologically relevant hydrological indicators following a modified covariance approach to hydrological model parameterization A. Visser-Quinn et al. 10.5194/hess-23-3279-2019
- Flood spatial coherence, triggers, and performance in hydrological simulations: large-sample evaluation of four streamflow-calibrated models M. Brunner et al. 10.5194/hess-25-105-2021
- Legacy, Rather Than Adequacy, Drives the Selection of Hydrological Models N. Addor & L. Melsen 10.1029/2018WR022958
- A Brief Analysis of Conceptual Model Structure Uncertainty Using 36 Models and 559 Catchments W. Knoben et al. 10.1029/2019WR025975
- Climate model variability leads to uncertain predictions of the future abundance of stream macroinvertebrates K. Kakouei et al. 10.1038/s41598-020-59107-y
- Climate change impacts on ecologically relevant hydrological indicators in three catchments in three European ecoregions J. Kiesel et al. 10.1016/j.ecoleng.2018.12.019
- The impact of hydrological model structure on the simulation of extreme runoff events G. van Kempen et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-961-2021
- Widespread and Accelerated Decrease of Observed Mean and Extreme Snow Depth Over Europe A. Fontrodona Bach et al. 10.1029/2018GL079799
- Many Commonly Used Rainfall‐Runoff Models Lack Long, Slow Dynamics: Implications for Runoff Projections K. Fowler et al. 10.1029/2019WR025286
- Mimicry of a Conceptual Hydrological Model (HBV): What's in a Name? K. Jansen et al. 10.1029/2020WR029143
- Robustness of Process-Based versus Data-Driven Modeling in Changing Climatic Conditions S. O et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-20-0072.1
- Estimating Regionalized Hydrological Impacts of Climate Change Over Europe by Performance-Based Weighting of CORDEX Projections F. Sperna Weiland et al. 10.3389/frwa.2021.713537
- Seasonal discharge response to temperature-driven changes in evaporation and snow processes in the Rhine Basin J. Buitink et al. 10.5194/esd-12-387-2021
- On the selection of precipitation products for the regionalisation of hydrological model parameters O. Baez-Villanueva et al. 10.5194/hess-25-5805-2021
- Overall uncertainty of climate change impacts on watershed hydrology in China S. Zhang et al. 10.1002/joc.7257
- Mountain Lake Evaporation: A Comparative Study between Hourly Estimations Models and In Situ Measurements A. Pérez et al. 10.3390/w12092648
- Hydrologic impacts of changing land use and climate in the Veneto lowlands of Italy A. Pijl et al. 10.1016/j.ancene.2018.04.001
- From Flood to Drip Irrigation Under Climate Change: Impacts on Evapotranspiration and Groundwater Recharge in the Mediterranean Region of Valencia (Spain) S. Pool et al. 10.1029/2020EF001859
- Large-sample hydrology: recent progress, guidelines for new datasets and grand challenges N. Addor et al. 10.1080/02626667.2019.1683182
- Assessing the performance and robustness of two conceptual rainfall-runoff models on a worldwide sample of watersheds T. Mathevet et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124698
- Effects of 21st century climate change on seasonal flow regimes and hydrologic extremes over the Midwest and Great Lakes region of the US K. Byun et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.063
- A bootstrap-based differential split-sample test to assess the transferability of conceptual rainfall-runoff models under past and future climate variability H. Dakhlaoui et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.05.056
- The CAMELS-CL dataset: catchment attributes and meteorology for large sample studies – Chile dataset C. Alvarez-Garreton et al. 10.5194/hess-22-5817-2018
- Climate change, reforestation/afforestation, and urbanization impacts on evapotranspiration and streamflow in Europe A. Teuling et al. 10.5194/hess-23-3631-2019
- The social construction and consequences of groundwater modelling: insight from the Mancha Oriental aquifer, Spain D. Sanz et al. 10.1080/07900627.2018.1495619
- Benchmarking the predictive capability of hydrological models for river flow and flood peak predictions across over 1000 catchments in Great Britain R. Lane et al. 10.5194/hess-23-4011-2019
- Streamflow-based evaluation of climate model sub-selection methods J. Kiesel et al. 10.1007/s10584-020-02854-8
- Increased flood risk in Indian sub-continent under the warming climate H. Ali et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2019.100212
- Evaluation of methods for selecting climate models to simulate future hydrological change A. Ross & R. Najjar 10.1007/s10584-019-02512-8
- Hydrological Drought Simulations: How Climate and Model Structure Control Parameter Sensitivity L. Melsen & B. Guse 10.1029/2019WR025230
- A multi‐objective approach to select hydrological models and constrain structural uncertainties for climate impact assessments D. Saavedra et al. 10.1002/hyp.14446
Latest update: 08 Aug 2022
Short summary
Long-term hydrological predictions are important for water management planning, but are also prone to uncertainty. This study investigates three sources of uncertainty for long-term hydrological predictions in the US: climate models, hydrological models, and hydrological model parameters. Mapping the results revealed spatial patterns in the three sources of uncertainty: different sources of uncertainty dominate in different regions.
Long-term hydrological predictions are important for water management planning, but are also...