Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 30, issue 13
Articles | Volume 30, issue 13
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-4175-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-4175-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 30, issue 13
Research article
 | 
03 Jul 2026
Research article |  | 03 Jul 2026

Enhanced understanding of dominant drivers of Water Yield change across China through the improved coupled carbon and water model

Huilan Shen, Hanbo Yang, and Changming Li

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Short summary
Climate change, rising [CO2], and vegetation dynamics are reshaping global water cycle, but their impacts remain unclear. We improved the coupled carbon and water model to analyze China’s water yield (WY) changes (1982–2017). Our results showed that climate change was the dominant driver nationally, vegetation/ [CO2] most affected in 400-1600 mm precipitation zones. Projections indicate [CO2] may outweigh vegetation effects on WY by 2100. This work informs sustainable water management.
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