Articles | Volume 30, issue 21
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-6867-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-6867-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Quantifying key parameter sensitivities for water table depth in hydrological schemes of CoLM-PSUADE at a mountain forest site
Tingting Wu
Guangdong Provincial Observation and Research Station for Coupled Human and Natural Systems in Land–ocean Interaction Zone, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai, 519087, China
State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Disaster Risk Reduction, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China
Shupeng Zhang
School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai, 519000, China
Xiaofan Yang
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Guangdong Provincial Observation and Research Station for Coupled Human and Natural Systems in Land–ocean Interaction Zone, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai, 519087, China
State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Disaster Risk Reduction, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China
Yongjiu Dai
School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai, 519000, China
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EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5166, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5166, 2026
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).
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Observation-driven 1–14-day soil moisture forecasts remain reliable in some places but lose accuracy rapidly in others. We show that this contrast is governed by how soils filter rainfall. Under intense rainfall, low-silt soils provide little buffering, accelerate downward water movement, erode moisture memory, and constrain forecast skill. This finding shifts attention from better algorithms to physical forecast limits and guides the design of reliable models and monitoring networks.
Hongbin Liang, Shulei Zhang, Omarjan Obulkasim, Qiancheng Ye, Linyi Song, Zhongwang Wei, and Yongjiu Dai
Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-694, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-694, 2026
Preprint under review for ESSD
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China has built the world’s largest reservoir system, yet modeling of its climate and environmental impacts lacks attribute values. We developed a database of 5,142 reservoirs across China with over 20 key attributes, covering 87.5 % of total storage and 62 % of hydropower capacity. It enables more realistic identification of reservoir-served irrigation areas and improves streamflow simulations, offering a valuable resource for hydrology, agriculture, energy, climate, and environmental research.
Zhilong Fan, Lu Li, Zhongwang Wei, Shupeng Zhang, Sisi Chen, Xingjie Lu, Wei Shangguan, Nan Wei, Hua Yuan, Pan Zhang, Jiaxin Tian, Jianhong Zhou, Baoxiang Pan, Wei Han, and Yongjiu Dai
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5358, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5358, 2026
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We developed a new land data assimilation framework based on deep generative models. Compared with existing methods, it better handles non-Gaussian model errors and noisy observations. Tests in both an idealized system and a realistic land data assimilation experiment showed more accurate and consistent estimates, demonstrating its potential for improving land-state estimation with complex land surface models.
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EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5193, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5193, 2026
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Northern peatlands store vast amounts of carbon, but their response to climate change remains uncertain. We compared 15 ecosystem models with observations from a long-term warming and elevated carbon dioxide experiment in Minnesota. Models differed widely in their carbon responses, reflecting differences in ecosystem processes and model parameters. The results identify priorities for improving peatland models and projections of future carbon–climate feedbacks.
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EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4210, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4210, 2026
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Lakes influence weather by storing and releasing heat, but models often oversimplify how sunlight travels through water, snow, and ice. We improved how a model handles light entering a lake. Tests across nine diverse lakes show surface waters warm more, deep waters warm less, and under-ice heating is better captured. Benefits vary among lakes, so better light treatment must pair with better mixing and heat storage.
Chen Yang, Hui Huang, Zeyu Tang, Yongjiu Dai, and Xiaobin Chang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.31223/X5PR3B, https://doi.org/10.31223/X5PR3B, 2026
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Groundwater plays an important role in how water and energy move between land and atmosphere, but simulating it in detail is very slow. We developed a faster method that keeps the key processes while reducing computing cost. Tested in a large river basin in China, it ran about twenty times faster and still closely matched detailed simulations. This approach makes it easier to include groundwater in large-scale and long-term environmental modeling.
Zezhen Wu, Zhongwang Wei, Xingjie Lu, Nan Wei, Lu Li, Shupeng Zhang, Hua Yuan, Shaofeng Liu, and Yongjiu Dai
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 30, 2651–2666, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-2651-2026, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-2651-2026, 2026
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Land surface models simulate exchanges at the Earth's surface. Traditional evaluation methods can be misleading because they may hide errors or be overly sensitive to outliers. We introduce the Model Fidelity Metric, which measures model performance in terms of accuracy, variability and distribution similarity. Tests with synthetic data and real streamflow observations show that this metric provides more stable and informative assessments of model performance.
Chen Yang, Aoqi Sun, Shupeng Zhang, Yongjiu Dai, Stefan Kollet, and Reed Maxwell
Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 1849–1866, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-1849-2026, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-1849-2026, 2026
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Groundwater plays a key role in land–atmosphere water and energy exchange, yet it is often simplified in large-scale Earth system models. We review 20 years of efforts to couple the groundwater model ParFlow with land surface and atmospheric models, showing how groundwater dynamics shape terrestrial fluxes. We also present an updated coupling framework that enhances model performance and flexibility, and outline a modular strategy to guide future development.
Wanyi Lin, Hua Yuan, Wenzong Dong, Zhuo Liu, Jiayi Xiang, Xinran Yu, Shupeng Zhang, Zhongwang Wei, and Yongjiu Dai
Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-21, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2026-21, 2026
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Land surface models require information on vegetation composition and seasonal leaf area dynamics, yet long-term high-resolution datasets remain limited. We present a global dataset of plant functional types and corresponding leaf area index for 1985–2020, derived from multiple satellite observations. The dataset reduces uncertainties in vegetation representation and improves the description of phenological dynamics, supporting more realistic land surface and climate modeling.
Yuan He and Xiaofan Yang
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This study introduces HyLake, a hybrid lake model that embeds a deep-learning surrogate for the water temperature module within a process-based backbone. HyLake simulates lake surface temperature and the latent and sensible heat fluxes in Lake Taihu more accurately than traditional process-based models and other hybrid experiments across different forcing datasets. The proposed coupling strategy provides a reliable tool for quantifying the impacts of climate change on aquatic ecosystems.
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Land surface models are used for simulating how Earth's surface interacts with the atmosphere. As models grow more complex and detailed, researchers need better tools to evaluate their performance. OpenBench, a new software system that makes the evaluation process more comprehensive and efficient, stands out by incorporating various factors and working with data at any scale, enabling scientists to incorporate new types of models and measurements as our understanding of Earth's systems evolves.
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Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 17, 517–543, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-517-2025, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-517-2025, 2025
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In this study, we developed the second version of China's high-resolution soil information grid using legacy soil samples and advanced machine learning. This version predicts over 20 soil properties at six depths, providing accurate soil variation maps across China. It outperforms previous versions and global products, offering valuable data for hydrological and ecological analyses and Earth system modelling, enhancing our understanding of soil roles in environmental processes.
Jiahao Shi, Hua Yuan, Wanyi Lin, Wenzong Dong, Hongbin Liang, Zhuo Liu, Jianxin Zeng, Haolin Zhang, Nan Wei, Zhongwang Wei, Shupeng Zhang, Shaofeng Liu, Xingjie Lu, and Yongjiu Dai
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Flux tower data are widely recognized as benchmarking data for land surface models, but insufficient emphasis on and deficiency in site attribute data limits their true value. We collect site-observed vegetation, soil, and topography data from various sources. The final dataset encompasses 90 sites globally, with relatively complete site attribute data and high-quality flux validation data. This work has provided more reliable site attribute data, benefiting land surface model development.
Yangzi Che, Xuecao Li, Xiaoping Liu, Yuhao Wang, Weilin Liao, Xianwei Zheng, Xucai Zhang, Xiaocong Xu, Qian Shi, Jiajun Zhu, Honghui Zhang, Hua Yuan, and Yongjiu Dai
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Most existing building height products are limited with respect to either spatial resolution or coverage, not to mention the spatial heterogeneity introduced by global building forms. Using Earth Observation (EO) datasets for 2020, we developed a global height dataset at the individual building scale. The dataset provides spatially explicit information on 3D building morphology, supporting both macro- and microanalysis of urban areas.
Shaomin Liu, Ziwei Xu, Tao Che, Xin Li, Tongren Xu, Zhiguo Ren, Yang Zhang, Junlei Tan, Lisheng Song, Ji Zhou, Zhongli Zhu, Xiaofan Yang, Rui Liu, and Yanfei Ma
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 15, 4959–4981, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-4959-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-4959-2023, 2023
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We present a suite of observational datasets from artificial and natural oases–desert systems that consist of long-term turbulent flux and auxiliary data, including hydrometeorological, vegetation, and soil parameters, from 2012 to 2021. We confirm that the 10-year, long-term dataset presented in this study is of high quality with few missing data, and we believe that the data will support ecological security and sustainable development in oasis–desert areas.
Qingliang Li, Gaosong Shi, Wei Shangguan, Vahid Nourani, Jianduo Li, Lu Li, Feini Huang, Ye Zhang, Chunyan Wang, Dagang Wang, Jianxiu Qiu, Xingjie Lu, and Yongjiu Dai
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 14, 5267–5286, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-5267-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-5267-2022, 2022
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SMCI1.0 is a 1 km resolution dataset of daily soil moisture over China for 2000–2020 derived through machine learning trained with in situ measurements of 1789 stations, meteorological forcings, and land surface variables. It contains 10 soil layers with 10 cm intervals up to 100 cm deep. Evaluated by in situ data, the error (ubRMSE) ranges from 0.045 to 0.051, and the correlation (R) range is 0.866-0.893. Compared with ERA5-Land, SMAP-L4, and SoMo.ml, SIMI1.0 has higher accuracy and resolution.
Ziqi Lin, Yongjiu Dai, Umakant Mishra, Guocheng Wang, Wei Shangguan, Wen Zhang, and Zhangcai Qin
Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2022-232, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2022-232, 2022
Manuscript not accepted for further review
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Spatial soil organic carbon (SOC) data is critical for predictions in carbon climate feedbacks and future climate trends, but no conclusion has yet been reached on which dataset to be used for specific purposes. We evaluated the SOC estimates from five widely used global soil datasets and a regional permafrost dataset, and identify uncertainties of SOC estimates by region, biome, and data sources, hoping to help improve SOC/soil data in the future.
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Short summary
We coupled a land surface model (CoLM - Common Land Model) with an analysis tool (PSUADE – Problem Solving environment for Uncertainty Analysis and Design Exploration) to evaluate processes controlling water table depth (WTD) through sensitivity analysis and parameter optimization. A small set of sensitive parameters governing WTD was identified, showing subsurface runoff controls average groundwater levels, while soil properties govern variability. A stepwise calibration was then suggested to improve accuracy. This framework offers a transferable pathway to enhance groundwater simulation.
We coupled a land surface model (CoLM - Common Land Model) with an analysis tool (PSUADE –...
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