Articles | Volume 19, issue 6
Research article
02 Jun 2015
Research article |  | 02 Jun 2015

Seasonal predictions of agro-meteorological drought indicators for the Limpopo basin

F. Wetterhall, H. C. Winsemius, E. Dutra, M. Werner, and E. Pappenberger


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Short summary
Dry spells can have a devastating impact on agricuture in areas where irrigation is not available. Forecasting these dry spells could enhance preparedness in sensitive regions and avoid economic loss due to harvest failure. In this study, ECMWF seasonal forecasts are applied in the Limpopo basin in southeastern Africa to forecast dry spells in the seasonal rains. The results indicate skill in the forecast which is further improved by post-processing of the precipitation forecasts.