Articles | Volume 29, issue 20
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-5535-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Using century-long reanalysis and a rainfall-runoff model to explore multi-decadal variability in catchment hydrology at the European scale
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- Final revised paper (published on 22 Oct 2025)
- Preprint (discussion started on 06 Nov 2024)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
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RC1: 'Comment on hess-2024-336', Anonymous Referee #1, 02 Jan 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Pierre Brigode, 05 Mar 2025
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RC2: 'Comment on hess-2024-336', Anonymous Referee #2, 20 Jan 2025
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Pierre Brigode, 05 Mar 2025
Peer review completion
AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (17 Mar 2025) by Daniel Viviroli
AR by Pierre Brigode on behalf of the Authors (19 Jun 2025)
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ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (02 Jul 2025) by Daniel Viviroli
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (02 Jul 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (07 Jul 2025)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (29 Jul 2025) by Daniel Viviroli
AR by Pierre Brigode on behalf of the Authors (03 Sep 2025)
Author's response
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ED: Publish as is (16 Sep 2025) by Daniel Viviroli
AR by Pierre Brigode on behalf of the Authors (16 Sep 2025)
This paper presents an analysis of the century-long ERA-20C and NOAA-20CR reanalysis products to simulate flows and long-term trends that could otherwise be missed when looking at shorter time periods. I think the study is of interest and proposes an alternative and convincing argument that the streamflows alternate between wet and dry periods over long (i.e. decadal or longer) time periods. While I found the paper to be well written and interesting, I also have some issues that I think would need to be solved before recommending acceptance for publication.
1. The title should reflect the fact that the reanalyses are not just global reanalyses. They are century-long reanalyses, which is the real kicker and novelty.
2. Line 63: Define what the 20CR and 20C mean (20th century reanalysis, please add)
3. Line 64: "eight-times daily" --> Better to say 3-hourly.
4. Line 81: "such modeling" --> such a modelling"
5. I see the resolution is a key issue in this paper. For starters, the MSWEP+ERA5 combination is mismatched, and the authors should have considered ERA5-Land to match the MSWEP precipitation resolution (0.1° each). Furthermore, to preserve coherence, ERA5-Land precipitation could have been used instead of MSWEP. I think a justification of this should be provided as well as an impact analysis (not redoing runs, but perhaps contextualizing with respect to the size of the catchments?).
6. In a similar vein, catchments sizes were restricted to above 100km2, whereas the ERA and NOAA datasets cover swaths of land between 10000 and 17000km2, which is a huge mismatch, especially the strong elevation gradients all over large parts of Europe. Was downscaling not an option? It seems that at least with the altitude/elevation and some background information it would be possible to do at least a rudimentary approach. I think the authors should consider this in their next version, or at least discuss it in more details because it is a key element of the paper.
7. KGE version used is the 2009 version, whereas the community has moved on to the 2012 modified KGE. While I have no problem with this (it is still a good metric), it would be good to explain that this was an editorial choice.
8. Line 198: "manipulated" has a negative connotation. I would suggest: "was implemented".
9. It seems Figure 2a-c first boxplot is not colored in red as supposed to? Or is it some other variable, given there are 9 boxes and only 8 legend entries? Which seems true for the two other boxplots as well. Please clarify.
10. Lines 248 and 256: p-value can be set to 0 when it is basically machine precision (2.2e-16).
11. Figure 5: One problem here is that the top rows will be a significant subset of the bottom rows, so the results are not necessarily comparable. For example, imagine that 50% of the catchments only have validation data on the exact 1982-1995 period. That would mean that those basis' scores would be exactly the same in the bottom plots even though it should cover la longer period, but it cannot be interpreted that way. I would suggest identifying a series of catchments that have at least 50 years of validation data and keeping those independent for the long-duration tests.
12. Lines 275-276: I think this is useful information that should be shown as it would show another mode/dimension to the problem that filters out random perturbations and focuses on the longer-term patterns.
13. General comment: It would be good to have a series of simulations for which only the ones that obtained KGE in calibration/validation above a certain quality threshold are preserved. Ex KGE > 0.7 for NOAA/NOAA and ERA/ERA (not really useful to do ERA5+MESWEP/NOAA(ERA). This would ensure results are not negatively affected by poorly modelled basins/models, as we have some that have quite low KGE values that contribute to the detailed variability results, and are perhaps not as trustworthy.
14. Figure 6: Not clear why the number of catchments changes for each metric. I would assume they would be the same from one metric to the next since they are only excluded if they don't have 30 years of observations?
15. Figure 6: I would show the boxplots in their entirety here. Not much use limiting to 0.2. At least to 0.0.
16. Lines 310-311: There have been numerous studies on this previously, I think it would be good to reference a few to show that your results are in-line with the current literature.
17. Line 321: "of this work" --> "for this work"
18. Lines 334-335: But also human intervention, forestry, agriculture, urbanization over the past ~120 years has definitely had an impact on hydrological response.
19. Figure 11: I think there is a problem here, all three figures are exactly the same.
20. Lines 407-408: But at the same time, the MSWEP + ERA5 dataset would still outperform the others if it had been used for calibration and evaluation (if it were available on the same periods), so I am not sure this point holds. It is true that consistency is important, but perhaps the gain would be much more if the resolution was also highly increased.
21. General comment: How are NOAA and ERA related? i.e. I imagine they must share a lot of the same historical data for the period prior to 1970-ish. It might be good to give more details on these in the data section.
22. In the Author contribution section, there is PB and OD, but I imagine OD = LO?
Overall a good work that could be much more impactful with a few adjustments, so I recommend minor revisions at this stage since I do not think it will require redoing simulations (although perhaps sampling high-quality datasets as subsets from the existing ones could be done with not too much work).