Articles | Volume 19, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2577-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2577-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
02 Jun 2015
Research article |
| 02 Jun 2015
Seasonal predictions of agro-meteorological drought indicators for the Limpopo basin
F. Wetterhall
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK
H. C. Winsemius
Deltares, P.O. Box 177, 2600MH, Delft, the Netherlands
European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK
M. Werner
Deltares, P.O. Box 177, 2600MH, Delft, the Netherlands
UNESCO-IHE, P.O. Box 3015, 2601DA, Delft, the Netherlands
E. Pappenberger
European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
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Short summary
Dry spells can have a devastating impact on agricuture in areas where irrigation is not available. Forecasting these dry spells could enhance preparedness in sensitive regions and avoid economic loss due to harvest failure. In this study, ECMWF seasonal forecasts are applied in the Limpopo basin in southeastern Africa to forecast dry spells in the seasonal rains. The results indicate skill in the forecast which is further improved by post-processing of the precipitation forecasts.
Dry spells can have a devastating impact on agricuture in areas where irrigation is not...
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