Articles | Volume 25, issue 2 
            
                
                    
            
            
            https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-787-2021
                    © Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under 
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
                the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-787-2021
                    © Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under 
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
                the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: a global-scale multi-model ensemble study
Robert Reinecke
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
                                            
                                    
                                            International Centre for Water Resources and Global Change (UNESCO), 56002 Koblenz, Germany
                                        
                                    
                                            Institute of Physical Geography, Goethe University Frankfurt,
60438 Frankfurt, Germany
                                        
                                    Hannes Müller Schmied
                                            Institute of Physical Geography, Goethe University Frankfurt,
60438 Frankfurt, Germany
                                        
                                    
                                            Senckenberg Leibniz  Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (SBiK-F) Frankfurt, 60325 Frankfurt, Germany
                                        
                                    Tim Trautmann
                                            Institute of Physical Geography, Goethe University Frankfurt,
60438 Frankfurt, Germany
                                        
                                    Lauren Seaby Andersen
                                            Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Telegrafenberg A31,
14473 Potsdam, Germany
                                        
                                    Peter Burek
                                            International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria
                                        
                                    Martina Flörke
                                            Institute of Engineering Hydrology and Water Resources Management, Ruhr-University Bochum, 44801 Bochum, Germany 
                                        
                                    Simon N. Gosling
                                            School of Geography, University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG7 2RD,
United Kingdom
                                        
                                    Manolis Grillakis
                                            Institute for Mediterranean Studies, Foundation for Research and
Technology Hellas, Rethymno 74100, Greece
                                        
                                    Naota Hanasaki
                                            National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan
                                        
                                    Aristeidis Koutroulis
                                            School of Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, Chania 73100, Greece
                                        
                                    Yadu Pokhrel
                                            Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan State
University, East Lansing, Michigan 48824, USA
                                        
                                    Wim Thiery
                                            Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels, Belgium
                                        
                                    
                                            Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich,
Universitaetsstrasse 16, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland
                                        
                                    Yoshihide Wada
                                            International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria
                                        
                                    
                                            Department of Physical Geography, Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht
University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
                                        
                                    Satoh Yusuke
                                            International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria
                                        
                                    
                                            National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan
                                        
                                    Petra Döll
                                            Institute of Physical Geography, Goethe University Frankfurt,
60438 Frankfurt, Germany
                                        
                                    
                                            Senckenberg Leibniz  Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (SBiK-F) Frankfurt, 60325 Frankfurt, Germany
                                        
                                    Data sets
ISIMIP2b EWEMBI (target data set for bias correction of climate data) Stefan Lange https://doi.org/10.5880/pik.2019.004
Short summary
            Billions of people rely on groundwater as an accessible source of drinking water and for irrigation, especially in times of drought. Groundwater recharge is the primary process of regenerating groundwater resources. We find that groundwater recharge will increase in northern Europe by about 19 % and decrease by 10 % in the Amazon with 3 °C global warming. In the Mediterranean, a 2 °C warming has already lead to a reduction in recharge by 38 %. However, these model predictions are uncertain.
            Billions of people rely on groundwater as an accessible source of drinking water and for...