Articles | Volume 30, issue 15
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5173-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5173-2026
Research article
 | 
14 Aug 2026
Research article |  | 14 Aug 2026

An argument for parsimony in differentiable hydrologic models

Sandeep Poudel and Scott Steinschneider

Data sets

CAMELS: Catchment Attributes and MEteorology for Large-sample Studies A. J. Newman et al. https://doi.org/10.5065/D6MW2F4D

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Short summary

Hydrological models combining physics with AI are becoming popular for predicting river flow, but are often unnecessarily complex. We tested these models across US river basins and found three key results: simpler designs perform equally well, extensive input data adds little value, and time-varying parameters do not represent actual physical processes. These results challenge assumptions that complexity improves predictions or understanding, arguing instead for simpler hybrid model development.

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