Articles | Volume 30, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-249-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-249-2026
Research article
 | 
19 Jan 2026
Research article |  | 19 Jan 2026

Rain-on-wet-soil compound floods in lowlands: the combined effect of large rain events and shallow groundwater on discharge peaks in a changing climate

Claudia C. Brauer, Ruben O. Imhoff, and Remko Uijlenhoet

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Short summary
In lowland catchments, flood severity is determined by both the amount of rain and the groundwater depth prior to the rain event. We investigated the trade-off between these two factors and how this affects peaks in the river discharge, for both the current and future climate. We found that with climate change floods will increase in winter and spring, but decrease in fall. The number and severity of floods will increase. This can help water managers to design climate robust water management.
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