Articles | Volume 29, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-2185-2025
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-2185-2025
Opinion article
 | 
08 May 2025
Opinion article |  | 08 May 2025

HESS Opinions: Floods and droughts – are land use, soil management, and landscape hydrology more significant drivers than increasing CO2?

Karl Auerswald, Juergen Geist, John N. Quinton, and Peter Fiener

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Cited articles

Allen, R. G., Pereira, L. S., Raes, D., and Smith, M.: Crop evapotranspiration – Guidelines for computing crop water requirements, FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper, 56, FAO, Rome, 300(9), D05109, https://www.fao.org/4/x0490e/x0490e00.htm (last access: 12 April 2025), 1998. 
Anonym: Ländliches Wegenetz [Rural road network], Schriftenreihe der Arge Landentwicklung, 26, 108–109, https://www.landentwicklung.de/fileadmin/sites/Landentwicklung/Dateien/Publikationen/Schriftenreihe_ArgeLandentwicklung/Heft_26_40_Jahre_Bund-Laender-Arbeitsgemeinschaft_Nachhaltige_Landentwicklung.pdf (last access: 12 April 2025), 2018. 
Arnault, J., Fersch, B., Rummler, T., Zhang Z., Quenum G.M., Wei J., Graf M., Laux P., and Kunstmann, H.: Lateral terrestrial water flow contribution to summer precipitation at continental scale – A comparison between Europe and West Africa with WRF-Hydro-tag ensembles, Hydrol. Process., 35, e14183, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.14183, 2021. 
Auerswald, K., Fischer, F. K., Winterrath, T., and Brandhuber, R.: Rain erosivity map for Germany derived from contiguous radar rain data, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 1819–1832, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-1819-2019, 2019a. 
Auerswald, K., Fischer, F., Winterrath, T., Elhaus, D., Maier, H., and Brandhuber, R.: Klimabedingte Veränderung der Regenerosivität seit 1960 und Konsequenzen für Bodenabtragsschätzungen [Climate-change-induced changes in rain erosivity and consequences of soil loss estimation], in: Bodenschutz, Ergänzbares Handbuch der Maßnahmen und Empfehlungen für Schutz, Pflege und Sanierung von Böden, Landschaft und Grundwasser (Loseblattsammlung), edited by: Bachmann, G., König, W., and Utermann, J., Berlin, Erich Schmidt Verlag, 4090, 21 pp., ISBN 978-3-503-02718-7, 2019b. 
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Short summary
Floods, droughts, and heatwaves are increasing globally. This is often attributed to CO2-driven climate change. However, at the global scale, CO2-driven climate change neither reduces precipitation nor adequately explains droughts. Land-use change, particularly soil sealing, compaction, and drainage, is likely to be more significant for water losses by runoff leading to flooding and water scarcity and is therefore an important part of the solution to mitigate floods, droughts, and heatwaves.
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