Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 30, issue 6
Articles | Volume 30, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-1647-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-1647-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 30, issue 6
Research article
 | 
30 Mar 2026
Research article |  | 30 Mar 2026

Influence of groundwater recharge projections on climate-driven subsurface warming: insights from numerical modeling

Mikhail Tsypin, Viet Dung Nguyen, Mauro Cacace, Guido Blöcher, Magdalena Scheck-Wenderoth, Elco Luijendijk, and Charlotte Krawczyk

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Short summary
Shallow groundwater temperatures are increasing as a consequence of global warming. At the same time, climate scenarios project substantial changes in future groundwater recharge, with impacts on groundwater dynamics. We modeled the combined effects of these two processes. Our results suggest that reduce annual recharge or a higher share of cold winter recharge can locally slow groundwater warming, but not sufficiently to stop or reverse the overall warming trend.
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