Articles | Volume 27, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-559-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-559-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Estimating propagation probability from meteorological to ecological droughts using a hybrid machine learning copula method
Tianliang Jiang
College of Water Resources and Architectural Engineering, Northwest A & F University, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100, China
Key Laboratory of Agricultural Soil and Water Engineering in Arid and Semiarid Areas, Northwest A & F University, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100, China
College of Water Resources and Architectural Engineering, Northwest A & F University, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100, China
Key Laboratory of Agricultural Soil and Water Engineering in Arid and Semiarid Areas, Northwest A & F University, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100, China
Gengxi Zhang
College of Hydraulic Science and Engineering, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China
Te Zhang
College of Water Resources and Architectural Engineering, Northwest A & F University, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100, China
Key Laboratory of Agricultural Soil and Water Engineering in Arid and Semiarid Areas, Northwest A & F University, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100, China
Haijiang Wu
College of Water Resources and Architectural Engineering, Northwest A & F University, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100, China
Key Laboratory of Agricultural Soil and Water Engineering in Arid and Semiarid Areas, Northwest A & F University, Yangling, Shaanxi 712100, China
Viewed
Total article views: 6,740 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 01 Apr 2022)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,779 | 1,837 | 124 | 6,740 | 102 | 152 |
- HTML: 4,779
- PDF: 1,837
- XML: 124
- Total: 6,740
- BibTeX: 102
- EndNote: 152
Total article views: 5,144 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 27 Jan 2023)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,751 | 1,299 | 94 | 5,144 | 90 | 137 |
- HTML: 3,751
- PDF: 1,299
- XML: 94
- Total: 5,144
- BibTeX: 90
- EndNote: 137
Total article views: 1,596 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 01 Apr 2022)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,028 | 538 | 30 | 1,596 | 145 | 12 | 15 |
- HTML: 1,028
- PDF: 538
- XML: 30
- Total: 1,596
- Supplement: 145
- BibTeX: 12
- EndNote: 15
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 6,740 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 6,421 with geography defined
and 319 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 5,144 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 4,937 with geography defined
and 207 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 1,596 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 1,484 with geography defined
and 112 with unknown origin.
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
78 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Deep learning model for drought prediction based on large-scale spatial causal network in the Yangtze River Basin H. Dai et al.
- A Novel Standardized Optimal Synthesized Drought Index (SOSDI) for Agro-Drought Monitoring Using Multisource Remote Sensing Data S. Feng et al.
- Characterizing spatially concurrent hydrological drought and its response to meteorological drought under the impact of human activities S. He et al.
- A new perspective for assessing hydro-meteorological drought relationships at large scale based on causality analysis Z. Zhou et al.
- Three-dimensional perspective on the characterization of the spatiotemporal propagation from meteorological to agricultural drought K. Feng et al.
- Research on the Risk of a Multi-Source Hydrological Drought Encounter in the Yangtze River Basin Based on Spatial and Temporal Correlation J. Li & H. Wang
- Deriving phase-contingent dynamic drought-limited water levels: An adaptive framework for managing megadrought evolution Y. Li et al.
- Causality-based drought propagation analyses among meteorological drought, hydrologic drought, and water shortage J. Shiau
- Development of a random-forest-copula-factorial analysis (RFCFA) method for predicting propagation between meteorological and hydrological drought H. Wang et al.
- Derivation of optimal scheduling strategies for large-scale inter-basin water transfer projects considering streamflow wet-dry encounter uncertainty of multiple reservoirs H. Zhong et al.
- Probabilistic Assessment of Future Drought Characteristics under the Quality Boosted Regional Drought Index V. Kartal et al.
- Vegetation greening accelerated the propagation from meteorological to soil droughts in the Loess Plateau from a three-dimensional perspective H. Yang et al.
- Ecosystems resilience assessment of forest and grassland subjected to ecological drought Y. Han et al.
- Evaluating Ecological Drought Vulnerability from Ecosystem Service Value Perspectives in North China T. Jiang et al.
- The Propagation Characteristics of Meteorological Drought to Vegetation Drought Based on Three-Dimensional Clustering Algorithm in China S. Gao et al.
- Optimizing Crop Spatial Structure to Improve Water Use Efficiency and Ecological Sustainability in Inland River Basin Z. Wu et al.
- Evolution characteristics and driving mechanisms of ecological drought from a terrestrial ecosystem perspective F. Wang et al.
- Deciphering the influence of climate change and human activities on the drought propagation W. Zhao et al.
- Artificial intelligence for climate prediction of extremes: State of the art, challenges, and future perspectives S. Materia et al.
- Temporal and spatial characteristics of ecological drought in the Inland River Basin and its driving factors Z. Zhang et al.
- Assessing agricultural drought response to meteorological drought using an enhanced three-dimensional drought framework Y. Zhang et al.
- Impact of driving factors on drought propagation: perspectives on rainfall deficit and excessive evaporation S. Zhu et al.
- Spatiotemporal response of agricultural drought to meteorological drought in the upper Hanjiang River Basin from three-dimensional perspective S. Liu et al.
- The patterns, magnitude, and drivers of unprecedented 2022 mega-drought in the Yangtze River Basin, China Y. Liu et al.
- Investigating multitype drought propagation thresholds across the different climate regions of China Y. Ding et al.
- Identification of spatiotemporal changes and driving factors of ecological drought during 1982–2024 across the mainland China H. Lai et al.
- Characteristics and Lag Time of Meteorological Drought Propagation to Hydrological Drought in the Haihe River Basin K. Liu et al.
- Diverse vegetation response to meteorological drought from propagation perspective using event matching method Q. Zhao et al.
- Reconstruction of drought propagation pathways: A global analysis of multitype propagation chains and nonlinear mechanisms J. Long et al.
- Recent development on drought propagation: A comprehensive review Z. Zhou et al.
- Development of a hydrometeorological drought severity composite index based on the integration of multisource characteristics and an explainable artificial intelligence model I. Houmma et al.
- Probabilistic evaluation of agricultural drought using meteorological drought propagation mechanisms and Vine Copula in a compound drought framework J. Song et al.
- Evaluating the propagation process of meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural drought dynamics in the Yellow river basin X. Gu et al.
- Unraveling Interactive Effects of Climate, Hydrology, and CO2 on Ecological Drought with Interpretable Machine Learning Y. Zhu et al.
- Meteorological drought migration characteristics based on an improved spatiotemporal structure approach in the Loess Plateau of China M. Nie et al.
- Probability links between meteorological drought and hydrological drought from a 3D perspective X. Luo et al.
- Spatiotemporal desynchronization in the propagation from meteorological to soil moisture drought in the Loess Plateau, China M. Nie et al.
- Analyzing the Driving Mechanism of Drought Using the Ecological Aridity Index Considering the Evapotranspiration Deficit—A Case Study in Xinjiang, China H. Tang et al.
- Joint Action of Wind and Temperature for a Long-Span Cable-Stayed Bridge in Plateau Canyon Regions Using SHM Data and Copula-Based Probabilistic Modeling J. Liu et al.
- Three-dimensional identification and assessment of compound droughts from a propagation perspective Z. Guo et al.
- Long-term changes in the drought propagation characteristics in the Yangtze River Basin R. Hu et al.
- A new perspective on socioeconomic drought: a distributed and standardized index F. Meng et al.
- Assessing the dynamics and trigger factors of drought propagation in the China-Pakistan economic corridor: A three-dimensional perspective L. Xie et al.
- The Joint Occurrence Probability of Compound Drought and Heatwaves: A Copula‐Based Multivariate Analysis of Duration and Severity in China X. Li et al.
- Understanding drought propagation through coupling spatiotemporal features using vine copulas: A compound drought perspective G. Yang et al.
- Compound droughts under climate change in Switzerland C. von Matt et al.
- Multivariate uncertainty analysis of severity–duration–magnitude–frequency curves using Khoudraji copula and bootstrap method M. Achite et al.
- RETRACTED ARTICLE: Artificial intelligence-based solutions for climate change: a review L. Chen et al.
- A framework for identifying propagation from meteorological to ecological drought events Y. Wang et al.
- Triggering thresholds and influential factors in the propagation of meteorological drought to hydrological drought N. Zhen et al.
- A new multivariate agricultural drought composite index based on random forest algorithm and remote sensing data developed for Sahelian agrosystems I. Hanadé Houmma et al.
- Bayesian analysis of variance for quantifying multi-factor effects on drought propagation Q. Zhang et al.
- Multi-reservoirs joint flood control scheduling using a two-layer hedging robust optimization method under uncertain inflows X. Yu et al.
- Identifying Forest Drought Sensitivity Drivers in China Under Lagged and Accumulative Effects via XGBoost-SHAP Z. Xue et al.
- Hot Drought Increased the Occurrence Probability of the 2025 Los Angeles Destructive Wildfires F. Ma et al.
- Determining the response of ecological drought to meteorological and groundwater droughts in Northwest China using a spatio-temporal matching method T. Jiang et al.
- Identification of dynamic drought propagation from a nonstationary perspective and its application to drought warnings T. Zhang et al.
- A novel framework for assessing the joint and relative impacts of precipitation and groundwater on ecological drought processes in Northwest China T. Jiang et al.
- Assessment of ecological drought vulnerability of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2003 to 2022 based on multi-source data J. Lei et al.
- Drought cascades across multiple systems in Central Asia identified based on the dynamic space–time motion approach L. Tian et al.
- Quantifying multidimensional drought propagation risks under climate change: A vine-copula Bayesian factorial analysis method H. Wang et al.
- Intensifying propagation from El Niño to regional drought in China H. Dong et al.
- Temporal and spatial response of agricultural drought to meteorological drought in inner Mongolia plateau inland river basin W. Zhang et al.
- Quantifying the dampening effect of soil moisture on drought propagation in northern ecosystems Y. Li et al.
- Influence of large-scale climate indices and regional meteorological elements on drought characteristics in the Luanhe River Basin M. Li et al.
- Spatiotemporal Variability of Precipitation Concentration and Its Rate of Contribution to Meteorological Drought in Mainland China P. Xu et al.
- Review article: Towards improved drought prediction in the Mediterranean region – modeling approaches and future directions B. Zellou et al.
- Vegetation drought condition index for probabilistic monitoring and forecasting of vegetation drought J. Won et al.
- The spatiotemporal evolution and propagation characteristics of multiple drought types from a three-dimensional perspective D. Li et al.
- Comprehensive propagation characteristics between paired meteorological and hydrological drought events: Insights from various underlying surfaces J. Chen et al.
- Propagation patterns of different degree meteorological droughts across the Yangtze River Basin: a three-dimensional drought feature identification approach with Copula modeling L. Xing et al.
- Modelling the Dependence Between Drought and Heatwave Extremes in Kenya Using an Integrated EVT-Copula-XGBoost Framework C. Mulwa et al.
- Attributing spatiotemporal evolution and driving factors of meteorological drought across Yangtze River Basin, China X. Zeng et al.
- Temporal and spatial propagation characteristics of meteorological drought to hydrological drought and influencing factors Z. Wang et al.
- The evaluation of the suitability of potential evapotranspiration models for drought monitoring based on observed pan evaporation and potential evapotranspiration from eddy covariance W. Liu et al.
- Temporal and Spatial Dynamics of Groundwater Drought Based on GRACE Satellite and Its Relationship with Agricultural Drought W. Luo et al.
- Increased risks of spatially concurrent droughts in the yellow river basin under climate warming J. Lu et al.
- Spatiotemporal propagation of compound drought events in China: an approach combining 3D clustering and daily-scale Extended Convergent Cross Mapping S. Ning et al.
78 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Deep learning model for drought prediction based on large-scale spatial causal network in the Yangtze River Basin H. Dai et al.
- A Novel Standardized Optimal Synthesized Drought Index (SOSDI) for Agro-Drought Monitoring Using Multisource Remote Sensing Data S. Feng et al.
- Characterizing spatially concurrent hydrological drought and its response to meteorological drought under the impact of human activities S. He et al.
- A new perspective for assessing hydro-meteorological drought relationships at large scale based on causality analysis Z. Zhou et al.
- Three-dimensional perspective on the characterization of the spatiotemporal propagation from meteorological to agricultural drought K. Feng et al.
- Research on the Risk of a Multi-Source Hydrological Drought Encounter in the Yangtze River Basin Based on Spatial and Temporal Correlation J. Li & H. Wang
- Deriving phase-contingent dynamic drought-limited water levels: An adaptive framework for managing megadrought evolution Y. Li et al.
- Causality-based drought propagation analyses among meteorological drought, hydrologic drought, and water shortage J. Shiau
- Development of a random-forest-copula-factorial analysis (RFCFA) method for predicting propagation between meteorological and hydrological drought H. Wang et al.
- Derivation of optimal scheduling strategies for large-scale inter-basin water transfer projects considering streamflow wet-dry encounter uncertainty of multiple reservoirs H. Zhong et al.
- Probabilistic Assessment of Future Drought Characteristics under the Quality Boosted Regional Drought Index V. Kartal et al.
- Vegetation greening accelerated the propagation from meteorological to soil droughts in the Loess Plateau from a three-dimensional perspective H. Yang et al.
- Ecosystems resilience assessment of forest and grassland subjected to ecological drought Y. Han et al.
- Evaluating Ecological Drought Vulnerability from Ecosystem Service Value Perspectives in North China T. Jiang et al.
- The Propagation Characteristics of Meteorological Drought to Vegetation Drought Based on Three-Dimensional Clustering Algorithm in China S. Gao et al.
- Optimizing Crop Spatial Structure to Improve Water Use Efficiency and Ecological Sustainability in Inland River Basin Z. Wu et al.
- Evolution characteristics and driving mechanisms of ecological drought from a terrestrial ecosystem perspective F. Wang et al.
- Deciphering the influence of climate change and human activities on the drought propagation W. Zhao et al.
- Artificial intelligence for climate prediction of extremes: State of the art, challenges, and future perspectives S. Materia et al.
- Temporal and spatial characteristics of ecological drought in the Inland River Basin and its driving factors Z. Zhang et al.
- Assessing agricultural drought response to meteorological drought using an enhanced three-dimensional drought framework Y. Zhang et al.
- Impact of driving factors on drought propagation: perspectives on rainfall deficit and excessive evaporation S. Zhu et al.
- Spatiotemporal response of agricultural drought to meteorological drought in the upper Hanjiang River Basin from three-dimensional perspective S. Liu et al.
- The patterns, magnitude, and drivers of unprecedented 2022 mega-drought in the Yangtze River Basin, China Y. Liu et al.
- Investigating multitype drought propagation thresholds across the different climate regions of China Y. Ding et al.
- Identification of spatiotemporal changes and driving factors of ecological drought during 1982–2024 across the mainland China H. Lai et al.
- Characteristics and Lag Time of Meteorological Drought Propagation to Hydrological Drought in the Haihe River Basin K. Liu et al.
- Diverse vegetation response to meteorological drought from propagation perspective using event matching method Q. Zhao et al.
- Reconstruction of drought propagation pathways: A global analysis of multitype propagation chains and nonlinear mechanisms J. Long et al.
- Recent development on drought propagation: A comprehensive review Z. Zhou et al.
- Development of a hydrometeorological drought severity composite index based on the integration of multisource characteristics and an explainable artificial intelligence model I. Houmma et al.
- Probabilistic evaluation of agricultural drought using meteorological drought propagation mechanisms and Vine Copula in a compound drought framework J. Song et al.
- Evaluating the propagation process of meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural drought dynamics in the Yellow river basin X. Gu et al.
- Unraveling Interactive Effects of Climate, Hydrology, and CO2 on Ecological Drought with Interpretable Machine Learning Y. Zhu et al.
- Meteorological drought migration characteristics based on an improved spatiotemporal structure approach in the Loess Plateau of China M. Nie et al.
- Probability links between meteorological drought and hydrological drought from a 3D perspective X. Luo et al.
- Spatiotemporal desynchronization in the propagation from meteorological to soil moisture drought in the Loess Plateau, China M. Nie et al.
- Analyzing the Driving Mechanism of Drought Using the Ecological Aridity Index Considering the Evapotranspiration Deficit—A Case Study in Xinjiang, China H. Tang et al.
- Joint Action of Wind and Temperature for a Long-Span Cable-Stayed Bridge in Plateau Canyon Regions Using SHM Data and Copula-Based Probabilistic Modeling J. Liu et al.
- Three-dimensional identification and assessment of compound droughts from a propagation perspective Z. Guo et al.
- Long-term changes in the drought propagation characteristics in the Yangtze River Basin R. Hu et al.
- A new perspective on socioeconomic drought: a distributed and standardized index F. Meng et al.
- Assessing the dynamics and trigger factors of drought propagation in the China-Pakistan economic corridor: A three-dimensional perspective L. Xie et al.
- The Joint Occurrence Probability of Compound Drought and Heatwaves: A Copula‐Based Multivariate Analysis of Duration and Severity in China X. Li et al.
- Understanding drought propagation through coupling spatiotemporal features using vine copulas: A compound drought perspective G. Yang et al.
- Compound droughts under climate change in Switzerland C. von Matt et al.
- Multivariate uncertainty analysis of severity–duration–magnitude–frequency curves using Khoudraji copula and bootstrap method M. Achite et al.
- RETRACTED ARTICLE: Artificial intelligence-based solutions for climate change: a review L. Chen et al.
- A framework for identifying propagation from meteorological to ecological drought events Y. Wang et al.
- Triggering thresholds and influential factors in the propagation of meteorological drought to hydrological drought N. Zhen et al.
- A new multivariate agricultural drought composite index based on random forest algorithm and remote sensing data developed for Sahelian agrosystems I. Hanadé Houmma et al.
- Bayesian analysis of variance for quantifying multi-factor effects on drought propagation Q. Zhang et al.
- Multi-reservoirs joint flood control scheduling using a two-layer hedging robust optimization method under uncertain inflows X. Yu et al.
- Identifying Forest Drought Sensitivity Drivers in China Under Lagged and Accumulative Effects via XGBoost-SHAP Z. Xue et al.
- Hot Drought Increased the Occurrence Probability of the 2025 Los Angeles Destructive Wildfires F. Ma et al.
- Determining the response of ecological drought to meteorological and groundwater droughts in Northwest China using a spatio-temporal matching method T. Jiang et al.
- Identification of dynamic drought propagation from a nonstationary perspective and its application to drought warnings T. Zhang et al.
- A novel framework for assessing the joint and relative impacts of precipitation and groundwater on ecological drought processes in Northwest China T. Jiang et al.
- Assessment of ecological drought vulnerability of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau from 2003 to 2022 based on multi-source data J. Lei et al.
- Drought cascades across multiple systems in Central Asia identified based on the dynamic space–time motion approach L. Tian et al.
- Quantifying multidimensional drought propagation risks under climate change: A vine-copula Bayesian factorial analysis method H. Wang et al.
- Intensifying propagation from El Niño to regional drought in China H. Dong et al.
- Temporal and spatial response of agricultural drought to meteorological drought in inner Mongolia plateau inland river basin W. Zhang et al.
- Quantifying the dampening effect of soil moisture on drought propagation in northern ecosystems Y. Li et al.
- Influence of large-scale climate indices and regional meteorological elements on drought characteristics in the Luanhe River Basin M. Li et al.
- Spatiotemporal Variability of Precipitation Concentration and Its Rate of Contribution to Meteorological Drought in Mainland China P. Xu et al.
- Review article: Towards improved drought prediction in the Mediterranean region – modeling approaches and future directions B. Zellou et al.
- Vegetation drought condition index for probabilistic monitoring and forecasting of vegetation drought J. Won et al.
- The spatiotemporal evolution and propagation characteristics of multiple drought types from a three-dimensional perspective D. Li et al.
- Comprehensive propagation characteristics between paired meteorological and hydrological drought events: Insights from various underlying surfaces J. Chen et al.
- Propagation patterns of different degree meteorological droughts across the Yangtze River Basin: a three-dimensional drought feature identification approach with Copula modeling L. Xing et al.
- Modelling the Dependence Between Drought and Heatwave Extremes in Kenya Using an Integrated EVT-Copula-XGBoost Framework C. Mulwa et al.
- Attributing spatiotemporal evolution and driving factors of meteorological drought across Yangtze River Basin, China X. Zeng et al.
- Temporal and spatial propagation characteristics of meteorological drought to hydrological drought and influencing factors Z. Wang et al.
- The evaluation of the suitability of potential evapotranspiration models for drought monitoring based on observed pan evaporation and potential evapotranspiration from eddy covariance W. Liu et al.
- Temporal and Spatial Dynamics of Groundwater Drought Based on GRACE Satellite and Its Relationship with Agricultural Drought W. Luo et al.
- Increased risks of spatially concurrent droughts in the yellow river basin under climate warming J. Lu et al.
- Spatiotemporal propagation of compound drought events in China: an approach combining 3D clustering and daily-scale Extended Convergent Cross Mapping S. Ning et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 28 Apr 2026
Short summary
A hybrid method is developed for calculating the propagation probability of meteorological to ecological drought at different levels. Drought events are identified from a three-dimensional perspective. A spatial and temporal overlap rule is developed for extracting propagated drought events.
A hybrid method is developed for calculating the propagation probability of meteorological to...