Articles | Volume 27, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1133-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1133-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
How well does a convection-permitting regional climate model represent the reverse orographic effect of extreme hourly precipitation?
Department of Land Environment Agriculture and Forestry, University
of Padova, Padova, Italy
Francesco Marra
Department of Geosciences, University of Padova, Padova, Italy
National Research Council of Italy – Institute of Atmospheric
Sciences and Climate (CNR-ISAC), Bologna, Italy
Giorgia Fosser
University School for Advanced Studies – IUSS Pavia, Pavia, Italy
Marco Marani
Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering,
University of Padova, Padova, Italy
Giuseppe Formetta
Department of Civil, Environmental and Mechanical Engineering,
University of Trento, Trento, Italy
Christoph Schär
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich,
Zurich, Switzerland
Marco Borga
Department of Land Environment Agriculture and Forestry, University
of Padova, Padova, Italy
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Cited
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Enhancing generalizability of data-driven urban flood models by incorporating contextual information T. Cache et al. 10.5194/hess-28-5443-2024
- Sub-Daily Performance of a Convection-Permitting Model in Simulating Decade-Long Precipitation over Northwestern Türkiye C. Sonuç et al. 10.3390/cli13020024
- Assessment of NA‐CORDEX regional climate models, reanalysis and in situ gridded‐observational data sets against the U.S. Climate Reference Network S. SY et al. 10.1002/joc.8331
- Spatial variability in the seasonal precipitation lapse rates in complex topographical regions – application in France V. Dura et al. 10.5194/hess-28-2579-2024
- Exploring patterns in precipitation intensity–duration–area–frequency relationships using weather radar data T. Rosin et al. 10.5194/hess-28-3549-2024
- Precipitation-elevation relationship: Non-linearity and space–time variability prevail in the Swiss Alps L. Benoit et al. 10.1016/j.hydroa.2024.100186
- Assessment of snow simulation using Noah-MP land surface model forced by various precipitation sources in the Central Tianshan Mountains, Central Asia T. Yang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107251
- Geostatistical Interpolation Approach for Improving Flood Simulation Within a Data‐Scarce Region in the Tibetan Plateau K. Guédé et al. 10.1002/hyp.15336
- Rainfall elasticity functions explain divergent runoff sensitivity to rainfall errors in hydrological models E. Dallan et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132746
- Predicting extreme sub-hourly precipitation intensification based on temperature shifts F. Marra et al. 10.5194/hess-28-375-2024
- Sub-daily precipitation returns levels in ungauged locations: Added value of combining observations with convection permitting simulations G. Formetta et al. 10.1016/j.advwatres.2024.104851
- How well does a convection-permitting regional climate model represent the reverse orographic effect of extreme hourly precipitation? E. Dallan et al. 10.5194/hess-27-1133-2023
11 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Enhancing generalizability of data-driven urban flood models by incorporating contextual information T. Cache et al. 10.5194/hess-28-5443-2024
- Sub-Daily Performance of a Convection-Permitting Model in Simulating Decade-Long Precipitation over Northwestern Türkiye C. Sonuç et al. 10.3390/cli13020024
- Assessment of NA‐CORDEX regional climate models, reanalysis and in situ gridded‐observational data sets against the U.S. Climate Reference Network S. SY et al. 10.1002/joc.8331
- Spatial variability in the seasonal precipitation lapse rates in complex topographical regions – application in France V. Dura et al. 10.5194/hess-28-2579-2024
- Exploring patterns in precipitation intensity–duration–area–frequency relationships using weather radar data T. Rosin et al. 10.5194/hess-28-3549-2024
- Precipitation-elevation relationship: Non-linearity and space–time variability prevail in the Swiss Alps L. Benoit et al. 10.1016/j.hydroa.2024.100186
- Assessment of snow simulation using Noah-MP land surface model forced by various precipitation sources in the Central Tianshan Mountains, Central Asia T. Yang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107251
- Geostatistical Interpolation Approach for Improving Flood Simulation Within a Data‐Scarce Region in the Tibetan Plateau K. Guédé et al. 10.1002/hyp.15336
- Rainfall elasticity functions explain divergent runoff sensitivity to rainfall errors in hydrological models E. Dallan et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132746
- Predicting extreme sub-hourly precipitation intensification based on temperature shifts F. Marra et al. 10.5194/hess-28-375-2024
- Sub-daily precipitation returns levels in ungauged locations: Added value of combining observations with convection permitting simulations G. Formetta et al. 10.1016/j.advwatres.2024.104851
Latest update: 21 Feb 2025
Short summary
Convection-permitting climate models could represent future changes in extreme short-duration precipitation, which is critical for risk management. We use a non-asymptotic statistical method to estimate extremes from 10 years of simulations in an orographically complex area. Despite overall good agreement with rain gauges, the observed decrease of hourly extremes with elevation is not fully represented by the model. Climate model adjustment methods should consider the role of orography.
Convection-permitting climate models could represent future changes in extreme short-duration...