Articles | Volume 19, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2577-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2577-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Seasonal predictions of agro-meteorological drought indicators for the Limpopo basin
F. Wetterhall
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK
H. C. Winsemius
Deltares, P.O. Box 177, 2600MH, Delft, the Netherlands
European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK
M. Werner
Deltares, P.O. Box 177, 2600MH, Delft, the Netherlands
UNESCO-IHE, P.O. Box 3015, 2601DA, Delft, the Netherlands
E. Pappenberger
European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
Viewed
Total article views: 4,886 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 17 Jan 2014)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2,529 | 2,166 | 191 | 4,886 | 149 | 152 |
- HTML: 2,529
- PDF: 2,166
- XML: 191
- Total: 4,886
- BibTeX: 149
- EndNote: 152
Total article views: 3,426 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 02 Jun 2015)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1,870 | 1,402 | 154 | 3,426 | 134 | 141 |
- HTML: 1,870
- PDF: 1,402
- XML: 154
- Total: 3,426
- BibTeX: 134
- EndNote: 141
Total article views: 1,460 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 17 Jan 2014)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
659 | 764 | 37 | 1,460 | 15 | 11 |
- HTML: 659
- PDF: 764
- XML: 37
- Total: 1,460
- BibTeX: 15
- EndNote: 11
Cited
45 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Quality and Value of Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts Issued by the West African Regional Climate Outlook Forum J. Bliefernicht et al. 10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0066.1
- Integrating user- and data-driven weather forecasts to develop legitimate, credible, and salient information services for smallholders in the Global South S. Paparrizos et al. 10.1038/s41598-024-73539-w
- A Comparative Verification of Raw and Bias-Corrected ECMWF Seasonal Ensemble Precipitation Reforecasts in Java (Indonesia) D. Ratri et al. 10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0210.1
- A quantitative analysis to objectively appraise drought indicators and model drought impacts S. Bachmair et al. 10.5194/hess-20-2589-2016
- Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts L. Crochemore et al. 10.5194/hess-20-3601-2016
- Coupling forecast calibration and data‐driven downscaling for generating reliable, high‐resolution, multivariate seasonal climate forecast ensembles at multiple sites A. Schepen et al. 10.1002/joc.6346
- The influence of groundwater abstraction on interpreting climate controls and extreme recharge events from well hydrographs in semi-arid South Africa J. Sorensen et al. 10.1007/s10040-021-02391-3
- Estimating the added value of GRACE total water storage and uncertainty quantification in seasonal streamflow forecasting L. Liu et al. 10.1080/02626667.2021.1998510
- Evaluation of the ECMWF System 4 climate forecasts for streamflow forecasting in the Upper Hanjiang River Basin F. Tian et al. 10.2166/nh.2018.176
- Meteorological drought prediction of marathwada subdivision based on hydro-climatic inputs using genetic programming A. Chavadekar & S. Kashid 10.1080/09715010.2019.1620647
- Fuzzy Postprocessing to Advance the Quality of Continental Seasonal Hydrological Forecasts for River Basin Management H. Macian-Sorribes et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0266.1
- Seasonal streamflow forecasting by surrogate modeling in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, China H. Gu et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.101835
- Improving predictions and management of hydrological extremes through climate services B. van den Hurk et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2016.01.001
- Seasonal variability and predictability of agro-meteorological indices: Tailoring onset of rainy season estimation to meet farmers’ needs in Ghana T. Gbangou et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2019.04.002
- Seasonal Drought Prediction: Advances, Challenges, and Future Prospects Z. Hao et al. 10.1002/2016RG000549
- Comparison of Precipitation and Streamflow Correcting for Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts Y. Li et al. 10.3390/w10020177
- Can Famine Be Averted? A Spatiotemporal Assessment of The Impact of Climate Change on Food Security in The Luvuvhu River Catchment of South Africa G. Mukwada et al. 10.3390/land10050527
- Verification of Weather and Seasonal Forecast Information Concerning the Peri-Urban Farmers’ Needs in the Lower Ganges Delta in Bangladesh S. Paparrizos et al. 10.3390/atmos11101041
- Seasonal variability and predictability of monsoon precipitation in Southern Africa M. Horan et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad2737
- Downscaling probabilistic seasonal climate forecasts for decision support in agriculture: A comparison of parametric and non-parametric approach E. Han & A. Ines 10.1016/j.crm.2017.09.003
- Seasonal forecasting of hydrological drought in the Limpopo Basin: a comparison of statistical methods M. Seibert et al. 10.5194/hess-21-1611-2017
- Comparison of multi-model ensembles of global and regional climate model projections for daily characteristics of precipitation over four major river basins in southern Africa. Part II: Future changes under 1.5 °C, 2.0 °C and 3.0 °C warming levels S. Samuel et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106921
- Criteria based decisions for determining agroclimatic onset of the crop growing season S. Bal et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.108903
- Integrating Climate Forecasts with the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) for High-Resolution Hydrologic Simulations and Forecasts in the Southeastern U.S. V. Sehgal et al. 10.3390/su10093079
- Investigating the implications of meteorological indicators of seasonal rainfall performance on maize yield in a rain-fed agricultural system: case study of Mt. Darwin District in Zimbabwe T. Mushore et al. 10.1007/s00704-016-1838-2
- A coupled human–natural system to assess the operational value of weather and climate services for agriculture Y. Li et al. 10.5194/hess-21-4693-2017
- Drought forecasting through statistical models using standardised precipitation index: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis A. Anshuka et al. 10.1007/s11069-019-03665-6
- Identifying user needs for weather and climate services to enhance resilience to climate shocks in sub-Saharan Africa E. Nkiaka et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4dfe
- Hydrological Modeling and Capacity Building in the Republic of Namibia R. Clark et al. 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00130.1
- Simulating the effects of climatic fluctuations on rice irrigation water requirement using AquaCrop N. Pirmoradian & N. Davatgar 10.1016/j.agwat.2018.10.003
- Three dimensional characterization of meteorological and hydrological droughts and their probabilistic links Y. Zhu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124016
- Drought in South Asia: A Review of Drought Assessment and Prediction in South Asian Countries S. Chandrasekara et al. 10.3390/atmos12030369
- Seasonal rainfall forecasting for the Yangtze River basin using statistical and dynamical models S. Qian et al. 10.1002/joc.6216
- Evaluating the performance of climate models in reproducing the hydrological characteristics of rainfall events J. Song et al. 10.1080/02626667.2020.1750616
- Interdecadal Change of Drought Characteristics in Mahaweli River Basin of Sri Lanka and the Associated Atmospheric Circulation Difference Z. Lin & S. Shelton 10.3389/feart.2020.00306
- Use of the dry-spell seasonal forecast in crop management decisions E. Surmaini et al. 10.1088/1755-1315/648/1/012092
- Drought Prediction System for Central Europe and Its Validation P. Štěpánek et al. 10.3390/geosciences8040104
- Decadal Variability of Dry Days in Central Chile D. Latoja et al. 10.1007/s41748-024-00526-6
- On the skill of raw and post-processed ensemble seasonal meteorological forecasts in Denmark D. Lucatero et al. 10.5194/hess-22-6591-2018
- Reap when you sow? The productivity impacts of early sowing in Malawi E. Owusu & B. Bravo-Ureta 10.1016/j.agsy.2022.103412
- Hydro-climate information services for smallholder farmers: FarmerSupport app principles, implementation, and evaluation S. Paparrizos et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100387
- Dry spells assessment with reference to the maize crop in the Luvuvhu River catchment of South Africa T. Masupha et al. 10.1016/j.pce.2015.10.014
- The potential value of seasonal forecasts in a changing climate in southern Africa H. Winsemius et al. 10.5194/hess-18-1525-2014
- Use of standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index to investigate drought relative to maize, in the Luvuvhu River catchment area, South Africa T. Masupha & M. Moeletsi 10.1016/j.pce.2017.08.002
- The use of Water Requirement Satisfaction Index for assessing agricultural drought on rain-fed maize, in the Luvuvhu River catchment, South Africa T. Masupha & M. Moeletsi 10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106142
41 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Quality and Value of Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts Issued by the West African Regional Climate Outlook Forum J. Bliefernicht et al. 10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0066.1
- Integrating user- and data-driven weather forecasts to develop legitimate, credible, and salient information services for smallholders in the Global South S. Paparrizos et al. 10.1038/s41598-024-73539-w
- A Comparative Verification of Raw and Bias-Corrected ECMWF Seasonal Ensemble Precipitation Reforecasts in Java (Indonesia) D. Ratri et al. 10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0210.1
- A quantitative analysis to objectively appraise drought indicators and model drought impacts S. Bachmair et al. 10.5194/hess-20-2589-2016
- Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts L. Crochemore et al. 10.5194/hess-20-3601-2016
- Coupling forecast calibration and data‐driven downscaling for generating reliable, high‐resolution, multivariate seasonal climate forecast ensembles at multiple sites A. Schepen et al. 10.1002/joc.6346
- The influence of groundwater abstraction on interpreting climate controls and extreme recharge events from well hydrographs in semi-arid South Africa J. Sorensen et al. 10.1007/s10040-021-02391-3
- Estimating the added value of GRACE total water storage and uncertainty quantification in seasonal streamflow forecasting L. Liu et al. 10.1080/02626667.2021.1998510
- Evaluation of the ECMWF System 4 climate forecasts for streamflow forecasting in the Upper Hanjiang River Basin F. Tian et al. 10.2166/nh.2018.176
- Meteorological drought prediction of marathwada subdivision based on hydro-climatic inputs using genetic programming A. Chavadekar & S. Kashid 10.1080/09715010.2019.1620647
- Fuzzy Postprocessing to Advance the Quality of Continental Seasonal Hydrological Forecasts for River Basin Management H. Macian-Sorribes et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0266.1
- Seasonal streamflow forecasting by surrogate modeling in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, China H. Gu et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.101835
- Improving predictions and management of hydrological extremes through climate services B. van den Hurk et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2016.01.001
- Seasonal variability and predictability of agro-meteorological indices: Tailoring onset of rainy season estimation to meet farmers’ needs in Ghana T. Gbangou et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2019.04.002
- Seasonal Drought Prediction: Advances, Challenges, and Future Prospects Z. Hao et al. 10.1002/2016RG000549
- Comparison of Precipitation and Streamflow Correcting for Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts Y. Li et al. 10.3390/w10020177
- Can Famine Be Averted? A Spatiotemporal Assessment of The Impact of Climate Change on Food Security in The Luvuvhu River Catchment of South Africa G. Mukwada et al. 10.3390/land10050527
- Verification of Weather and Seasonal Forecast Information Concerning the Peri-Urban Farmers’ Needs in the Lower Ganges Delta in Bangladesh S. Paparrizos et al. 10.3390/atmos11101041
- Seasonal variability and predictability of monsoon precipitation in Southern Africa M. Horan et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad2737
- Downscaling probabilistic seasonal climate forecasts for decision support in agriculture: A comparison of parametric and non-parametric approach E. Han & A. Ines 10.1016/j.crm.2017.09.003
- Seasonal forecasting of hydrological drought in the Limpopo Basin: a comparison of statistical methods M. Seibert et al. 10.5194/hess-21-1611-2017
- Comparison of multi-model ensembles of global and regional climate model projections for daily characteristics of precipitation over four major river basins in southern Africa. Part II: Future changes under 1.5 °C, 2.0 °C and 3.0 °C warming levels S. Samuel et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106921
- Criteria based decisions for determining agroclimatic onset of the crop growing season S. Bal et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.108903
- Integrating Climate Forecasts with the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) for High-Resolution Hydrologic Simulations and Forecasts in the Southeastern U.S. V. Sehgal et al. 10.3390/su10093079
- Investigating the implications of meteorological indicators of seasonal rainfall performance on maize yield in a rain-fed agricultural system: case study of Mt. Darwin District in Zimbabwe T. Mushore et al. 10.1007/s00704-016-1838-2
- A coupled human–natural system to assess the operational value of weather and climate services for agriculture Y. Li et al. 10.5194/hess-21-4693-2017
- Drought forecasting through statistical models using standardised precipitation index: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis A. Anshuka et al. 10.1007/s11069-019-03665-6
- Identifying user needs for weather and climate services to enhance resilience to climate shocks in sub-Saharan Africa E. Nkiaka et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4dfe
- Hydrological Modeling and Capacity Building in the Republic of Namibia R. Clark et al. 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00130.1
- Simulating the effects of climatic fluctuations on rice irrigation water requirement using AquaCrop N. Pirmoradian & N. Davatgar 10.1016/j.agwat.2018.10.003
- Three dimensional characterization of meteorological and hydrological droughts and their probabilistic links Y. Zhu et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124016
- Drought in South Asia: A Review of Drought Assessment and Prediction in South Asian Countries S. Chandrasekara et al. 10.3390/atmos12030369
- Seasonal rainfall forecasting for the Yangtze River basin using statistical and dynamical models S. Qian et al. 10.1002/joc.6216
- Evaluating the performance of climate models in reproducing the hydrological characteristics of rainfall events J. Song et al. 10.1080/02626667.2020.1750616
- Interdecadal Change of Drought Characteristics in Mahaweli River Basin of Sri Lanka and the Associated Atmospheric Circulation Difference Z. Lin & S. Shelton 10.3389/feart.2020.00306
- Use of the dry-spell seasonal forecast in crop management decisions E. Surmaini et al. 10.1088/1755-1315/648/1/012092
- Drought Prediction System for Central Europe and Its Validation P. Štěpánek et al. 10.3390/geosciences8040104
- Decadal Variability of Dry Days in Central Chile D. Latoja et al. 10.1007/s41748-024-00526-6
- On the skill of raw and post-processed ensemble seasonal meteorological forecasts in Denmark D. Lucatero et al. 10.5194/hess-22-6591-2018
- Reap when you sow? The productivity impacts of early sowing in Malawi E. Owusu & B. Bravo-Ureta 10.1016/j.agsy.2022.103412
- Hydro-climate information services for smallholder farmers: FarmerSupport app principles, implementation, and evaluation S. Paparrizos et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100387
4 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Dry spells assessment with reference to the maize crop in the Luvuvhu River catchment of South Africa T. Masupha et al. 10.1016/j.pce.2015.10.014
- The potential value of seasonal forecasts in a changing climate in southern Africa H. Winsemius et al. 10.5194/hess-18-1525-2014
- Use of standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index to investigate drought relative to maize, in the Luvuvhu River catchment area, South Africa T. Masupha & M. Moeletsi 10.1016/j.pce.2017.08.002
- The use of Water Requirement Satisfaction Index for assessing agricultural drought on rain-fed maize, in the Luvuvhu River catchment, South Africa T. Masupha & M. Moeletsi 10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106142
Saved (final revised paper)
Saved (preprint)
Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
Download
The requested paper has a corresponding corrigendum published. Please read the corrigendum first before downloading the article.
- Article
(1764 KB) - Metadata XML
Short summary
Dry spells can have a devastating impact on agricuture in areas where irrigation is not available. Forecasting these dry spells could enhance preparedness in sensitive regions and avoid economic loss due to harvest failure. In this study, ECMWF seasonal forecasts are applied in the Limpopo basin in southeastern Africa to forecast dry spells in the seasonal rains. The results indicate skill in the forecast which is further improved by post-processing of the precipitation forecasts.
Dry spells can have a devastating impact on agricuture in areas where irrigation is not...
Special issue