A conceptual socio-hydrological model of the co-evolution of humans and water: case study of the Tarim River basin, western China

Liu, D.; Tian, F.; Lin, M.; Sivapalan, M.

doi:10.5194/hess-19-1035-2015

Articles | Volume 19, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-1035-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue:

Predictions under change: water, earth, and biota in the anthropocene...

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-1035-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 19, issue 2

Research article

|

25 Feb 2015

Research article |

| 25 Feb 2015

A conceptual socio-hydrological model of the co-evolution of humans and water: case study of the Tarim River basin, western China

D. Liu, F. Tian, M. Lin, and M. Sivapalan

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Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
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May 2014	20	28	0	48
Jun 2014	6	18	0	24
Jul 2014	19	14	1	34
Aug 2014	8	19	0	27
Sep 2014	13	12	0	25
Oct 2014	10	9	0	19
Nov 2014	6	12	1	19
Dec 2014	5	21	0	26
Jan 2015	6	20	1	27
Feb 2015	97	68	1	166
Mar 2015	68	54	1	123
Apr 2015	40	51	0	91
May 2015	20	56	0	76
Jun 2015	40	44	0	84
Jul 2015	45	59	1	105
Aug 2015	25	57	0	82
Sep 2015	30	57	2	89
Oct 2015	20	47	0	67
Nov 2015	33	53	0	86
Dec 2015	12	55	2	69
Jan 2016	42	53	0	95
Feb 2016	26	47	2	75
Mar 2016	51	47	0	98
Apr 2016	18	15	0	33
May 2016	16	7	1	24
Jun 2016	14	6	0	20
Jul 2016	22	12	2	36
Aug 2016	15	14	1	30
Sep 2016	17	7	1	25
Oct 2016	15	7	5	27
Nov 2016	9	7	6	22
Dec 2016	9	4	1	14
Jan 2017	23	17	0	40
Feb 2017	18	5	2	25
Mar 2017	33	14	7	54
Apr 2017	43	35	3	81
May 2017	31	11	2	44
Jun 2017	35	13	3	51
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Jan 2018	13	17	0	30
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Mar 2018	22	14	0	36
Apr 2018	9	14	0	23
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Oct 2018	21	12	3	36
Nov 2018	13	15	1	29
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Jan 2019	12	10	0	22
Feb 2019	12	3	0	15
Mar 2019	15	14	0	29
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May 2019	8	11	0	19
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Oct 2019	14	15	1	30
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Jan 2020	8	11	2	21
Feb 2020	17	9	2	28
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Apr 2020	11	9	0	20
May 2020	7	5	0	12
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Jul 2020	17	19	7	43
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Oct 2020	7	4	0	11
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Dec 2020	16	15	0	31
Jan 2021	22	23	0	45
Feb 2021	14	11	0	25
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Apr 2021	16	17	1	34
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Mar 2022	15	17	0	32
Apr 2022	24	10	1	35
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Jul 2022	18	8	0	26
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Oct 2022	28	14	0	42
Nov 2022	30	10	0	40
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Jan 2023	33	21	6	60
Feb 2023	30	15	2	47
Mar 2023	52	27	2	81
Apr 2023	19	26	2	47
May 2023	15	16	0	31
Jun 2023	13	6	1	20
Jul 2023	16	11	3	30
Aug 2023	19	12	2	33
Sep 2023	17	11	2	30
Oct 2023	18	13	1	32
Nov 2023	10	10	0	20
Dec 2023	17	6	0	23
Jan 2024	21	7	0	28
Feb 2024	16	16	1	33
Mar 2024	23	21	3	47
Apr 2024	31	13	2	46
May 2024	21	13	1	35
Jun 2024	29	11	2	42
Jul 2024	22	13	3	38
Aug 2024	27	9	0	36
Sep 2024	19	6	0	25
Oct 2024	21	11	0	32
Nov 2024	14	12	0	26
Dec 2024	23	13	1	37
Jan 2025	23	13	2	38
Feb 2025	34	24	0	58
Mar 2025	28	11	1	40
Apr 2025	52	18	0	70
May 2025	29	3	1	33
Jun 2025	48	18	1	67
Jul 2025	28	25	0	53
Aug 2025	29	18	2	49
Sep 2025	61	24	1	86
Oct 2025	40	32	4	76
Nov 2025	23	17	4	44
Dec 2025	39	25	7	71
Jan 2026	46	34	9	89
Feb 2026	40	13	2	55
Mar 2026	32	10	3	45

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 10 Apr 2014)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Apr 2014	86	63	1	150
May 2014	20	28	0	48
Jun 2014	6	18	0	24
Jul 2014	19	14	1	34
Aug 2014	8	19	0	27
Sep 2014	13	12	0	25
Oct 2014	10	9	0	19
Nov 2014	6	12	1	19
Dec 2014	5	21	0	26
Jan 2015	6	20	1	27
Feb 2015	97	68	1	166
Mar 2015	68	54	1	123
Apr 2015	40	51	0	91
May 2015	20	56	0	76
Jun 2015	40	44	0	84
Jul 2015	45	59	1	105
Aug 2015	25	57	0	82
Sep 2015	30	57	2	89
Oct 2015	20	47	0	67
Nov 2015	33	53	0	86
Dec 2015	12	55	2	69
Jan 2016	42	53	0	95
Feb 2016	26	47	2	75
Mar 2016	51	47	0	98
Apr 2016	18	15	0	33
May 2016	16	7	1	24
Jun 2016	14	6	0	20
Jul 2016	22	12	2	36
Aug 2016	15	14	1	30
Sep 2016	17	7	1	25
Oct 2016	15	7	5	27
Nov 2016	9	7	6	22
Dec 2016	9	4	1	14
Jan 2017	23	17	0	40
Feb 2017	18	5	2	25
Mar 2017	33	14	7	54
Apr 2017	43	35	3	81
May 2017	31	11	2	44
Jun 2017	35	13	3	51
Jul 2017	18	9	0	27
Aug 2017	8	12	2	22
Sep 2017	13	21	0	34
Oct 2017	11	16	1	28
Nov 2017	7	12	0	19
Dec 2017	15	21	1	37
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Feb 2018	24	14	0	38
Mar 2018	22	14	0	36
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May 2018	11	17	1	29
Jun 2018	9	13	0	22
Jul 2018	7	10	1	18
Aug 2018	12	12	0	24
Sep 2018	18	31	0	49
Oct 2018	21	12	3	36
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Dec 2018	14	26	0	40
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Feb 2021	14	11	0	25
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Nov 2021	23	31	0	54
Dec 2021	12	14	0	26
Jan 2022	25	15	0	40
Feb 2022	10	7	0	17
Mar 2022	15	17	0	32
Apr 2022	24	10	1	35
May 2022	29	8	0	37
Jun 2022	13	7	1	21
Jul 2022	18	8	0	26
Aug 2022	21	14	0	35
Sep 2022	20	7	1	28
Oct 2022	28	14	0	42
Nov 2022	30	10	0	40
Dec 2022	29	12	0	41
Jan 2023	33	21	6	60
Feb 2023	30	15	2	47
Mar 2023	52	27	2	81
Apr 2023	19	26	2	47
May 2023	15	16	0	31
Jun 2023	13	6	1	20
Jul 2023	16	11	3	30
Aug 2023	19	12	2	33
Sep 2023	17	11	2	30
Oct 2023	18	13	1	32
Nov 2023	10	10	0	20
Dec 2023	17	6	0	23
Jan 2024	21	7	0	28
Feb 2024	16	16	1	33
Mar 2024	23	21	3	47
Apr 2024	31	13	2	46
May 2024	21	13	1	35
Jun 2024	29	11	2	42
Jul 2024	22	13	3	38
Aug 2024	27	9	0	36
Sep 2024	19	6	0	25
Oct 2024	21	11	0	32
Nov 2024	14	12	0	26
Dec 2024	23	13	1	37
Jan 2025	23	13	2	38
Feb 2025	34	24	0	58
Mar 2025	28	11	1	40
Apr 2025	52	18	0	70
May 2025	29	3	1	33
Jun 2025	48	18	1	67
Jul 2025	28	25	0	53
Aug 2025	29	18	2	49
Sep 2025	61	24	1	86
Oct 2025	40	32	4	76
Nov 2025	23	17	4	44
Dec 2025	39	25	7	71
Jan 2026	46	34	9	89
Feb 2026	40	13	2	55
Mar 2026	32	10	3	45

Latest update: 11 Mar 2026

Short summary

A simplified conceptual socio-hydrological model based on logistic growth curves is developed for the Tarim River basin in western China and is used to illustrate the explanatory power of a co-evolutionary model. The socio-hydrological system is composed of four sub-systems, i.e., the hydrological, ecological, economic, and social sub-systems. The hydrological equation focusing on water balance is coupled to the evolutionary equations of the other three sub-systems.