Articles | Volume 21, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4711-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4711-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
21 Sep 2017
Research article |
| 21 Sep 2017
Evaluation of model-based seasonal streamflow and water allocation forecasts for the Elqui Valley, Chile
Justin Delorit
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, USA
Edmundo Cristian Gonzalez Ortuya
Department of Industrial and Civil Engineering, University of La Serena, La Serena, Chile
Paul Block
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, USA
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Cited
24 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Protocol for extracting flow hydrograph shape metrics for use in time-series flood hydrology analysis A. Arash et al. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0315796
- A Clustering Preprocessing Framework for the Subannual Calibration of a Hydrological Model Considering Climate‐Land Surface Variations T. Lan et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR023160
- Toward an operational streamflow forecasting system in Mexico: a pioneering ensemble approach with WRF-Hydro in a tropical mountain basin M. Morales-Velázquez et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2025.2555857
- Assessing China’s Use Efficiency of Water Resources from the Resampling Super Data Envelopment Analysis Approach J. Hsieh et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11051069
- Reliable hourly streamflow forecasting with emphasis on ephemeral rivers M. Li et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125739
- Development of an interdisciplinary, multi-method approach to seasonal climate forecast communication at the local scale S. Alexander et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02845-9
- Understanding Future Water Challenges in a Highly Regulated Indian River Basin—Modelling the Impact of Climate Change on the Hydrology of the Upper Narmada N. Rickards et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w12061762
- Energy forecasting to benchmark for federal net-zero objectives under climate uncertainty S. Weiss et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/2634-4505/ac9712
- Simple and Low-Cost Procedure for Monthly and Yearly Streamflow Forecasts during the Current Hydrological Year F. Delgado-Ramos & C. Hervás-Gámez https://doi.org/10.3390/w10081038
- Social Innovations as A Response to Dispossession: Community Water Management in View of Socio-Metabolic Rift in Chile I. Roose & A. Panez https://doi.org/10.3390/w12020566
- Development of a sub-seasonal cyanobacteria prediction model by leveraging local and global scale predictors M. Beal et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hal.2021.102100
- Dynamics of hydrological-model parameters: mechanisms, problems and solutions T. Lan et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1347-2020
- When will meteorological droughts become the new normal climatic condition in Central-Southern Chile? F. González-Leiva et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2026.2625979
- A Statistical Principal Component Regression-Based Approach to Modeling the Degradative Effects of Local Climate and Traffic on Airfield Pavement Performance E. Fortney et al. https://doi.org/10.1061/JPEODX.0000356
- Using Seasonal Forecasts to Inform Water Market-Scale Option Contracts J. Delorit & P. Block https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0001068
- Cooperative water trade as a hedge against scarcity: Accounting for risk attitudes in the uptake of forecast-informed water option contracts J. Delorit & P. Block https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124626
- Opportunities for Robustness of Water Footprints in Electricity Generation C. Chini & J. Delorit https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002096
- Dissolved organic carbon response to hydrological drought characteristics: Based on long-term measurements of headwater streams J. Wu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2022.118252
- Evaluation of GloFAS-Seasonal Forecasts for Cascade Reservoir Impoundment Operation in the Upper Yangtze River K. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11122539
- Forecast-informed reservoir operations to guide hydropower and agriculture allocations in the Blue Nile basin, Ethiopia S. Alexander et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/07900627.2020.1745159
- An agro-economic approach to framing perennial farm-scale water resources demand management for water rights markets J. Delorit et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2019.03.029
- Valuing the Codesign of Streamflow Forecast and Reservoir Operation Models G. Yang et al. https://doi.org/10.1061/JWRMD5.WRENG-6023
- Explainable Artificial Intelligence in Hydrology: Interpreting Black-Box Snowmelt-Driven Streamflow Predictions in an Arid Andean Basin of North-Central Chile J. Núñez et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w15193369
- Generating Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts: A Review of Methods and Approaches Over the Past 40 Years M. Troin et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020WR028392
24 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Protocol for extracting flow hydrograph shape metrics for use in time-series flood hydrology analysis A. Arash et al. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0315796
- A Clustering Preprocessing Framework for the Subannual Calibration of a Hydrological Model Considering Climate‐Land Surface Variations T. Lan et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR023160
- Toward an operational streamflow forecasting system in Mexico: a pioneering ensemble approach with WRF-Hydro in a tropical mountain basin M. Morales-Velázquez et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2025.2555857
- Assessing China’s Use Efficiency of Water Resources from the Resampling Super Data Envelopment Analysis Approach J. Hsieh et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11051069
- Reliable hourly streamflow forecasting with emphasis on ephemeral rivers M. Li et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125739
- Development of an interdisciplinary, multi-method approach to seasonal climate forecast communication at the local scale S. Alexander et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02845-9
- Understanding Future Water Challenges in a Highly Regulated Indian River Basin—Modelling the Impact of Climate Change on the Hydrology of the Upper Narmada N. Rickards et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w12061762
- Energy forecasting to benchmark for federal net-zero objectives under climate uncertainty S. Weiss et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/2634-4505/ac9712
- Simple and Low-Cost Procedure for Monthly and Yearly Streamflow Forecasts during the Current Hydrological Year F. Delgado-Ramos & C. Hervás-Gámez https://doi.org/10.3390/w10081038
- Social Innovations as A Response to Dispossession: Community Water Management in View of Socio-Metabolic Rift in Chile I. Roose & A. Panez https://doi.org/10.3390/w12020566
- Development of a sub-seasonal cyanobacteria prediction model by leveraging local and global scale predictors M. Beal et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hal.2021.102100
- Dynamics of hydrological-model parameters: mechanisms, problems and solutions T. Lan et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1347-2020
- When will meteorological droughts become the new normal climatic condition in Central-Southern Chile? F. González-Leiva et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2026.2625979
- A Statistical Principal Component Regression-Based Approach to Modeling the Degradative Effects of Local Climate and Traffic on Airfield Pavement Performance E. Fortney et al. https://doi.org/10.1061/JPEODX.0000356
- Using Seasonal Forecasts to Inform Water Market-Scale Option Contracts J. Delorit & P. Block https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0001068
- Cooperative water trade as a hedge against scarcity: Accounting for risk attitudes in the uptake of forecast-informed water option contracts J. Delorit & P. Block https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124626
- Opportunities for Robustness of Water Footprints in Electricity Generation C. Chini & J. Delorit https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002096
- Dissolved organic carbon response to hydrological drought characteristics: Based on long-term measurements of headwater streams J. Wu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2022.118252
- Evaluation of GloFAS-Seasonal Forecasts for Cascade Reservoir Impoundment Operation in the Upper Yangtze River K. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11122539
- Forecast-informed reservoir operations to guide hydropower and agriculture allocations in the Blue Nile basin, Ethiopia S. Alexander et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/07900627.2020.1745159
- An agro-economic approach to framing perennial farm-scale water resources demand management for water rights markets J. Delorit et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2019.03.029
- Valuing the Codesign of Streamflow Forecast and Reservoir Operation Models G. Yang et al. https://doi.org/10.1061/JWRMD5.WRENG-6023
- Explainable Artificial Intelligence in Hydrology: Interpreting Black-Box Snowmelt-Driven Streamflow Predictions in an Arid Andean Basin of North-Central Chile J. Núñez et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w15193369
- Generating Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts: A Review of Methods and Approaches Over the Past 40 Years M. Troin et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020WR028392
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 09 Jun 2026
Short summary
This work provides forecasts of water supply for the semi-arid Elqui River Valley, Chile, at periods prior to the October–January growing season. Forecasts are constructed provide water rights holders, whose allocations are subject to annual change, with an advanced indication of expected allocations. Forecasts, based on global and local indicators, are best suited to provide an initial indication of allocation category (above, near, or below normal) in May and are quantified in September.
This work provides forecasts of water supply for the semi-arid Elqui River Valley, Chile, at...
Special issue