Articles | Volume 30, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-1421-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Enhanced Markov-type Categorical Prediction with geophysical soft constraints for hydrostratigraphic modeling
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- Final revised paper (published on 17 Mar 2026)
- Preprint (discussion started on 06 Aug 2025)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3160', Anonymous Referee #1, 20 Oct 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Liming Guo, 05 Nov 2025
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3160', Anonymous Referee #2, 17 Nov 2025
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Liming Guo, 02 Dec 2025
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (15 Dec 2025) by Alberto Guadagnini
AR by Liming Guo on behalf of the Authors (26 Jan 2026)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
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ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (26 Jan 2026) by Alberto Guadagnini
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (12 Feb 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (21 Feb 2026)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (24 Feb 2026) by Alberto Guadagnini
AR by Liming Guo on behalf of the Authors (05 Mar 2026)
Author's response
Manuscript
In this manuscript rather pleasant to read, the authors adopt the MCP method to integrate geophysical constraints for hydro-stratigraphic modelling. It is valuable for the EGUsphere community. However, the authors shall clarify some important aspects such as the degree of novelty of this work, some parts of the methodology. I am concerned by one of the indicator chosen to analyse the results; averaging lithological categorical values can be very misleading.
Below are detailed comments
Introduction
Line 59, the reference to Mariethoz et al. 2010 (Direct Samling specific algorithm, as mentioned line 551) might not be the most appropriate to support your statement here. Guardiano and Srivastava 1993 instead?
Line 69: what do you mean by that? How does the reference to Meerschman et al. 2013 support this statement? This reference would better describe the ease of use or wide use of MPS techniques such as the Direct Sampling.
Many statements refer to 4 different citations. Maybe keep the two most relevants and cite as (e.g. …).
Relevant work that could should probably be included in the literature review:
Lochbühler, T., Pirot, G., Straubhaar, J., & Linde, N. (2014). Conditioning of multiple-point statistics facies simulations to tomographic images. Mathematical Geosciences, 46(5), 625-645.
Pirot, G., Linde, N., Mariethoz, G., & Bradford, J. H. (2017). Probabilistic inversion with graph cuts: Application to the Boise Hydrogeophysical Research Site. Water Resources Research, 53(2), 1231-1250.
You have to clarify in the introduction that you are building up on previous work (Isunza Manrique et al., 2023) or ideas presented at a conference (Guo et al. 2024) and explain what is new here.
2.1 MCP
Is the considered lag h omnidirectional or directional?
2.2 Integration of geophysical data
Line 167: ‘this’ is ambiguous. Do you refer to Guo et al. 2024 or the work presented here?
It is not clear how P(A|C) is estimated nor how P(A|B,C) is integrated in the MCP framework (equation 1).
3.1 Synthetic case
Line 231: what are the different variables composing the training image? (maybe insert a step between 4. And 5.)
Figure 1 is confusing; there are two steps 6, crossing arrows, please reorganise it to make it clear or remove if the text description above is clear enough. Then later comes Figure 11, that looks totally different. It would be better to have a single workflow figure in section 2, and then give the specific of how the TI and conditional probabilities are estimated for the synthetic case and the real-case study.
3.2 Real-case study
Figure 9a: use the same colormap as in Figure 7.
Figure 9b: use a perceptually uniform colormap (e.g. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19160-7 , https://www.fabiocrameri.ch/colourmaps/ , https://colorcet.com/ )
Line 440-441, may be add a reference to support the use of Shannon’s entropy, e.g. one of the followings
Lindsay, M. D., Aillères, L., Jessell, M. W., de Kemp, E. A., & Betts, P. G. (2012). Locating and quantifying geological uncertainty in three-dimensional models: Analysis of the Gippsland Basin, southeastern Australia. Tectonophysics, 546, 10-27.
Pirot, G., Joshi, R., Giraud, J., Lindsay, M. D., & Jessell, M. W. (2022). loopUI-0.1: indicators to support needs and practices in 3D geological modelling uncertainty quantification. Geoscientific Model Development, 15(12), 4689-4708.
Line 445: averaging lithological categorical values seems dangerous. It may convey false information. E.g. if lithologies 10 (aquifer) and 12 (aquifer) average to 11 (aquitard), that would not make sense. It would make more sense to have an aquitard probability volume and an aquifer probability volume.
Line 504, is the interpreted geological model (Figure 7) used a s reference in the sensitivity analysis? Please clarify.