Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Articles | Volume 26, issue 21
Articles | Volume 26, issue 21
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 5605–5625, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5605-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 5605–5625, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5605-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 26, issue 21
Research article
09 Nov 2022
Research article | 09 Nov 2022

Use of expert elicitation to assign weights to climate and hydrological models in climate impact studies

Eva Sebok et al.

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Short summary
Hydrological models projecting the impact of changing climate carry a lot of uncertainty. Thus, these models usually have a multitude of simulations using different future climate data. This study used the subjective opinion of experts to assess which climate and hydrological models are the most likely to correctly predict climate impacts, thereby easing the computational burden. The experts could select more likely hydrological models, while the climate models were deemed equally probable.
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