Articles | Volume 30, issue 14
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-4771-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-4771-2026
Research article
 | 
28 Jul 2026
Research article |  | 28 Jul 2026

Limits to GRACE-based groundwater storage monitoring in a 23 000 km2 coastal basin: evidence from the Lower Kutai Basin, Indonesia

Arifin, Richard G. Taylor, Mohammad Shamsudduha, and Agus M. Ramdhan

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Cited articles

Abi, A., Walter, J., Chesnaux, R., and Saeidi, A.: Groundwater level monitoring using exploited domestic wells: outlier removal and imputation of missing values, Hydrogeol. J., 32, 723–737, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-023-02740-4, 2024. 
Ali, S., Liu, D., Fu, Q., Cheema, M. J. M., Pham, Q. B., Rahaman, M. M., Dang, T. D., and Anh, D. T.: Improving the Resolution of GRACE Data for Spatio-Temporal Groundwater Storage Assessment, Remote Sens.-Basel, 13, 3513, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13173513, 2021. 
Ali, S., Ran, J., Luan, Y., Khorrami, B., Xiao, Y., and Tangdamrongsub, N.: The GWR model-based regional downscaling of GRACE/GRACE-FO derived groundwater storage to investigate local-scale variations in the North China Plain, Sci. Total Environ., 908, 168239, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.168239, 2024. 
Alley, W. M. and Konikow, L. F.: Bringing GRACE Down to Earth, Groundwater, 53, 826–829, https://doi.org/10.1111/gwat.12379, 2015. 
Anyah, R. O., Forootan, E., Awange, J. L., and Khaki, M.: Understanding linkages between global climate indices and terrestrial water storage changes over Africa using GRACE products, Sci. Total Environ., 635, 1405–1416, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.04.159, 2018. 
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Short summary
We evaluate the limitations of Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite data for estimating groundwater storage changes (ΔGWS) in a small, data-scarce coastal basin in Indonesia, where ocean signal leakage and spatial-scale mismatch present major challenges. On average, only 42% of ΔGWS estimates can be plausibly derived from GRACE, indicating that, without expanded in situ monitoring, ΔGWS estimates in this setting will remain uncertain.
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