Articles | Volume 30, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-2395-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-2395-2026
Research article
 | 
27 Apr 2026
Research article |  | 27 Apr 2026

Bias-corrected UKCP18 Convection-permitting model projections for England

Qianyu Zha, Yi He, Timothy J. Osborn, and Nicole Forstenhäusler

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Two sets of bias-corrected regional UK Climate Projections 2018 (UKCP18) of temperature, precipitation and potential evapotranspiration for Great Britain
Nele Reyniers, Qianyu Zha, Nans Addor, Timothy J. Osborn, Nicole Forstenhäusler, and Yi He
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Cited articles

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Ban, N., Schmidli, J., and Schär, C.: Evaluation of the convection-resolving regional climate modeling approach in decade-long simulations, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 119, 7889–7907, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD021478, 2014. 
Bannister, D., Orr, A., Jain, S. K., Holman, I. P., Momblanch, A., Phillips, T., Adeloye, A. J., Snapir, B., Waine, T. W., Hosking, J. S., and Allen-Sader, C.: Bias Correction of High-Resolution Regional Climate Model Precipitation Output Gives the Best Estimates of Precipitation in Himalayan Catchments, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 124, 14220–14239, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD030804, 2019. 
Berthou, S., Kendon, E. J., Chan, S. C., Ban, N., Leutwyler, D., Schär, C., and Fosser, G.: Pan-European climate at convection-permitting scale: a model intercomparison study, Clim. Dynam., 55, 35–59, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4114-6, 2020. 
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Short summary
We apply and evaluate a statistical method to adjust biases in high-resolution climate projections for England. By comparing modelled rainfall and temperature with observations, we show that the adjusted projections agree much more closely with real conditions for both average patterns and extremes, providing a more reliable basis for high-resolution impact modelling and assessments that depend on hourly precipitation data.
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