Articles | Volume 29, issue 22
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-6607-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-6607-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
21 Nov 2025
Research article |
| 21 Nov 2025
| 21 Nov 2025
Changing European hydroclimate under a collapsed AMOC in the Community Earth System Model
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Karin van der Wiel
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
Swinda K. J. Falkena
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht, Department of Physics, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Frank Selten
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, the Netherlands
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Short summary
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) moderates the European climate. The AMOC is a tipping element and may collapse to a substantially weaker state under climate change. Such an event induces global and regional climate shifts. The European hydroclimate becomes drier under an AMOC collapse, this response is not considered in the
standardhydroclimate projections. Our results indicate a considerable influence of the AMOC on the European hydroclimate.
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) moderates the European climate. The AMOC...
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