Articles | Volume 27, issue 15
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2847-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2847-2023
Research article
 | 
01 Aug 2023
Research article |  | 01 Aug 2023

Historical rainfall data in northern Italy predict larger meteorological drought hazard than climate projections

Rui Guo and Alberto Montanari

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Short summary
The present study refers to the region of Bologna, where the availability of a 209-year-long daily rainfall series allows us to make a unique assessment of global climate models' reliability and their predicted changes in rainfall and multiyear droughts. Our results suggest carefully considering the impact of uncertainty when designing climate change adaptation policies for droughts. Rigorous use and comprehensive interpretation of the available information are needed to avoid mismanagement.