Articles | Volume 29, issue 19
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4893-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4893-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
01 Oct 2025
Research article |
| 01 Oct 2025
| 01 Oct 2025
Storyline analytical framework for understanding future severe low-water episodes and their consequences
Gabriel Rondeau-Genesse
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Ouranos inc., 550 Rue Sherbrooke W., West Tower, 19th floor, Montréal (QC), H3A 1B9, Canada
Louis-Philippe Caron
Ouranos inc., 550 Rue Sherbrooke W., West Tower, 19th floor, Montréal (QC), H3A 1B9, Canada
Kristelle Audet
Groupe AGÉCO, 25 Mozart Avenue East, office 310, Montréal (QC), H2S 1B1, Canada
Laurent Da Silva
Nada Conseils, Montréal (QC), Canada
Daniel Tarte
T² Environnement, 91 boul. Constable, McMasterville (QC), J3G 1M8, Canada
Rachel Parent
T² Environnement, 91 boul. Constable, McMasterville (QC), J3G 1M8, Canada
Élise Comeau
Université du Québec à Montréal (UQÀM), Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Montréal (QC), Canada
Dominic Matte
Ouranos inc., 550 Rue Sherbrooke W., West Tower, 19th floor, Montréal (QC), H3A 1B9, Canada
Université du Québec à Montréal (UQÀM), Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Montréal (QC), Canada
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Short summary
The 2021 drought in Quebec showcased the province’s potential vulnerability. This study uses a storyline approach to explore the impacts of future extreme droughts under +2 °C and +3 °C global warming scenarios. Results show that future droughts similar to that of 2021 could worsen significantly, with water levels dropping for longer periods and impacting ecosystems and human activities.
The 2021 drought in Quebec showcased the province’s potential vulnerability. This study uses a...
