Articles | Volume 27, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1133-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1133-2023
Research article
 | 
15 Mar 2023
Research article |  | 15 Mar 2023

How well does a convection-permitting regional climate model represent the reverse orographic effect of extreme hourly precipitation?

Eleonora Dallan, Francesco Marra, Giorgia Fosser, Marco Marani, Giuseppe Formetta, Christoph Schär, and Marco Borga

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Latest update: 26 Apr 2024
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Short summary
Convection-permitting climate models could represent future changes in extreme short-duration precipitation, which is critical for risk management. We use a non-asymptotic statistical method to estimate extremes from 10 years of simulations in an orographically complex area. Despite overall good agreement with rain gauges, the observed decrease of hourly extremes with elevation is not fully represented by the model. Climate model adjustment methods should consider the role of orography.