Past, present and future rainfall erosivity in central Europe based on convection-permitting climate simulations

Uber, Magdalena; Haller, Michael; Brendel, Christoph; Hillebrand, Gudrun; Hoffmann, Thomas

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-87-2024

Articles | Volume 28, issue 1

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-87-2024

© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-87-2024

© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 28, issue 1

Research article

|

05 Jan 2024

Research article |

| 05 Jan 2024

Past, present and future rainfall erosivity in central Europe based on convection-permitting climate simulations

Magdalena Uber, Michael Haller, Christoph Brendel, Gudrun Hillebrand, and Thomas Hoffmann

Supplement

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-87-2024-supplement

Data sets

Past, present and future rainfall erosivity in Central Europe Magdalena Uber et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7628957

HoKliSim-De evaluation simulation with COSMO-CLM5-0-16 version V2022.01 S. Brienen et al. https://esgf.dwd.de/projects/dwd-cps/hoklisim-v2022-01

Historical simulation with COSMO-CLM5-0-16 M. Haller et al. https://esgf.dwd.de/projects/dwd-cps/cps-hist-v2022-01

Projection simulation with COSMO-CLM5-0-16 M. Haller et al. https://esgf.dwd.de/projects/dwd-cps/cps-scen-v2022-01

Short summary

We calculated past, present and future rainfall erosivity in central Europe from high-resolution precipitation data (3 km and 1 h) generated by the COSMO-CLM convection-permitting climate model. Future rainfall erosivity can be up to 84 % higher than it was in the past. Such increases are much higher than estimated previously from regional climate model output. Convection-permitting simulations have an enormous and, to date, unexploited potential for the calculation of future rainfall erosivity.