Articles | Volume 27, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-453-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-453-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
20 Jan 2023
Research article |
| 20 Jan 2023
| 20 Jan 2023
A snow and glacier hydrological model for large catchments – case study for the Naryn River, central Asia
Sarah Shannon
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Geographical Science, University Road, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1SS, UK
Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1UJ, UK
Anthony Payne
Department of Geographical Science, University Road, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1SS, UK
Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1UJ, UK
Jim Freer
Centre for Hydrology, University of Saskatchewan, Canmore, Alberta, T1W 3G1, Canada
Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1UJ, UK
Department of Geographical Science, University Road, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1SS, UK
Gemma Coxon
Department of Geographical Science, University Road, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1SS, UK
Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1UJ, UK
Martina Kauzlaric
Universität Bern, Geographisches Institut, Climate Impact Research, Hallerstrasse 12, 3012 Bern, Switzerland
David Kriegel
Ingenieurbüro für Grundwasser GmbH, Leipzig, Germany
Stephan Harrison
Department of Geography, University of Exeter, Penryn, Cornwall TR10 9FE, UK
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Cited
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Unveiling the future water pulse of central asia: a comprehensive 21st century hydrological forecast from stochastic water balance modeling T. Siegfried et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03799-y
- Developing water supply reservoir operating rules for large-scale hydrological modelling S. Salwey et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4203-2024
- Storylines of extreme precipitation events and flood impacts in alpine and pre-alpine environments under various global warming levels L. Munz et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177791
- High-resolution assessment of climate change impacts on the surface energy and water balance in the glaciated Naryn River basin, Central Asia S. Sadyrov et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.124021
- Evaluation of surrogate flood models for the use in impact-based flood warning systems at national scale M. Mosimann et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105936
- Record-breaking glacier mass loss in Central Asia in 2025 L. Tricht et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae6712
- Merits and limits of SWAT-GL: application in contrasting glaciated catchments T. Schaffhauser et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-3227-2025
- Analysis of parameter uncertainty in SWAT model using a Bayesian Box–Cox transformation three-level factorial analysis method: a case of Naryn River Basin C. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2023.014
- Hybrid-cryo: a modular data-physics hybrid framework for cryospheric runoff simulation Z. Tang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.135575
- DECIPHeR-GW v1: a coupled hydrological model with improved representation of surface–groundwater interactions Y. Zheng et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-4247-2025
- The role of the cryosphere for runoff in a highly glacierised alpine catchment, an approach with a coupled model and in situ data A. Lambrecht & C. Mayer https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2024.48
- Flood changes and generating mechanisms in the Upper Rhine Basin under a warming climate Y. Yi et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134508
- Impact of climate change on hydrological fluxes in the Upper Bhagirathi River Basin, Uttarakhand S. Bhardwaj et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-025-13676-5
- A study on the runoff prediction mechanism of “water-soil-heat” in cold alpine regions with complex spatial distribution Q. Yu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178059
- Quantifying glacier and snow shrinkage: future water stress in Northern Tien Shan, Central Asia Q. Zhao et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2025.109734
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Unveiling the future water pulse of central asia: a comprehensive 21st century hydrological forecast from stochastic water balance modeling T. Siegfried et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-024-03799-y
- Developing water supply reservoir operating rules for large-scale hydrological modelling S. Salwey et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4203-2024
- Storylines of extreme precipitation events and flood impacts in alpine and pre-alpine environments under various global warming levels L. Munz et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177791
- High-resolution assessment of climate change impacts on the surface energy and water balance in the glaciated Naryn River basin, Central Asia S. Sadyrov et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.124021
- Evaluation of surrogate flood models for the use in impact-based flood warning systems at national scale M. Mosimann et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105936
- Record-breaking glacier mass loss in Central Asia in 2025 L. Tricht et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae6712
- Merits and limits of SWAT-GL: application in contrasting glaciated catchments T. Schaffhauser et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-3227-2025
- Analysis of parameter uncertainty in SWAT model using a Bayesian Box–Cox transformation three-level factorial analysis method: a case of Naryn River Basin C. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2023.014
- Hybrid-cryo: a modular data-physics hybrid framework for cryospheric runoff simulation Z. Tang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.135575
- DECIPHeR-GW v1: a coupled hydrological model with improved representation of surface–groundwater interactions Y. Zheng et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-4247-2025
- The role of the cryosphere for runoff in a highly glacierised alpine catchment, an approach with a coupled model and in situ data A. Lambrecht & C. Mayer https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2024.48
- Flood changes and generating mechanisms in the Upper Rhine Basin under a warming climate Y. Yi et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134508
- Impact of climate change on hydrological fluxes in the Upper Bhagirathi River Basin, Uttarakhand S. Bhardwaj et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-025-13676-5
- A study on the runoff prediction mechanism of “water-soil-heat” in cold alpine regions with complex spatial distribution Q. Yu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178059
- Quantifying glacier and snow shrinkage: future water stress in Northern Tien Shan, Central Asia Q. Zhao et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2025.109734
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 09 Jun 2026
Short summary
Climate change poses a potential threat to water supply in glaciated river catchments. In this study, we added a snowmelt and glacier melt model to the Dynamic fluxEs and ConnectIvity for Predictions of HydRology model (DECIPHeR). The model is applied to the Naryn River catchment in central Asia and is found to reproduce past change discharge and the spatial extent of seasonal snow cover well.
Climate change poses a potential threat to water supply in glaciated river catchments. In this...
