Articles | Volume 30, issue 18
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5925-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5925-2026
Research article
 | 
23 Sep 2026
Research article |  | 23 Sep 2026

Predicting streamflow drought in the conterminous United States using machine learning and a donor-gage approach, 1982–2020

Aaron Heldmyer, Roy Sando, Caelan Simeone, Michael Wieczorek, Scott Hamshaw, Phillip Goodling, Ryan McShane, Jeremy Diaz, David Watkins, Bryce Pulver, Apoorva Shastry, Konrad Hafen, and John Hammond

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Short summary
We used machine learning to explore what causes streamflow droughts across the U.S. We found that different regions are influenced by different factors like temperature, snow, and rainfall. Our new method can also predict droughts in areas without streamflow data, helping improve water resource planning.
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