Articles | Volume 20, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3561-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3561-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Error reduction and representation in stages (ERRIS) in hydrological modelling for ensemble streamflow forecasting
Ming Li
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
CSIRO Data61, Floreat, WA, Australia
Q. J. Wang
CSIRO Land and Water, Clayton, VIC, Australia
James C. Bennett
CSIRO Land and Water, Clayton, VIC, Australia
David E. Robertson
CSIRO Land and Water, Clayton, VIC, Australia
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Cited
52 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Global streamflow modelling using process-informed machine learning M. Magni et al. 10.2166/hydro.2023.217
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- Lead-time-dependent calibration of a flood forecasting model P. Astagneau et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132119
- Multiscale Postprocessor for Ensemble Streamflow Prediction for Short to Long Ranges B. Alizadeh et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0164.1
- Effect of heteroscedasticity treatment in residual error models on model calibration and prediction uncertainty estimation R. Sun et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.09.041
- Enhancing probabilistic hydrological predictions with mixture density Networks: Accounting for heteroscedasticity and Non-Gaussianity D. Li et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131737
- Error correction-based forecasting of reservoir water levels: Improving accuracy over multiple lead times X. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.02.017
- Neglecting hydrological errors can severely impact predictions of water resource system performance D. McInerney et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.130853
- Spatial runoff updating based on the hydrologic system differential response for flood forecasting X. Zhang et al. 10.2166/hydro.2020.045
- Towards an Extension of the Model Conditional Processor: Predictive Uncertainty Quantification of Monthly Streamflow via Gaussian Mixture Models and Clusters J. Romero-Cuellar et al. 10.3390/w14081261
- Multi‐temporal Hydrological Residual Error Modeling for Seamless Subseasonal Streamflow Forecasting D. McInerney et al. 10.1029/2019WR026979
- Residual-Oriented Optimization of Antecedent Precipitation Index and Its Impact on Flood Prediction Uncertainty J. Liang et al. 10.3390/w14203222
- A Bayesian Hierarchical Model Combination Framework for Real‐Time Daily Ensemble Streamflow Forecasting Across a Rainfed River Basin Á. Ossandón et al. 10.1029/2022EF002958
- Toward Improved Probabilistic Predictions for Flood Forecasts Generated Using Deterministic Models X. Jiang et al. 10.1029/2019WR025477
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- Quantifying the Risks that Propagate from the Inflow Forecast Uncertainty to the Reservoir Operations with Coupled Flood and Electricity Curtailment Risks Q. Ma et al. 10.3390/w13020173
- A Physics‐Aware Machine Learning‐Based Framework for Minimizing Prediction Uncertainty of Hydrological Models A. Roy et al. 10.1029/2023WR034630
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- Improving probabilistic streamflow predictions through a nonparametric residual error model J. Liang et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.105981
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- On the use of distribution-adaptive likelihood functions: Generalized and universal likelihood functions, scoring rules and multi-criteria ranking J. Vrugt et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128542
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- Generating Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts: A Review of Methods and Approaches Over the Past 40 Years M. Troin et al. 10.1029/2020WR028392
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- Temporally varied error modelling for improving simulations and quantifying uncertainty L. Liu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124914
- Evaluation and Benchmarking of Operational Short-Range Ensemble Mean and Median Streamflow Forecasts for the Ohio River Basin T. Adams III & R. Dymond 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0102.1
- Reliable hourly streamflow forecasting with emphasis on ephemeral rivers M. Li et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125739
52 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Improved error modelling for streamflow forecasting at hourly time steps by splitting hydrographs into rising and falling limbs M. Li et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.10.057
- Global streamflow modelling using process-informed machine learning M. Magni et al. 10.2166/hydro.2023.217
- An error model for long-range ensemble forecasts of ephemeral rivers J. Bennett et al. 10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.103891
- Seamless streamflow forecasting at daily to monthly scales: MuTHRE lets you have your cake and eat it too D. McInerney et al. 10.5194/hess-26-5669-2022
- Flexible forecast value metric suitable for a wide range of decisions: application using probabilistic subseasonal streamflow forecasts R. Laugesen et al. 10.5194/hess-27-873-2023
- Lead-time-dependent calibration of a flood forecasting model P. Astagneau et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132119
- Multiscale Postprocessor for Ensemble Streamflow Prediction for Short to Long Ranges B. Alizadeh et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0164.1
- Effect of heteroscedasticity treatment in residual error models on model calibration and prediction uncertainty estimation R. Sun et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.09.041
- Enhancing probabilistic hydrological predictions with mixture density Networks: Accounting for heteroscedasticity and Non-Gaussianity D. Li et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131737
- Error correction-based forecasting of reservoir water levels: Improving accuracy over multiple lead times X. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.02.017
- Neglecting hydrological errors can severely impact predictions of water resource system performance D. McInerney et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.130853
- Spatial runoff updating based on the hydrologic system differential response for flood forecasting X. Zhang et al. 10.2166/hydro.2020.045
- Towards an Extension of the Model Conditional Processor: Predictive Uncertainty Quantification of Monthly Streamflow via Gaussian Mixture Models and Clusters J. Romero-Cuellar et al. 10.3390/w14081261
- Multi‐temporal Hydrological Residual Error Modeling for Seamless Subseasonal Streamflow Forecasting D. McInerney et al. 10.1029/2019WR026979
- Residual-Oriented Optimization of Antecedent Precipitation Index and Its Impact on Flood Prediction Uncertainty J. Liang et al. 10.3390/w14203222
- A Bayesian Hierarchical Model Combination Framework for Real‐Time Daily Ensemble Streamflow Forecasting Across a Rainfed River Basin Á. Ossandón et al. 10.1029/2022EF002958
- Toward Improved Probabilistic Predictions for Flood Forecasts Generated Using Deterministic Models X. Jiang et al. 10.1029/2019WR025477
- System response curve correction method of runoff error for real-time flood forecast Q. Li et al. 10.2166/nh.2020.048
- An automatic quality evaluation procedure for third-party daily rainfall observations and its application over Australia M. Li et al. 10.1007/s00477-023-02401-8
- Propagating reliable estimates of hydrological forecast uncertainty to many lead times J. Bennett et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126798
- Quantifying the Risks that Propagate from the Inflow Forecast Uncertainty to the Reservoir Operations with Coupled Flood and Electricity Curtailment Risks Q. Ma et al. 10.3390/w13020173
- A Physics‐Aware Machine Learning‐Based Framework for Minimizing Prediction Uncertainty of Hydrological Models A. Roy et al. 10.1029/2023WR034630
- Random forests-based error-correction of streamflow from a large-scale hydrological model: Using model state variables to estimate error terms Y. Shen et al. 10.1016/j.cageo.2021.105019
- Relative effects of statistical preprocessing and postprocessing on a regional hydrological ensemble prediction system S. Sharma et al. 10.5194/hess-22-1831-2018
- Reliable long-range ensemble streamflow forecasts: Combining calibrated climate forecasts with a conceptual runoff model and a staged error model J. Bennett et al. 10.1002/2016WR019193
- Bayesian inference and predictive performance of soil respiration models in the presence of model discrepancy A. Elshall et al. 10.5194/gmd-12-2009-2019
- Complex relationship between seasonal streamflow forecast skill and value in reservoir operations S. Turner et al. 10.5194/hess-21-4841-2017
- Daily time series of river water levels derived from a seasonal linear model using multisource satellite products under uncertainty H. Pham et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126783
- Improving the Reliability of Sub‐Seasonal Forecasts of High and Low Flows by Using a Flow‐Dependent Nonparametric Model D. McInerney et al. 10.1029/2020WR029317
- Seasonal streamflow forecasting in the upper Indus Basin of Pakistan: an assessment of methods S. Charles et al. 10.5194/hess-22-3533-2018
- Evaluating Operational Risk in Environmental Modeling: Assessment of Reliability and Sharpness for Ensemble Selection S. Pokorny et al. 10.1061/JHYEFF.HEENG-5833
- Improving probabilistic streamflow predictions through a nonparametric residual error model J. Liang et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.105981
- Evaluation of medium-range ensemble flood forecasting based on calibration strategies and ensemble methods in Lanjiang Basin, Southeast China L. Liu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.08.032
- Evaluating post-processing approaches for monthly and seasonal streamflow forecasts F. Woldemeskel et al. 10.5194/hess-22-6257-2018
- A Data Censoring Approach for Predictive Error Modeling of Flow in Ephemeral Rivers Q. Wang et al. 10.1029/2019WR026128
- Achieving high-quality probabilistic predictions from hydrological models calibrated with a wide range of objective functions J. Hunter et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126578
- On the use of distribution-adaptive likelihood functions: Generalized and universal likelihood functions, scoring rules and multi-criteria ranking J. Vrugt et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128542
- A Bayesian Hierarchical Framework for Postprocessing Daily Streamflow Simulations across a River Network Á. Ossandón et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0167.1
- Predictive performance of ensemble hydroclimatic forecasts: Verification metrics, diagnostic plots and forecast attributes Z. Huang & T. Zhao 10.1002/wat2.1580
- Comparing quantile regression forest and mixture density long short-term memory models for probabilistic post-processing of satellite precipitation-driven streamflow simulations Y. Zhang et al. 10.5194/hess-27-4529-2023
- Development of a national 7-day ensemble streamflow forecasting service for Australia H. Hapuarachchi et al. 10.5194/hess-26-4801-2022
- How does the quantification of uncertainties affect the quality and value of flood early warning systems? A. Thiboult et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.05.014
- Study of teleconnection between hydrological variables and climatological variables in a headwater basin of the Maipo River for forecast model application J. Montalva et al. 10.24850/j-tyca-16-4-3
- A simplified approach to produce probabilistic hydrological model predictions D. McInerney et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.07.001
- Performance Evaluation of a National Seven-Day Ensemble Streamflow Forecast Service for Australia M. Bari et al. 10.3390/w16101438
- A Robust Gauss‐Newton Algorithm for the Optimization of Hydrological Models: From Standard Gauss‐Newton to Robust Gauss‐Newton Y. Qin et al. 10.1029/2017WR022488
- A multi-model evaluation of probabilistic streamflow predictions via residual error modelling J. Romero-Cuellar et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131152
- Generating Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts: A Review of Methods and Approaches Over the Past 40 Years M. Troin et al. 10.1029/2020WR028392
- Simulation of Gauged and Ungauged Streamflow of Coastal Catchments across Australia M. Bari et al. 10.3390/w16040527
- Temporally varied error modelling for improving simulations and quantifying uncertainty L. Liu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124914
- Evaluation and Benchmarking of Operational Short-Range Ensemble Mean and Median Streamflow Forecasts for the Ohio River Basin T. Adams III & R. Dymond 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0102.1
- Reliable hourly streamflow forecasting with emphasis on ephemeral rivers M. Li et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125739
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