Articles | Volume 21, issue 8
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 4245–4258, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4245-2017
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 4245–4258, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4245-2017

Research article 29 Aug 2017

Research article | 29 Aug 2017

The critical role of uncertainty in projections of hydrological extremes

Hadush K. Meresa and Renata J. Romanowicz

Download

Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
Printer-friendly Version - Printer-friendly version Supplement - Supplement

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by Editor and Referees) (27 Mar 2017) by Jan Seibert
AR by Anna Mirena Feist-Polner on behalf of the Authors (18 Apr 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (21 Apr 2017) by Jan Seibert
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (22 Apr 2017)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (26 Apr 2017)
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by Editor and Referees) (01 May 2017) by Jan Seibert
AR by Svenja Lange on behalf of the Authors (08 May 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (20 May 2017) by Jan Seibert
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (21 May 2017)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (further review by Editor) (21 May 2017) by Jan Seibert
AR by Svenja Lange on behalf of the Authors (12 Jun 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (further review by Editor) (26 Jun 2017) by Jan Seibert
AR by Anna Wenzel on behalf of the Authors (07 Jul 2017)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (15 Jul 2017) by Jan Seibert
Download
Short summary
Evaluation of the uncertainty in projections of future hydrological extremes in the mountainous catchment was performed. The uncertainty of the estimate of 1-in-100-year return maximum flow based on the 1971–2100 time series exceeds 200 % of its median value with the largest influence of the climate model uncertainty, while the uncertainty of the 1-in-100-year return minimum flow is of the same order (i.e. exceeds 200 %) but it is mainly influenced by the hydrological model parameter uncertainty.