Articles | Volume 26, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-1063-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-1063-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
24 Feb 2022
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 24 Feb 2022
| 24 Feb 2022
Future water temperature of rivers in Switzerland under climate change investigated with physics-based models
School of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), Lausanne, Switzerland
WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research (SLF), Davos, Switzerland
Bettina Schaefli
Institute of Geography & Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Institute of Earth Surface Dynamics (IDYST), University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
Nander Wever
Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, USA
Harry Zekollari
Laboratory of Hydraulics, Hydrology and Glaciology (VAW), Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule (ETH), Zurich, Switzerland
Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland
Department of Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Delft University of Technology, Delft, the Netherlands
Michael Lehning
School of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), Lausanne, Switzerland
WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research (SLF), Davos, Switzerland
Hendrik Huwald
School of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), Lausanne, Switzerland
WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research (SLF), Davos, Switzerland
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- Evaluating options to mitigate hydropower impacts on river thermal regimes in a changing climate D. Dorthe et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2026.181843
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- Hydrological, thermal and chemical influence of an intact rock glacier discharge on mountain stream water F. Bearzot et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162777
- Riverine heatwaves are an emergent climate change risk A. van Hamel et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44221-025-00541-5
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- Evaluation of the Migration Potential of Printed Plastic Films into the Aquatic Environment E. Łaskawiec https://doi.org/10.3390/resources14040058
- Climate change impacts on dissolved organic carbon and total suspended solids in Alpine streams and rivers E. Bertone et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2025.125232
- Groundwater Temperature Modelling at the Water Table with a Simple Heat Conduction Model P. Pekárová et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology9100185
- Evaluation of water temperature under changing climate and its effect on river habitat in a regulated Alpine catchment F. Fuso et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128816
- Hydrological Drought Generation Processes and Severity Are Changing in the Alps M. Brunner et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101776
- Prediction of daily river water temperatures using an optimized model based on NARX networks J. Sun et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.111978
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- Climate Change Impacts on Stream Water Temperatures in a Snowy Cold Region According to Geological Conditions H. Suzuki et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w14142166
- Significant Rise in Sava River Water Temperature in the City of Zagreb Identified across Various Time Scales O. Bonacci et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w16162337
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- Elevation-dependent warming of streams in mountainous regions: implications for temperature modeling and headwater climate refugia D. Isaak & C. Luce https://doi.org/10.1080/07011784.2023.2176788
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- Extended-range forecasting of stream water temperature with deep-learning models R. Padrón et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-1685-2025
- Determining return levels of extreme daily precipitation, reservoir inflow, and dry spells T. Milojevic et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2023.1141786
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- Integration of critical and accumulated temperatures to assess the impacts of climate change and reservoir impoundment on hydrothermal conditions for fish reproduction J. Song et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40974-025-00375-7
- Thermal regimes and life cycles of Serratella ignita (Poda, 1761) (Ephemeroptera: Ephemerellidae) in NW Italy D. Ricaldone et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/01650424.2025.2559605
- The role of the cryosphere for runoff in a highly glacierised alpine catchment, an approach with a coupled model and in situ data A. Lambrecht & C. Mayer https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2024.48
- Comparing stunning methods and seasonal effects on biochemical variables and product quality of rainbow trout R. González-Garoz et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aqrep.2025.103117
- Flow composition mediates the sensitivity to air temperature of streams in a Qinghai-Tibetan watershed M. Wei et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03340-2
- Potential impact of climate change on the reproductive success of grayling (Thymallus thymallus) S. Rosenau et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfb.70160
- Groundwater Contribution to River Water Temperature K. Mousumi et al. https://doi.org/10.7831/ras.13.1_1
47 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Investigation of Proliferative Kidney Disease in Brown Trout and Habitat Characteristics Associated with a Swiss Wastewater Treatment Plant H. Saura Martinez et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/environments10090152
- Evaluating options to mitigate hydropower impacts on river thermal regimes in a changing climate D. Dorthe et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2026.181843
- Physics-constrained deep learning for reservoir thermal structure prediction: Enhanced interpretability and extrapolation capability J. Song et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2025.125086
- MAformer: A multivariate prediction framework with adaptive multi-scale decomposition and phase correction for water quality in aquaculture environments H. Xing et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2026.106905
- River temperature response to atmospheric heatwaves is modulated by discharge and meltwater A. van Hamel et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03269-6
- Multistep-ahead prediction of daily water temperature for Poyang Lake, China, using monthly monitoring data G. Li et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.103033
- Assessing Recent Changes in the Contribution of Rainfall and Air Temperature Effects to Mean Flow and Runoff in Two Slovenian–Croatian Basins Using MLR and MLLR O. Bonacci et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w17182787
- Water Temperature Model to Assess Impact of Riparian Vegetation on Jucar River and Spain C. Miñana-Albanell et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w16213121
- A wind-driven snow redistribution module for Alpine3D v3.3.0: adaptations designed for downscaling ice sheet surface mass balance E. Keenan et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-3203-2023
- Dynamic response of lake surface water temperature to atmospheric drought: a case of China C. Peng et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.134793
- Hydrological, thermal and chemical influence of an intact rock glacier discharge on mountain stream water F. Bearzot et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162777
- Riverine heatwaves are an emergent climate change risk A. van Hamel et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44221-025-00541-5
- The thermal future of a regulated river: spatiotemporal dynamics of stream temperature under climate change in a peri-Alpine catchment D. Dorthe et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-6309-2025
- A comparison of hydrological models with different level of complexity in Alpine regions in the context of climate change F. Carletti et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3447-2022
- Evaluating precipitation corrections to enhance high-alpine hydrological modeling T. Pulka et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132202
- A novel approach for bridging the gap between climate change scenarios and avalanche hazard indication mapping G. Ortner et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2024.104355
- Evaluation of the Migration Potential of Printed Plastic Films into the Aquatic Environment E. Łaskawiec https://doi.org/10.3390/resources14040058
- Climate change impacts on dissolved organic carbon and total suspended solids in Alpine streams and rivers E. Bertone et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2025.125232
- Groundwater Temperature Modelling at the Water Table with a Simple Heat Conduction Model P. Pekárová et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology9100185
- Evaluation of water temperature under changing climate and its effect on river habitat in a regulated Alpine catchment F. Fuso et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128816
- Hydrological Drought Generation Processes and Severity Are Changing in the Alps M. Brunner et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL101776
- Prediction of daily river water temperatures using an optimized model based on NARX networks J. Sun et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.111978
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- Climate Change Impacts on Stream Water Temperatures in a Snowy Cold Region According to Geological Conditions H. Suzuki et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w14142166
- Significant Rise in Sava River Water Temperature in the City of Zagreb Identified across Various Time Scales O. Bonacci et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w16162337
- Response of hyporheic biofilms to temperature changes and dissolved organic carbon enrichment: a mesocosm study T. Simčič et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11368-024-03845-3
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- A multi-model assessment of global freshwater temperature and thermoelectric power supply under climate change E. Jones et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/3033-4942/addffa
- Machine learning unravels controls on river water temperature regime dynamics J. Wade et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129821
- Long-term daily stream temperature record for Scotland reveals spatio-temporal patterns in warming of rivers in the past and further warming in the future E. Loerke et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.164194
- Elevation-dependent warming of streams in mountainous regions: implications for temperature modeling and headwater climate refugia D. Isaak & C. Luce https://doi.org/10.1080/07011784.2023.2176788
- Monitoring potential impacts of climate change on the biodiversity of springs and springbrooks in the Central Alps S. von Fumetti & A. Aberhalden https://doi.org/10.1007/s00027-024-01095-6
- Past and future discharge and stream temperature at high spatial resolution in a large European basin (Loire basin, France) H. Seyedhashemi et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-2827-2023
- Extended-range forecasting of stream water temperature with deep-learning models R. Padrón et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-1685-2025
- Determining return levels of extreme daily precipitation, reservoir inflow, and dry spells T. Milojevic et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2023.1141786
- SnowQM 1.0: a fast R package for bias-correcting spatial fields of snow water equivalent using quantile mapping A. Michel et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-8969-2024
- Assessing the adequacy of traditional hydrological models for climate change impact studies: a case for long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks J. Martel et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-2811-2025
- Effects of climate change and anthropic water uses on ecosystem services provided by an Alpine river M. Carolli et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ade902
- Projected future changes in the cryosphere and hydrology of a mountainous catchment in the upper Heihe River, China Z. Chang et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3897-2024
- Integration of critical and accumulated temperatures to assess the impacts of climate change and reservoir impoundment on hydrothermal conditions for fish reproduction J. Song et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40974-025-00375-7
- Thermal regimes and life cycles of Serratella ignita (Poda, 1761) (Ephemeroptera: Ephemerellidae) in NW Italy D. Ricaldone et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/01650424.2025.2559605
- The role of the cryosphere for runoff in a highly glacierised alpine catchment, an approach with a coupled model and in situ data A. Lambrecht & C. Mayer https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2024.48
- Comparing stunning methods and seasonal effects on biochemical variables and product quality of rainbow trout R. González-Garoz et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aqrep.2025.103117
- Flow composition mediates the sensitivity to air temperature of streams in a Qinghai-Tibetan watershed M. Wei et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03340-2
- Potential impact of climate change on the reproductive success of grayling (Thymallus thymallus) S. Rosenau et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfb.70160
- Groundwater Contribution to River Water Temperature K. Mousumi et al. https://doi.org/10.7831/ras.13.1_1
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 15 Jun 2026
Short summary
This study presents an extensive study of climate change impacts on river temperature in Switzerland. Results show that, even for low-emission scenarios, water temperature increase will lead to adverse effects for both ecosystems and socio-economic sectors throughout the 21st century. For high-emission scenarios, the effect will worsen. This study also shows that water seasonal warming will be different between the Alpine regions and the lowlands. Finally, efficiency of models is assessed.
This study presents an extensive study of climate change impacts on river temperature in...
