Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Articles | Volume 29, issue 14
Articles | Volume 29, issue 14
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-3203-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-3203-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 29, issue 14
Research article
 | 
25 Jul 2025
Research article |  | 25 Jul 2025

Probabilistic analysis of future drought propagation, persistence, and spatial concurrence in monsoon-dominant Asian regions under climate change

Dineshkumar Muthuvel and Xiaosheng Qin

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Short summary
Propagation from meteorological droughts to agricultural droughts under climate change is analysed in the monsoon-dominant Asian regions. Next, the persistence of such agricultural droughts across seasons in a water year is determined. Finally, the spatial concurrence of monsoonal agricultural droughts across regions has been estimated. South Asia and eastern China are projected to experience intensified future drought propagation and spatial concurrence.
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