Articles | Volume 21, issue 9
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 4517–4524, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4517-2017

Special issue: Sub-seasonal to seasonal hydrological forecasting

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 4517–4524, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4517-2017

Research article 11 Sep 2017

Research article | 11 Sep 2017

Should seasonal rainfall forecasts be used for flood preparedness?

Erin Coughlan de Perez et al.

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by Editor and Referees) (02 Jun 2017) by Q.J. Wang
AR by Erin Coughlan de Perez on behalf of the Authors (14 Jul 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (20 Jul 2017) by Q.J. Wang
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Short summary
Disaster managers would like to use seasonal forecasts to anticipate flooding months in advance. However, current seasonal forecasts give information on rainfall instead of flooding. Here, we find that the number of extreme events, rather than total rainfall, is most related to flooding in different regions of Africa. We recommend several forecast adjustments and research opportunities that would improve flood information at the seasonal timescale in different regions.