Articles | Volume 25, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-787-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-787-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: a global-scale multi-model ensemble study
Robert Reinecke
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
International Centre for Water Resources and Global Change (UNESCO), 56002 Koblenz, Germany
Institute of Physical Geography, Goethe University Frankfurt,
60438 Frankfurt, Germany
Hannes Müller Schmied
Institute of Physical Geography, Goethe University Frankfurt,
60438 Frankfurt, Germany
Senckenberg Leibniz Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (SBiK-F) Frankfurt, 60325 Frankfurt, Germany
Tim Trautmann
Institute of Physical Geography, Goethe University Frankfurt,
60438 Frankfurt, Germany
Lauren Seaby Andersen
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31,
14473 Potsdam, Germany
Peter Burek
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Martina Flörke
Institute of Engineering Hydrology and Water Resources Management, Ruhr-University Bochum, 44801 Bochum, Germany
Simon N. Gosling
School of Geography, University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG7 2RD,
United Kingdom
Manolis Grillakis
Institute for Mediterranean Studies, Foundation for Research and
Technology Hellas, Rethymno 74100, Greece
Naota Hanasaki
National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan
Aristeidis Koutroulis
School of Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, Chania 73100, Greece
Yadu Pokhrel
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan State
University, East Lansing, Michigan 48824, USA
Wim Thiery
Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels, Belgium
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich,
Universitaetsstrasse 16, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
Yoshihide Wada
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria
Department of Physical Geography, Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht
University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Satoh Yusuke
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria
National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan
Petra Döll
Institute of Physical Geography, Goethe University Frankfurt,
60438 Frankfurt, Germany
Senckenberg Leibniz Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (SBiK-F) Frankfurt, 60325 Frankfurt, Germany
Data sets
ISIMIP2b EWEMBI (target data set for bias correction of climate data) Stefan Lange https://doi.org/10.5880/pik.2019.004
Short summary
Billions of people rely on groundwater as an accessible source of drinking water and for irrigation, especially in times of drought. Groundwater recharge is the primary process of regenerating groundwater resources. We find that groundwater recharge will increase in northern Europe by about 19 % and decrease by 10 % in the Amazon with 3 °C global warming. In the Mediterranean, a 2 °C warming has already lead to a reduction in recharge by 38 %. However, these model predictions are uncertain.
Billions of people rely on groundwater as an accessible source of drinking water and for...