Articles | Volume 28, issue 14
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3243-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3243-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Impact of reservoir evaporation on future water availability in north-eastern Brazil: a multi-scenario assessment
Gláuber Pontes Rodrigues
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Agricultural Engineering, Federal University of Ceará, 60451-070 Fortaleza, Brazil
Institute for Environmental Sciences and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
Arlena Brosinsky
Institute for Environmental Sciences and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
Remote Sensing and Geoinformatics Section, German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), Potsdam, Germany
Ítalo Sampaio Rodrigues
Department of Geography, University of Lethbridge, Lethbridge, Alberta, Canada
George Leite Mamede
Institute for Engineering and Sustainable Development, University of International Integration of Afro-Brazilian Lusophony, 62790-000 Redenção, Brazil
José Carlos de Araújo
Department of Agricultural Engineering, Federal University of Ceará, 60451-070 Fortaleza, Brazil
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Cited
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Regional-scale seasonal forecast of surface water availability in a semi-arid environment: The case of Ceará State in Northeast of Brazil E. Rottler et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102058
- CMIP6-based analysis of precipitation and temperature trends and their implications on water resource management in the Gidabo Watershed, Ethiopia D. Dogiso et al. https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2025.227
- Seasonal eco-hydrological dynamics of China’s Dongting and Poyang Lake wetlands: A 26-year meta-analysis S. Rahman et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.psep.2026.109289
- Forecasting streamflow and water availability in a Brazilian semi-arid watershed J. LIMA et al. https://doi.org/10.1590/0001-3765202520240504
- Floating Photovoltaic Plants: Exploring the Water-Energy Nexus P. Carvalho et al. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2025.3622488
- Effects of floating macrophytes on open-water evaporation in a Brazilian tropical reservoir I. Rodrigues et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsames.2025.105683
- GIS-based spatial assessment of water quality, soil, and plant: a case study of Darawat Dam Sindh, Pakistan M. Lanjwani et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-024-13599-7
- The impact of reservoirs on dryland vegetation and its regional variation Y. Dai & J. Yu https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.131003
- Tracking the Xinfengjiang Reservoir's hydrologic pulse over three decades: meteorological forcings deciphered by multisensor remote sensing X. Huang et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/22797254.2026.2662653
- Impact of Macrophyte Evapotranspiration on Water Availability in Tropical Northeast Brazil D. Souza et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.70609
- Evolution of streamflow intensity, regional synergistic patterns, and driving mechanisms of the Yangtze River Y. Feng et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.134932
- Evaporative Water Consumption and Heat Redistribution Under Pumped-Storage Hydropower Operation in an Arid Region J. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080200
- Hydrological modeling applied to water synergy evaluation in Castanhão Reservoir, Ceará, Brazil B. Nobre & J. Cirilo https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-024-13536-8
- Advancing water security in semi-arid Brazil: expansion of water storage infrastructure and human-water system co-evolution B. Pereira et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2025.1602146
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Regional-scale seasonal forecast of surface water availability in a semi-arid environment: The case of Ceará State in Northeast of Brazil E. Rottler et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102058
- CMIP6-based analysis of precipitation and temperature trends and their implications on water resource management in the Gidabo Watershed, Ethiopia D. Dogiso et al. https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2025.227
- Seasonal eco-hydrological dynamics of China’s Dongting and Poyang Lake wetlands: A 26-year meta-analysis S. Rahman et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.psep.2026.109289
- Forecasting streamflow and water availability in a Brazilian semi-arid watershed J. LIMA et al. https://doi.org/10.1590/0001-3765202520240504
- Floating Photovoltaic Plants: Exploring the Water-Energy Nexus P. Carvalho et al. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2025.3622488
- Effects of floating macrophytes on open-water evaporation in a Brazilian tropical reservoir I. Rodrigues et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsames.2025.105683
- GIS-based spatial assessment of water quality, soil, and plant: a case study of Darawat Dam Sindh, Pakistan M. Lanjwani et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-024-13599-7
- The impact of reservoirs on dryland vegetation and its regional variation Y. Dai & J. Yu https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.131003
- Tracking the Xinfengjiang Reservoir's hydrologic pulse over three decades: meteorological forcings deciphered by multisensor remote sensing X. Huang et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/22797254.2026.2662653
- Impact of Macrophyte Evapotranspiration on Water Availability in Tropical Northeast Brazil D. Souza et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.70609
- Evolution of streamflow intensity, regional synergistic patterns, and driving mechanisms of the Yangtze River Y. Feng et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.134932
- Evaporative Water Consumption and Heat Redistribution Under Pumped-Storage Hydropower Operation in an Arid Region J. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13080200
- Hydrological modeling applied to water synergy evaluation in Castanhão Reservoir, Ceará, Brazil B. Nobre & J. Cirilo https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-024-13536-8
- Advancing water security in semi-arid Brazil: expansion of water storage infrastructure and human-water system co-evolution B. Pereira et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2025.1602146
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 14 Oct 2026
Short summary
The research focuses on a 4-million-inhabitant tropical region supplied by a network of open-water reservoirs where the dry season lasts for 8 months (Jun−Dec). We analysed the impact of four climate change scenarios on the evaporation rate and the associated availability (water yield distributed per year). The worst-case scenario shows that by the end of the century (2071−2099), the evaporation rate in the dry season could increase by 6 %, which would reduce stored water by about 80 %.
The research focuses on a 4-million-inhabitant tropical region supplied by a network of...